Bundesliga 25th matchday, Saturday, 08.03.2025 at 18:30
This will be an exciting duel with a fine Freiburg RB Leipzig betting tip from my side! Both teams are right next to each other in the table and are equally fighting for a coveted Champions League ticket.
A win for Freiburg would not only set an important exclamation mark, but would also help them to open up a small gap to Leipzig and allow their dream of the top flight to take clearer shape.
RBL, on the other hand, will do everything in their power to increase the pressure and finally shoot their way out of the crisis.
So it could all come down to a thrilling and decisive clash! Reason enough to activate an attractive sports betting bonus on this occasion.
The second half of the season got off to a nightmarish start for Leipzig, and how! With just eight points from seven games, this is the weakest second half of the season the “Red Bulls” have ever had in the Bundesliga.
Overall, the Saxons have 38 points after 24 matchdays – the second-worst score in the club’s history, equaling only the 2017/18 season.
Can Freiburg take advantage of this weak phase and secure the three points or will Marco Rose soon be out of a job?
The oddsmakers’ forecast?
The Freiburg RB Leipzig odds are so balanced that you could almost use a spirit level! With 2.60 for Freiburg, 3.30 for the draw and 2.70 for Leipzig, it’s a real neck-and-neck race.
Both teams have their strengths and could tip the game with a single decisive action. According to the bookies, anything seems possible here, and it will be exciting to see who ultimately snatches victory!
AI prediction Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: ChatGPT
And “weekly” the groundhog greets the groundhog. Because this week, too, I used the most popular AI assistant on the net to get some objective input. The Freiburg RB Leipzig AI prediction from ChatGPT once again offered me an interesting selection of betting suggestions.
For the high risk, “Win RBL & over 3.5 goals” is suggested at odds of approx. 7.10. That doesn’t quite suit my taste, even if the last three direct duels always fulfilled both conditions (!).
For a medium-risk bet, “1st goal: Freiburg” is suggested at 2.02. A 50:50 thing and therefore not a clear value bet tip for me.
For a safe bet, on the other hand, the AI recommends “Double chance 1X”. This is much more appealing, although the odds have recently slipped to 1.37. In any case, Leipzig should not be able to leave the Black Forest with three points.
Analysis: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
Freiburg are still dreaming of qualifying for the UEFA Champions League for the first time and are just one point behind the top four.
Julian Schuster’s side may be benefiting from their lack of European Cup participation this season and remain unbeaten since the start of February (4 wins, 1 draw), with the recent 0-0 draw against Augsburg the only blemish.
However, that draw took the team to 40 points, a ten-point lead on last year and only two points less than last season’s total, underlining Schuster’s good work following the departure of Christian Streich.
RB Leipzig, on the other hand, are struggling badly away from home and have failed to score in their last three away games (2 draws, 1 defeat).
Coach Marco Rose is under pressure as his side have won just one of their last 11 away games in all competitions (3 draws, 7 defeats), against relegation-threatened Holstein Kiel.
This presents Leipzig with a difficult task, as they now urgently need to improve their poor away form if they want to play Champions League football again next season.
Rating Analysis
Grifo hits 3.40 is definitely a tip to keep an eye on for every Freiburg game. The Italian standard king is a reliable goalscorer and has the potential to strike at important moments.
Half-time/final score 1/1 at 4.25 is also an interesting tip. Why not? If Freiburg play at the same tempo as against Bremen, it could be a long evening of soccer for Leipzig.
The Black Forest side are currently in good form and could set the course in the first half to secure victory later on.
Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: Just not the “Red Bulls ”
It’s almost like a curse. No matter how good Freiburg are, nothing comes together against Leipzig. The record speaks for itself – RBL have been unbeaten in 12 competitive matches against Freiburg (8 wins, 4 draws).
That is the longest streak in which Freiburg have yet to win against a Bundesliga team. In fact, Rose’s side have won all of their last five matches.
Freiburg will really have to come up with something if they want to finally win against the “Red Bulls” again. Otherwise, the losing streak will continue
The Breisgau side will also have to pay particular attention to one player if they are to finally put an end to the “RBL curse” on Saturday.
Lois Openda has set up and scored more Bundesliga goals against Freiburg than against any other team (6 goals, 2 assists).
On Leipzig’s last visit to Freiburg in April 2024, when they won 4:1, he was even directly involved in all four goals – the only time in his 57 Bundesliga appearances that he delivered such a performance (2 goals, 2 assists).
It’s clear why Freiburg should focus on him!
Freiburg love “prime time ”
The Freiburg players love the spotlight, and when it’s on them, they show what they can do – even against the stronger opponents.
It may be Freiburg’s first Bundesliga home game on Saturday evening since the end of March 2014, when they won 3:2 against 1. FC Nürnberg.
Nevertheless, Sportclub have never lost a home game in this primetime slot. That shows that they can particularly turn up the heat in these games.
Which the numbers also confirm: Only Bayern Munich (2.83 points per home game) have collected more points per home game than Freiburg (2.27) so far this season.
So the weekend is always a bit more special in Freiburg, and the fans can look forward to an exciting duel in which the team will once again want to prove their home strength under floodlights.
My Freiburg RB Leipzig tip:
The duel between Freiburg and Leipzig promises to be exciting, with a possible draw in the air – perhaps a 1:1.
Both teams are almost equal in terms of quality, but I think that Sportclub will win at least one half. The Breisgauers have often played well at home and could preferably win the first 45 minutes.
My tip: Freiburg will win one of the two halves!
