Bundesliga matchday 12, Saturday, 30.11.2024 at 18:30
What a top match that electrifies the masses! Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich – the names alone make soccer hearts beat faster.
Dortmund have an impressive home record, while Bayern are keen to underpin their supremacy. Can BVB put down another marker in this classic and really give the record champions a run for their money?
You can find answers and interesting perspectives, as well as references to an attractive Black Friday bonus, in my Dortmund Bayern tip!
The German counterpart to the “El Clásico” is coming up: Dortmund vs Bayern – a classic that has been played 135 times since the Bundesliga was founded.
There has been no duel in Germany more often, and no team has inflicted a defeat on Munich more often than BVB (33 times, most recently 2-0 at the Allianz Arena in March).
But the Black & Yellows are also all too familiar with Bayern’s dominance: with 67 defeats, they have not lost as often to any other opponent. A match of superlatives that not only promises history, but also excitement!
Meanwhile, my Dortmund Bayern prediction reveals which betting scenarios promise the greatest chances of success.
The Dortmund – Bayern prediction from the bookmakers
Dortmund Bayern betting odds? According to betting providers with PayPal, there can be no question of balance. With odds of around 1.70, the Munich team are the clear favorites going into the clash.
A draw is trading at around 4.20, while a Dortmund win is at a whopping 4.60. The odds clearly show that the record champions should also come out on top away from home – at least that’s the opinion of most bookmakers!
This could be a challenge for BVB fans, but perhaps these high odds hold the potential for a lucrative surprise!
KI prediction Dortmund vs Bayern: ChatGPT
The Bayern Dortmund AI prediction from ChatGPT has a few things in store that could enrich your betting slip! I find the risky variant particularly exciting: Dortmund will score in both halves.
If the Black & Yellows’ offense really gets rolling, the three goals Jan and I are expecting could be perfectly split between the two halves – and give you tempting odds at the same time!
The less pronounced risk bet, “Double chance 1/X”, is also solid, albeit not a “value hit”. However, it offers you a fair payout in relation to the risk in the event of Dortmund winning a point.
The low-risk recommendation, “1st goal Bayern”, is less convincing. An early lead for Munich is not guaranteed, as Dortmund could start surprisingly strong – so I would rather keep my hands off these low odds!
Dortmund – Bayern odds: Where can you find the highest BVB odds?
Whoever wants to bet on the “Bundesliga classic” on Saturday will surely be wondering where to find the highest Dortmund Bayern odds.
In my opinion, the Dortmund Bayern odds at providers such as Merkur Bets, which are known for their attractive odds and user-friendly platform, are particularly appealing.
Numerous positive Merkur Bets experiences show that many sports betting fans are satisfied with the fair odds and first-class service.
Analysis: Dortmund vs Bayern
Dortmund have won at home in the league since the draw against Bremen at the end of August, but have often lost away from home. This is precisely why many experts do not count BVB among the potential 2024/25 title contenders.
Incidentally, after their impressive 4-0 home win over Freiburg last weekend, they now have two home games in a row for the first time.
Bayern travel to Dortmund in top form again, with five Bundesliga wins in a row without conceding a goal. They are unbeaten in the league (9 wins, 2 draws) and go into this matchday with a six-point lead.
After Tuesday’s Champions League win over Paris Saint-Germain, Munich look set to continue their run of success.
Bayern have almost always scored 3+ goals away from home this season, with one exception: the 1-0 win over St. Pauli.
Harry Kane underlined Bayern’s attacking prowess when he broke Erling Haaland’s record last weekend by becoming the fastest player to score 50 Bundesliga goals. With this offense, they are well equipped to shine against Dortmund as well.
I’m optimistic that the BVB offense will pick up speed early on Saturday as Serhou Guirassy seems to be fit again!
Although there were still doubts about his state of health until a few days ago, he was able to make his mark in the half-hour he played against Zagreb and even scored shortly before the end.
What’s more, almost all of Dortmund’s key players have returned in recent weeks – only Niklas Süle is still out!
Ratings analysis
The result bet 3:1 for Dortmund at astronomical odds of 37.0 is definitely a risky bet, but as my betting friend Jan has already emphasized, the courage can pay off with such a high payout.
The offensive quality of both teams and their direct duels make such a scenario by no means absurd. The fact that more than 3.5 goals will be scored is almost a must-bet at odds of 1.95.
After all, the statistics – 9 of the last 10 meetings with more than 3.5 goals – clearly speak for it. However, it is true that the value here is somewhat limited given the not exactly gigantic odds.
Dortmund vs Bayern odds: Pact with the devil?
At Signal Iduna Park, BVB actually seem to have made a pact with the devil!
Borussia’s almost terrifying home streak makes them a real force in their own stadium. With six wins from six games this Bundesliga season, Dortmund are the best home team in the league and have picked up 18 points.
This means they have even overtaken FC Bayern, who are the best away team with 16 points.
Also interesting: In Europe, Dortmund are in an exclusive row with top teams such as FC Barcelona and Paris Saint-Germain, who have also not conceded a point at home.
BVB – FCB: I expect 4 to 8 goals!
The home advantage at Signal Iduna Park plays a central role in my Dortmund Bayern betting tip.
Under Nuri Sahin, BVB have been on an impressive run not only in the Bundesliga but also in all competitions, winning all of their first eight home games this season.
A ninth consecutive home win would be a first in the club’s history, and with 11 home wins across the board, Dortmund currently have a dominance that was last surpassed in 1994 under Ottmar Hitzfeld!
As I expect plenty of goals from both sides, these players should also be on your radar on Saturday!
Jamie Gittens has already collected six scorer points this Bundesliga season (three goals, three assists), surpassing his personal best. With his dynamism, he is a key player for BVB.
On the Bayern side, Harry Kane has set new standards with a record 50 goals in just 43 games.
Watch out: The Englishman has even scored a hat-trick in Dortmund (4-0) and remains a constant threat.
Then there is Jamal Musiala, who has scored all five of his Bundesliga goals away from home this season – an impressive run that he will be looking to continue in Dortmund.
The stage is set for a thrilling top match with plenty of scope for sophisticated goal betting.
My Dortmund Bayern betting tip:
My Dortmund Bayern prediction is that BVB will score more than 2.5 goals. Serhou Guirassy is finally fit again, and I trust that Dortmund will get off to a similarly furious start at home as they did recently against Freiburg, where they impressed with a clear 4-0 win.
Although the odds against Bayern are not huge, the monster odds of 5.50 that the bookmakers are offering me for three goals definitely make the risk worthwhile.
Dortmund often put on a strong offensive display at home, and with Guirassy on board, this could be a memorable evening of soccer for the black-and-yellow crowds.
My tip: BVB to score over 2.5 goals
