Fluminense – Al Hilal Tip Club World Cup, Quarter-Final on Friday, 04.07.2025 at 21:00
Who would have thought it? Fluminense FC and Al Hilal SFC went into their round of 16 matches against Inter Milan and Manchester City as big underdogs in the 2025 Club World Cup.
But the two underdogs won their matches in the round of 16 in a complete surprise and will now face each other in the quarterfinals. This means that one of the two surprise teams is guaranteed a place in the semifinals.
But who can still dream of the title? I’ll answer that question in my Fluminense Al Hilal prediction. According to the tournament bracket, the winner of this match will face the winner of the Palmeiras vs. Chelsea match in the semifinals.
The bookmakers, including some tax-free betting providers, are siding with the Saudis in their Fluminense Al Hilal predictions. However, I can’t really see a clear favorite.
Fluminense – Al Hilal prediction & bets
We also asked ChatGPT about this match, of course. And the AI comes to a slightly different conclusion than I do. That’s because artificial intelligence calculates goals. With a low risk, we get the Fluminense Al Hilal tip “Both teams to score.”
If you don’t expect a clean sheet either, Betano will reward you with odds of 1.75. And while we’re on the subject of two goals, it’s not far to go to the “Over 2.5 goals” bet.
For this Fluminense Al Hilal prediction, the odds at Interwetten climb to 1.95. If you don’t have an account with this provider yet, you can secure the welcome bonus after registering with Interwetten.
Last but not least, ChatGPT naturally spits out another high-risk tip. For a Saudi victory with goals scored by both sides, you can get odds of 4.95 at Merkur Bets. We also have all the information you need to register with Merkur Bets.
What you need to bear in mind when betting on Fluminense vs Al Hilal
- The market value speaks in favor of the Saudis
- Al Hilal is unbeaten in nine competitive games
- The two clubs are meeting for the first time
- Fluminense is even unbeaten in ten competitive games
Fluminense – Al Hilal: odds analysis
Market value plays an important role for the best bookmakers when setting the Fluminense vs Al Hilal odds. Here, “Al-Za’eem” has the edge with €159 million to €86 million.
This means that the Saudis go into the regular season as slight favorites with maximum odds of 2.60 for a win. However, for a Brazilian victory after 90 minutes, the odds for Fluminense against Al Hilal are only between 2.70 and 2.77.
However, a direct comparison does not provide any additional information for our Fluminense Al Hilal prediction. This is because the two clubs are meeting for the first time in the quarter-finals of the current competition.
Al Hilal has already played twice against a Brazilian opponent in the previous competition. In 2019, they lost 1-3 to Flamengo in the semifinals, but in 2023 they won 3-2 against the same club in the quarterfinals.
As you already know, I don’t agree with the AI this time. I expect a low-scoring game and would rather go for the Fluminense Al Hilal tip “Both teams to score – No.”
This bet would have been successful in five of the last six competitive games involving the “Tricolor.” The average number of goals in these games was two. The “Fluzao” conceded only 0.33 goals per game.
At VBET, I get odds of 2.04 for this. In July 2025, you can also get both a bonus and a free bet with the VBET promo code!
The best odds for Fluminense vs Al Hilal
In the group stage, Fluminense FC secured second place behind Borussia with a win against Ulsan (4-2) and two goalless draws against BVB and Mamelodi Sundowns.
And in the round of 16 against Inter, the defense was once again the highlight. After taking an early lead, the “Tricolor” defended passionately and sealed the deal in stoppage time (90+3) with a goal to make it 2-0.
Goalkeeper Fabio (44) and captain Thiago Silva (40) in particular are not letting their age show in the current tournament. No team allows its opponents a worse xG per shot value than the “Fluzao” (0.075).
On the other side of the pitch, however, the offense is struggling with an expected goals value per shot of 0.067 (30th place). Nevertheless, the team from Rio is unbeaten in ten competitive games (7W, 3D).
With an xG value of only 3.8, coach Renato Gaucho’s team has scored six goals. Only Bayern Munich has exceeded its expected goals by a higher margin among all quarter-finalists in the current competition.
In five of their last six games, “Flu” left the field with a clean sheet. The win against Inter was the first victory for a Brazilian club against a European team in a competitive game since 2012.
The teams from the South American Serie A are also benefiting in the Club World Cup from the fact that only 12 of 38 matchdays have been completed in the 2025 season. This is a major advantage, especially when compared to European clubs.
Fluminense vs Al Hilal match analysis:
In the group stage, the matches involving Al Hilal did not provide much spectacle. After a 1-1 draw with Real Madrid, they followed up with a 0-0 draw against Salzburg and a 2-0 win over Pachuca.
In the round of 16 against Manchester City, the new coach of the “blue waves” also experienced a first: Never before had Simone Inzaghi led a team onto the field as such a clear underdog in terms of odds.
But his team was not impressed. Possession was clearly against the Saudis at 31 percent, as were shots on goal (17:30). But in the end, the underdog sensationally prevailed 4-3 after 120 minutes.
The statistics set new records for the 2025 Club World Cup with 47 total shots, 20 shots on goal, and a total xG value of 7.37. The Skyblues had conceded an expected goals value of 3.16 against Al-Hilal.
Only in two games under coach Pep Guardiola had the opponent scored more expected goals. Once again, goalkeeper Bono was a guarantee of success. The Moroccan made 23 saves and prevented 2.3 “certain” goals in the 2025 Club World Cup.
That is the best record of any goalkeeper in the tournament. He has thus played a major role in his team’s run of nine games without defeat. However, after four games, they have conceded 8.7 xGA. Only Auckland City has a higher figure in the current competition (12.3).
Nevertheless, my Fluminense Al Hilal prediction is: Under 2.5 goals!
