US Grand Prix in Austin, Sunday, 20.10.2024 at 21:00
For four weeks, the Formula 1 engines have been dormant. This weekend, the action finally resumes in Austin. With six races still to go this year, it’s back-to-back action, three race weekends in a row, then a three-week break and then the final triple-header!
Formula 1 betting has suited me very well this season. Nine of the last ten race tips were successful, all odds were above the 1.50 mark. Only in Great Britain did Ferrari throw a spanner in the works with a debacle.
For my Formula 1 USA GP betting tip, I’m backing a top 10 finish for Nico Hülkenberg, for which Oddset has strong odds. He was already comfortably in the top 10 in the sprint race, which Max Verstappen won.
In qualifying for the main race, it was only enough for twelfth place on the grid after two mistakes in turn one. However, with the Haas working well, he will be able to turn that into a place in the points if he gets through normally.
Formula 1 has been racing in Austin since 2012. The circuit created by Herrmann Tilke has everything a track needs. Long straights for overtaking, fast and slower combinations of corners and all rounded off with considerable differences in elevation.
In addition, countless fans line the track every year to ensure a gigantic motorsport experience. However, the fact that two more races are held in the States is still too much in my eyes.
For years I’ve been wishing for Hockenheim to return, the track that offers some of the best racing in my eyes.
Test: Starting grid for the US GP
Hot temperatures are expected at the weekend, around 30 degrees Celsius and sunshine. As the track is very wide anyway and offers long run-off areas, I’m not betting on a safety car, instead I see value in the opposite odds.
Anyone who bet on Bernd Mayländer just twiddling his thumbs for the last nine races would have made a huge profit. Because we have been waiting for a safety car phase for this number of races. With the retirement of Logan Sargeant, who has caused many accidents, the probability is even lower since Monza.
For the bet that there will be no safety car deployment, there are interesting 1.65 odds at Betano. In general, I have the impression that the Formula 1 field is more high-class than ever before. What’s more, we only have 20 cars on the track.
Fewer cars also means less chance of chaos. At the same time, I don’t think the odds of 1.40 for over 17.5 drivers finishing the race are wrong, and there’s even a 2.35 for a maximum of one retirement in the race.
As I mentioned at the beginning, McLaren is the team to beat, at least in the individual races. Max Verstappen continues to lead the championship with a comfortable 54-point advantage.
However, in six races with three sprints left, one of which takes place this weekend, such a lead can quickly melt away. Verstappen is still ahead with the bookmakers, although his odds have risen considerably to 1.60. Norris has a 2.25.
For the Austin GP, Verstappen is in first place with the bookmakers after a strong sprint race despite starting second, with a 1.80. Only then does pole setter Norris follow, who put in a mega lap in qualifying but is likely to have problems against Verstappen and Ferrari in the race.
The 1.40 for a non-Norris victory is still a little too high for my taste, definitely has value, is perfect as a single bet with a slightly higher stake, or as a combination bet for Sunday.
The last 5 races at the Circuit of the Americas:
Winamax, a no-tax bookmaker, is offering a 2.50 for Sainz in the top 2. The same bet is also available for Leclerc.
I would suggest two single bets with the same stake. Mercedes doesn’t matter, Piastri also lacks the pace this weekend and, like Norris, has the weaker material for the race in my eyes.
You can even play the two 2.50s with up to 100 euros and don’t even run the risk of losing, as Winamax will give you free bet credit in the amount of your deposit when you register. You can withdraw your real money directly after wagering it once.
I still find the long-delayed team order in favor of Norris, which has now been called in the end so that the Briton can put even more pressure on Verstappen in the world championship fight, stupid.
As a result of the late decision, McLaren lost points in the drivers’ championship race in the low double-digit range
Conclusion: Yuki Tsunoda, Fernando Alonso, Kevin Magnussen and Pierre Gasly, all drivers who start ahead of Hülkenberg and, with the exception of his team-mate, some of whom he easily kept behind him yesterday.
Without a mistake, the driver from Emmerich would have had problems in Q3. He is definitely not starting from the position that corresponds to the car’s potential. The tire wear in the sprint race was also good yesterday.
And even if he struggled to get past, something would still be possible via the pit stops. What’s more, all the other cars have to get through the front first for him to stay outside the top 10.
I reckon that he will easily move into the top 10. Even a Hamilton from behind might not be the biggest threat, Haas was only just behind Mercedes in the sprint.
My Formula 1 USA GP tip: Hülkenberg in the top 10
