What are the chances of Germany at the ESC in 2025? Will there be another disappointment, as has so often been the case in recent years, or will there be a black, red and gold sense of achievement in Basel on May 17?
Germany will be represented at the ESC 2025 by the sibling duo Abor & Tynna and his song “Baller”. The bookmakers’ predictions paint a bleak picture.
In the ESC winner betting odds, Germany is listed in the lower half of the field. Thus, a defeat at the ESC final on May 17th is looming again – although this time “Germany’s Mister ESC” Stefan Raab was involved in the song selection…
What are the chances of Germany at the ESC 2025?
If the betting providers’ ESC forecasts are anything to go by, it could be another disappointing Song Contest evening for Germany.
For the long-suffering German Song Contest fans, there is little hope in the run-up to the contest with the song “Baller”. The German ESC 2025 chances don’t look good for Abor & Tynna. There is the threat of another embarrassment!
In the international betting shops, Germany is currently ranked far behind for the ESC 2025. According to the bookmakers, Germany, with odds of 110.0 (as of March 24, 2025), has a converted chance of winning of less than 1 percent.
If these estimates prove true, Germany could perhaps even face the prospect of coming last again at the Song Contest…
This time, everything was done differently in the run-up to the event.
“Germany’s Mr. ESC” Stefan Raab has made the preliminary decision for the Eurovision Song Contest a top priority and selected the German entry for 2025 in the TV show of the same name. Or at least, after four live shows, he ultimately made five suggestions from which the TV audience could choose.
In the end, the siblings Abor & Tynna won “Chefsache ESC 2025 – Wer singt für Deutschland?” with the song “Baller” after a total of four shows.
Abor & Tynna don’t come from Germany, but from Austria. They also provide another novelty for the 2025 Song Contest: the two will sing in German at the 2025 ESC. The last time there was a German song was in 2007, when Roger Cicero sang “Frauen regier’n die Welt” at the Song Contest in Helsinki.
Will the Austrian duo be able to win for Germany? It would be great if Stefan Raab were to take over the ESC selection again and be successful with a non-German act.
However, if the ESC winner betting odds are anything to go by, this will not come true. The German ESC chances currently look really bad – in contrast to Austria with opera tenor JJ: the Austro entry is one of the favorites!
If Germany, as a so-called “Big-5” country, were not automatically qualified for the final, they would even have to worry about making it through the semi-final based on the current ESC betting odds.
Which, in view of Germany’s ESC chances in 2025, doesn’t exactly inspire hope: the bookmakers’ ESC predictions regarding the German participants have proven to be extremely reliable in recent years.
Should the current estimates for the poor German ESC 2025 chances prove true, Germany will once again have to deal with a disappointing result.
In view of this frustrating bookmaker’s prediction, it could also happen again that Germany will once again be the worst Big 5 nation.
According to the current Germany ESC chances, a victory in this internal “Big 5” ranking is not to be expected at all.
ESC 2024 chances Germany: Is the next bankruptcy looming?
The German ESC fans have had to endure a lot in recent years. There was a lot of clapping and embarrassment. Last year, with 12th place, there was finally a respectable result again.
In the past eleven years, the German entries only made it into the top 10 once – that was in 2018 with 4th place.
Since 2015, there have been eight Song Contest events – and four times (!) Germany came last. Three times during this period, it came in 25th, which is second to last!
The exception was fourth place in 2018. That was only the seventh top-10 placement since 2000!
Germany at the ESC since 2010
In detail: In 2015, there was the last place with zero points, as well as in 2016 – albeit with eleven points. In 2017, the “last place” hat-trick was avoided and, cynically speaking, the penultimate place was even considered an improvement.
In 2019, it was the turn of the “Sisters” to come in second-last, as it was for Jendrik, who had behavioral issues, in 2021. After that, there were two last places again in the history of the German ESC – in 2022 for Malik Harris and in 2023 for the band “Lord of the Lost”.
Incidentally, with ten last places (1964, 1965, 1974, 1995, 2005, 2008, 2015, 2016, 2022, 2023), Germany is the third most frequently bottom-placed country, behind Finland and Norway (both eleven times).
However, the German ESC truth also includes: With two victories (1982 and 2010), four second places (1980, 1981, 1985, 1987) and five third places (1970, 1971, 1972, 1994, 1999), Germany’s past in the Eurovision Song Contest is not so bad.
This is how the ESC 2025 with Abor & Tynna will go
These are Germany’s ESC 2025 participants Abor & Tynna
Who are Abor & Tynna, who will be on the big show stage for Germany at the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest in Basel?
Abor & Tynna, whose real names are Tünde and Attila Bornemisza, come from a musical family with roots in Hungary and Romania. Their father is a cellist with the Vienna Philharmonic Orchestra.
The German ESC 2025 song “Baller” deals with the end of a relationship. Attila arranged the song at his home desk.
What are the German ESC 2025 chances for Abor & Tynna?
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Tünde, aka Tynna (24), “blurts out” all her feelings when she sings and thus breaks away from her former partner. There is no going back for her, even though it still hurts.
The refrain “Baller” is repeated over and over again in the electro-pop number, which is catchy and extremely modern. The two describe their sound as “between new wave rap, pop and electronic music, with lyrics that sparkle with fun and tears, empowerment and vulnerability, Viennese humor with a Gen Z attitude”.
We’ll see how Germany’s chances are in the 2025 ESC with this colorful mix on May 17 in Basel…
