U21 European Championship 2025, Quarter-final, 22.06.2025, 21:00
The German U21 national team has never played such a good group stage in its European Championship history as it has this year. The DFB youngsters are the only team to have won all three preliminary round matches in the current tournament.
With these performances, coach Antonio Di Salvo’s young squad has played its way into the circle of favorites. Will Germany now advance to the semifinals? That’s what my Germany U21 vs. Italy U21 prediction is all about.
However, the German juniors face a tough task on Sunday evening in the quarterfinals against “Gli Azzurrini.” The odds for the Germany U21 vs. Italy U21 prediction give Nick Woltemade and Co. reason to be hopeful.
I’ve come to a similar conclusion and am placing a bet with odds of 1.86 at Winamax on “Double Chance 1X & Under 3.5 Goals.”
After the group stage of the U21 European Championship, the DFB selection is one of the big tournament favorites alongside Spain and France. The Germany U21 Italy U21 betting odds are also in favor of coach Antonio Di Salvo’s team.
For a victory for the German youngsters in regular time, the odds at bookmakers offering sports betting with cash out are climbing to a high of 1.95.
For a win for the “Azzurrini,” you can get Germany U21 Italy U21 odds between 3.50 and 3.90. Of course, betting providers with PayPal are also available for bets on this match.
At Euro 2023, Germany lost their final group match against England 0-2, meaning they were eliminated after the preliminary round for the fourth time in 14 European Championship appearances.
However, coach Antonio Di Salvo was allowed to stay on despite the disappointment and set in motion a remarkable turnaround. Since that early exit, the DFB juniors have now gone 18 international games without defeat.
Germany made a statement right from the start of the 2025 European Championship with a confident 3-0 win over Slovenia. And in their second game against the Czech Republic, the German youngsters were already leading 4-0.
However, the German U21 team then switched into cruise control a little too early and allowed their opponents to come back to 2-4. In the end, this victory was enough to secure an early place in the quarter-finals.
And although the group victory was not yet certain before the last preliminary round match against England, coach Di Salvo took a risk and changed his starting lineup in eleven positions.
However, the substitutes did not disappoint the national coach and secured first place in Group B with a 2-1 victory. Statistics such as possession (66%), total shots (18-5) and shots on goal (5-2) ultimately favored England.
Nevertheless, the Germans were extremely strong, especially in the first half. Knauff and Weiper also made sure that the team’s chances were converted. The team’s showpiece is, of course, its offense, which includes players such as Woltemade, Tresoldi, Gruda, and Nebel.
Nick Woltemade was rested for the entire match against the “Young Lions,” but he continues to lead the scoring charts with four goals.
The young DFB players have impressed not only with their play but also with their fighting spirit.
Italy is the record winner of the U21 European Championship alongside Spain. However, the “Gli Azzurrini” won their last of five titles back in 2004. In the last three European Championships, they only made it to the quarter-finals once.
And twice during this period, the FIGC selection was eliminated after the group stage. But in the current tournament, the Italian juniors have shown their best side so far.
Coach Carmine Nunziata can draw on a wealth of Serie A experience in Slovakia with Diego Coppola (Verona), Matteo Ruggeri (Atalanta Bergamo), Niccolo Pisilli (AS Roma), and Giovanni Fabbian (Bologna).
Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds) from the Premier League also joins the squad. The “little Blues” started the tournament with a 1-0 win against Romania. This was the first time Italy had kept a clean sheet in a U21 European Championship opener since 2017.
The second game against hosts Slovakia also ended 1-0 for the “Azzurrini.” The last preliminary round match against Spain was then decisive for the group victory. Italy even had a slight edge in possession (56%) and shots on goal (4:2).
The team also showed great flexibility, playing in a 3-4-2-1 formation instead of the expected 4-3-2-1. Nevertheless, they gave the “Rojita” a close fight on equal terms.
The U21 national teams of Germany and Italy have already played ten test matches against each other. The DFB selection is clearly ahead with five wins and four draws.
The “Azzurrini” have only managed one win in friendly international matches. In February 2013, the Italians won 1-0 in Andria.
However, the statistics show only two competitive matches between the German and Italian youth teams. Both ended 1-0 at a European Championship. In 2009, the DFB team won the semi-final with this score.
And in 2017, Italy needed just one goal to secure victory in the group stage.
Will the scoreboard also show 1-0 after the third competitive match? These two Germany U21 vs. Italy U21 tips are certainly not completely unrealistic. At Betano, a 1-0 win for the German team is paying 8.00.
And at Merkur Bets, you can get odds of 12.0 for a 1-0 win for Italy. Since such a bet naturally involves a high risk, new customers of the provider should secure the welcome bonus after registering with Merkur Bets!
Conclusion: Italy has undoubtedly played well in the U21 European Championship so far and will be a tough nut to crack for Germany. But coach Di Salvo has molded his selection into a real team.
He also has a broad and high-quality squad at his disposal. With this lineup, the national coach can respond to all eventualities at a high level in the knockout stages.
For the first time, the DFB team won all three games in the group stage. Now, Antonio Di Salvo and Nicolo Tresoldi, in particular, face a special duel against their “home country.”
In my opinion, the streak of 18 international games without defeat is likely to continue. However, as the quarter-final could well go into extra time, I’m hedging my bet with a “double chance.”
My Germany U21 vs. Italy U21 prediction is therefore: Double chance 1X & Under 3.5 goals!
