Olympic football tournament, final, Friday, 09.08.2024 at 18:00
It is the dream final between the two best U-23 teams in the world that many had hoped for.
And it’s not often that a Spanish “under-something selection” goes into the game as underdogs.
But in my France-Spain betting tip for the gold medal match, I will unreservedly agree with the opinion of most sports betting providers.
This is because the hosts simply have a higher number of established youngsters and also enjoy the important support of the fans on Friday.
How many of you still know William Ayache, Guy Lacombe or Patrice Garande? All three players were part of the French soccer team that last won gold at the Olympics (1984).
Exactly forty years later, the hosts are hoping that their men will once again win gold at their home Olympics. And I would actually be surprised if it didn’t work out in the end!
In any case, I believe so much in the chances of the hosts in my France Spain betting tip that I have saved the attractive Bet365 offer code especially for the final for a reason
The betting providers’ forecast?
Of course I don’t know the odds for the 1984 final between France and Brazil, but I do know the current France Spain betting odds.
These state in black and white that the host nation should already have the upper hand in regular time with odds of around 2.40 to 3.15 to win.
By the way: At an average of 3.15, a Spanish victory is worth just as much as if the game went into extra time
Analysis: France vs Spain
The Olympic men’s final is set: France and Spain will meet in the gold medal match.
Both teams, Spain and hosts France, have prevailed in the semi-finals and defeated Morocco and Egypt (after extra time) in thrilling matches. Now the two soccer powers will face each other in the final on Friday afternoon in Paris.
Nevertheless, there are various factors that make me think the French are the stronger of the two teams
Egypt’s goal in the second half of the semi-final, which made the fans’ hearts sink, was the first and so far only goal France have conceded in the entire tournament.
Spain, on the other hand, rely primarily on their offense, but have already conceded five goals in the games in Paris and also lost a group game against Egypt.
Furthermore, if we look at the final phase of the last-minute victory over Morocco, even hardcore fans of the “Roja” have to admit without envy that it was the North Africans who squandered chances on a conveyor belt towards the end.
Quota analysis
Of course it will be a close game this time too, but I have to tell you that these France odds of around 2.40 really appeal to me.
In my opinion, this is a real value bet. And if we take a closer look at the defensive capabilities of Les Bleus, then you should definitely get an under 3.5-goal bet on board.
In the end, using the Bet365 app, I have put together a promising combination bet at odds of around 1.65, which makes the following predictions: Double chance 1X & Under 3.5 goals
FRA: Start of a new era?
The last meeting between the two nations took place at the 1996 Olympics, when they drew in the group stage with a result that would also help my France Spain tip to win (1-1).
What catches the eye is that the French are currently as strong in terms of quality as they were back then in Atlanta. After all, they became world champions two years later!
The Olympic squad at that time included well-known players such as Claude Makélélé, Robert Pirès, Vincent Candela and Sylvain Wiltord. Has this come full circle and will Olise & Co. soon also usher in a successful era?
France’s defense beats Spain’s offense
The fact that the Spaniards have only scored once in this tournament so far automatically makes them the underdogs in my eyes.
True to the motto “Offense wins games, defense wins championships”, I’m paying much more attention to the four white vests the French have already accumulated
In addition, there is of course the home bonus, which in my opinion is not sufficiently taken into account in the France-Spain odds of the bookmakers.
After all, this is de facto a “home game” for the French, who are expected to be frenetically cheered on by 50,000 spectators.
Consequently, I consider the France odds already discussed by the bookmakers to be generous, so they would also be great for a single bet
Personally, I also think that the French defense will win the game to a certain extent and therefore not too many goals are to be expected.
However, if Spain do score, it will probably be from Fermín López, who has already scored four times at this tournament.
Jean-Philippe Mateta (4) and Michael Olise (2), on the other hand, are suitable French candidates for a goalscorer bet, as together they have scored more than half of their team’s tournament goals (11).
My France Spain betting tip:
France and Spain face each other in a thrilling duel that is likely to provide plenty of exciting moments.
The hosts, supported by several U-23 players who are regulars at top clubs, can count on a strong defense and home advantage.
This combination gives them a decisive advantage. In contrast, Spain have already been very unlucky against Morocco and have not always shown their best side at the back in this tournament.
These weaknesses could soon be punished meticulously by the well-organized French defence.
In my France Spain betting tip, I therefore make the following prediction: Double chance 1X & Under 3.5 goals
