Fenerbahce – Olympiakos Piraeus betting tip
Fenerbahce were able to limit the damage in the cauldron of Piraeus. The Turks managed to turn a 3-0 deficit into a 3-2 draw and the comeback should continue at home. Will they succeed?
The bookmakers are optimistic that it will at least go into extra time. Despite the deficit, Fenerbahce are also ahead of Olympiakos (1.92) in the “Who will progress?” market at 1.77 odds. The second leg promises to be exciting in any case.
In any case, I’m convinced that Fenerbahce will put in another committed performance, especially at home! That’s why I’m going for the odds that the hosts will score at least twice. NEObet provides the right odds:
It was demoralizing. Fenerbahce worked hard and were on course for the equalizer after the restart when Piraeus conceded their third goal. However, Ismail Kartal’s side refused to give in and responded with a brace.
Despite the home win for the Greeks, the momentum has shifted to Fenerbahce. The home crowd will whip the team forward. Olympiakos face a difficult task in Istanbul. In any case, the club from the Bosphorus metropolis has a fantastic record this year, more on that in a moment
The betting operators’ forecast
First, let’s check the odds for the 1X2 market. Since the best Conference League bookmakers see Fenerbahce in the semi-finals rather than Piraeus, the odds of around 1.50 for a home win are not surprising.
They definitely do not believe in an away win (5.00). In any case, a draw is enough for the visitors to reach the next round, and the stake is quadrupled in the event of a draw.
Analysis: Fenerbahce vs. Istanbul
Fenerbahce have lost just two of their 24 matches at home in all competitions. An incredible record, season ticket holders have gotten their money’s worth. In the Conference League, the team marched through qualifying without any problems.
Razgrad and Nordsjaelland did well in the group stages, with Fenerbahce coming out on top in the end. The first home defeat at European level only followed in the round of 16.
However, this was not of any great significance. Fenerbahce won the first leg against Union Saint-Gilloise 0:3 and only had to manage the result in the reunion
The second home defeat was more painful, a 3-2 loss to Trabzonspor that cost them points in the race for the Turkish championship. In fact, 27 wins and four draws from 32 games are currently not enough for the top of the table.
Galatasaray have scored even more eagerly so far, with one more win. Trabzonspor are in third place with 52 points and 35 points behind them
Quota analysis
Even though they are currently only in second place with six games to go, Fenerbahce can boast fantastic stats. Among other things, the yellow canaries have the best offense with 86 goals.
That’s an average of 2.69 goals! At home, they score exactly three goals per game. However, their bold performance in front of their own fans also opens up space for their opponents to switch gears, conceding 19 of their 28 goals at home.
The team’s attacking style is also evident on the international stage, scoring 13 goals in six group games. Incidentally, Fenerbahce always scored at least twice at home in the important qualifying and group matches.
Figures that definitely indicate that the 1.52 odds for two goals from the hosts are an excellent bet. However, I would not rely on a home win due to the defensive problems, even in the first leg. Therefore, we would be protected with these odds in the event of another turbulent result
Mega comeback against Tel Aviv
While Fenerbahce were involved in the Conference League right from the start, Olympiakos joined them in the knockout phase as Europa League relegated teams. They were no match for West Ham and Freiburg.
Piraeus also dropped important points against group underdog Backa Topola. In the intermediate round of the Conference League, José Luis Mendilibar’s team controlled the action, celebrating two 1:0 victories against Ferencvaros.
If you take the expected goals figures from the first and second legs together, the club from Budapest did not score 1.0. A good start for the head coach, who was on the touchline for the first time against Budapest.
The matches in the round of 16 were completely different. Olympiakos were already virtually eliminated after a heavy 1:4 defeat at home to Tel Aviv. However, the Greek record champions managed the same result in the second leg and went one better in extra time.
Fenerbahce and Olympiakos have already met in 2021
However, the Spanish coach was not yet able to bring about the big turnaround. There were two bitter defeats in the championship play-offs against rivals AEK Athens and Panathinaikos.
The resounding victories against Aris Thessaloniki and PAS Lamia have improved the mood somewhat. Nevertheless, Piraeus are still behind in the title race. The first task now is to put a positive spin on the second leg in Istanbul.
Incidentally, this is not the first time Fenerbahce and Olympiakos have met in international competition this season. The teams already battled it out in the Europa League in 2021/2022. Back then, Piraeus won both group games
I don’t think Fenerbahce will score again. The reason for this is also the lack of personnel in central defense for the visitors. Panagiotis Retsos is suspended with a yellow card, leaving two skilled players.
Although Istanbul are also missing a number of players, the Turks will field a much stronger line-up overall. At the same time, Piraeus have only kept two clean sheets in their last ten matches
For me, there is again a lot to be said for a few goals on Thursday. In addition to NEObet, Betano is also a good place to bet on goals. Here, in addition to strong 1.57 odds for over 2.5 goals in the match, there is also a 20 euro free bet for all new customers without a deposit!
If you want to receive this free bet, all you have to do is verify your account. The classic “Both teams to score” at 1.60 is also an absolute top odds due to the last results and personnel situation in the defenses
My Fenerbahce Olympiakos tip:
Fenerbahce score reliably at home, but are always susceptible to conceding goals due to their attacking play. The game in Piraeus was already a tough one. I expect the Turks to get into the game earlier in the second leg.
The visitors have only kept a clean sheet twice in their last ten games, are traveling with a meager selection of central defenders and the Greek record champions have already conceded a brace in front of their own fans.
The Süper Lig’s number one offense, which has also scored at least twice in six of seven Conference League matches at home, should also be able to reward itself for its impressive attacking soccer on Thursday.
My Fenerbahce Olympiakos Piraeus prediction: Over 1.5 Fenerbahce goals!
