Galatasaray – Fenerbahce betting tip
It’s the big Istanbul derby that will decide the championship! Galatasaray and Fenerbahce face each other on Sunday and quite a few believe that the title has already been decided and only needs to be confirmed mathematically.
The Lions are six points ahead of their rivals, are having an incredible season and can’t seem to lose.
However, the Canaries have been showing a strong side for months. It’s a shame that one of the best seasons in the club’s history will probably not be enough
In a derby like this, there is of course much more at stake than just three points. For Gala, winning the title in a match against their arch-rivals would probably be the greatest triumph of all. For Fener, on the other hand, it would be a moment of celebration to spit in their rivals’ soup.
What are the odds from our betting providers, who do they see ahead? It’s the home side with odds of around 2.25, although the visitors, who don’t have to travel, are not far away at 2.85.
There is a lot to talk about in my Galatasaray Fenerbahce betting tip, and at the same time hardly anything to criticize. I’ll also reveal why I have a favorite and say: The defending champions celebrate their 17th win in a row and with it the championship!
The betting providers’ forecast?
Galatasaray have won all of their last 16 matches. It is therefore only logical that the Lions will also be the favorites on Sunday. However, the odds of 2.25 are relatively modest.
Restrained because Fenerbahce’s odds are not that much higher. At 2.85, the visitors are actually still doing well, as they have only won two of the last 14 derbies.
In four of the last six derbies, when Galatasaray enjoyed home advantage, there was no winner. Therefore, you should not rule out the draw on Sunday, with odds of 3.75 it is in the normal range anyway
Analysis: Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce
It’s a double dream for all Galatasaray fans: on the one hand, their team can defend the championship with the best record ever.
On the other hand, it is not only possible to win the title in front of their own fans, but in a derby against Fenerbahce of all teams! The big derby, this time on the penultimate matchday of the season
The starting position: Gala are six points ahead of their rivals, the goal difference is four goals better. In Turkey, the direct comparison with the same number of points applies first, as the two teams drew 0-0 in the first leg.
No matter what the opponent is called, nothing can go wrong, not even in the derby. Gala have lost just one league game this season, winning 32 of 36. They have 99 points and nobody is in any doubt: It’s going to be triple digits!
Analysis of odds
The fact that I’m backing the hosts in this derby is already clear from my main betting tip. I’ll go one step further, as Gala have not conceded a goal in six of their last eight matches against Fener. Therefore, you could recommend a home win to zero, which brings odds of 4.75 at Oddset including Oddset bonus code.
Defensively, there is no way around Galatasaray, not even in history. That’s why I wouldn’t bet on an absolute spectacle, but would rather settle on under 3.5 goals, which has odds of 1.62.
Predicting the right result is of course anything but easy. A home win with not quite as many goals? In this case, I advocate a 1:0, the odds are absolutely profitable at 12.0.
Weaknesses? Not for Galatasaray!
With 24 goals conceded, the Lions have the best defense in the country, and with 89 goals of their own, they have almost caught up with the Canaries’ top offense (they stand at 92).
The mini-slips, as I call the three draws and the one defeat, were all conceded away from home, so the Turkish record champions really haven’t conceded a single point in their own stadium.
In recent weeks, Galatasaray have really stepped up their attacking game, scoring 20 goals in the last five matches. Often narrow, lucky or late victories, but it is now becoming increasingly clear
Can Fener withstand the pressure?
Four of their last five wins have been by at least three goals to one, but it would be a major surprise if they can knock Fenerbahce out of their own stadium.
Plus point for Galatasaray: The best possible team can be on the pitch, because nobody is suspended or injured! In the first half of the season, the available personnel were not capable of scoring a goal in the 0-0 draw, but that should change now.
I’ve already briefly touched on it, the direct comparison definitely speaks in favor of the Lions. Ten points from the last four games, two defeats from the last 14, nine times without conceding a goal? That’s what the fans like to hear!
Mauro Icardi, who has been responsible for nine goals and three assists in the last eight games, would love to become a derby hero. To secure the Intertops deposit bonus, I can recommend this bookmaker to you.
Here you can bet on an Icardi goal on Sunday, with odds of 2.40. Or will Fenerbahce manage to take the Argentinian out of the match completely?
The Canaries know: We’re actually playing an incredibly strong season and it’s hard to believe that the league title hasn’t been wrapped up by now. The chances are minimal, but the players still have to believe it
It was the two draws in the last four matches that took the team’s teeth out. After conceding goals in nine out of ten games, at least the defense has recovered recently.
The last time they conceded twice in a row was in October! Fenerbahce have yet to lose away from home, winning 15 games and drawing three times. The last two away games, of all things, have not ended in victory, after months of wins.
Fener will have to fight out the final battle for the title without Irfan Can Kahveci (torn calf muscle) and Rodrigo Becao (suspended), and with Ismail Yüksek also missing through injury, there is a lot to make up for.
My Galatasaray Fenerbahce tip:
Both teams deserve to win this championship, but as always, there can only be one. Galatasaray have everything under control, playing the competition to the ground, even Fenerbahce.
They have won all their home games and there is nothing to complain about either offensively or defensively. Of course, Fener are also playing a strong round, but the Canaries have simply lost their nerve in the decisive moments.
Since the Canaries would have to win to have a chance, but at the same time haven’t enjoyed playing Galatasaray for years, I’m opting for a classic tip:
Gala beat Fenerbahce and become champions!
