La Liga, Sunday, 09.03.2025 at 14:00
Bye-bye, Atlético. Looks like the “Rojiblancos” can kiss winning the premier class goodbye. Or will there be something next week against Real after all?
Meanwhile, a challenging La Liga task awaits at the weekend. In my Getafe Atletico Madrid betting tip, unlike the bookmakers, I’m assuming that the visitors from the capital could well fail in this one.
Getafe are in a strange position – just six points behind the European Cup places, but just as many points ahead of the relegation zone.
Their current position in the table reflects precisely this predicament. However, the upcoming clash against Atletico Madrid is likely to deepen the worry lines on supporters’ foreheads!
After all, the home side have not won against the “Rojiblancos” in 24 league matches (4 draws, 20 defeats).
The statistics therefore speak for themselves – the “Azulones” traditionally have little to gain against this opponent.
The omens are therefore anything but rosy for Getafe, especially after two consecutive defeats in La Liga. They have not yet suffered a third defeat in a row this season, but that is exactly what is now looming.
However, Getafe could be a little more stable at home on Sunday, as they have only lost three home games this La Liga season (3 wins, 7 draws).
But if Getafe lose here, it would be their third defeat against the “Colchoneros” this season – having already lost two games in the league and cup.
However, the home fans are clearly hoping that Simeone’s team are already thinking about the next big European soccer evening and may not be playing with a full squad in the suburbs!
Atletico face a crucial second leg of their Champions League tie against Real Madrid in a few days’ time. The 2-1 defeat in the first leg was a damper and it is quite possible that some key players will be rested for this game.
Nevertheless, the Rojiblacnos must not drop any points here, as the top game against Barça awaits straight after this clash. A win at Getafe is therefore a must if they are not to lose touch with the top of the table.
The Madrilenians must therefore withstand this double challenge if they are to achieve their long-term goals for the season!
And thanks to Diego Simeone as coach, the data is in the visitors’ favour anyway: out of 14 duels against teams coached by José Bordalás, he has not lost a single one (11 wins, 3 draws).
Not a bad starting position for Atlético. But it won’t be a walk in the park. Getafe have often presented themselves as unpleasant opponents in home games and could try to break up the game with lots of tackles and interruptions.
If the hosts manage to keep the game open for a long time, this could throw the visitors off their stride. Furthermore, Atlético have not always shone away from home this season, which should also give the hosts hope.
In my opinion, there are many indications that a narrow win or a draw is the most likely scenario.
Can you actually imagine it still being 0-0 at half-time? I definitely do! Because if there’s one team in La Liga that stands for uneventful first halves, it’s Getafe.
The games of the “Azulones” are often characterized by tactics and defensive work in the early stages – so it’s no wonder that their games only have an average of 0.65 goals after the first half.
That is by far the lowest figure in the entire league. So anyone hoping for early highlights here could be disappointed.
Personally, I tend to think that the hosts can actually pick up a point or two here.
In any case, one of my best Getafe Atletico Madrid tips for you is that no three goals will be scored this time either.
Of the Azulones’ 13 La Liga home games to date, only the last one ended with a result that broke the famous 2.5-goal barrier.
However, whether it makes sense for a bookmaker with Apple Pay to place a “under 2.5 goals” bet at meagre odds of just 1.45 on average is a completely different question …
Conclusion: Atletico will have to rest a few players, as the Rojiblancos still have every chance of reaching the quarter-finals of the Champions League.
The hosts, on the other hand, know from experience that they can withstand pressure from opponents for a long time and will probably want to systematically destroy any flow of play from their opponents this time too.
My final Getafe Atletico Madrid prediction is as follows: DC 1X & Under 2.5 goals
