Bundesliga Austria, Europa Conference-League-Play-Off-Final, Tuesday, 28.05.2024
The dismissal of Michael Wimmer may have come at just the right time. Interim coach Christian Wegleitner has at least won over all three players as coach of the Veilchen.
However, I’m not quite sure whether Austria are stable enough to cope with TSV Hartberg away from home. Instead, I place my Hartberg Austria Vienna bet on the match combination “Both teams score & Over 2.5 goals in the game” with odds of 1.93 at Oddset.
Austria Vienna have chosen the right timing for the final spurt, collecting three wins from three games under interim coach Christian Wegleitner and therefore have the best chance of making it to Europe next year after all.
After their 2:1 victory in the European Cup play-off final of the Austrian Bundesliga, the Violets are favored by the best bookmakers with odds of up to 2.31 in the second leg.
Hartberg have not reached the level of previous matches in recent appearances and have only won one of their last four encounters.
Despite playing at home, the Styrians are the underdogs and are also given odds of up to 2.90 to win by the German bookmakers
The win odds are only interesting for my Hartberg Austria Wien betting tip because they underline that there is no favorite in this pairing.
My vote becomes more euphoric when the number of goals becomes an issue. In the two previous league home games against Salzburg (1:5) and Klagenfurt (3:2), the ball flew into the net a total of eleven times.
Based on this, it is worth analyzing the last five home games, all of which contained “Over 2.5 goals” in the entire encounter. This certainly increases the value of the maximum odds of 1.70 for “Over 2.5 goals in the match.”
However, most bookmakers stay below this magic limit of 1.70, so a match combination is needed to make the potential profit look affordable.
First of all, our eyes wander over the last results and it quickly becomes clear: “Both teams to score” is a great option, which has worked in eight of TSV Hartberg’s nine previous games.
Again, the individual odds are rather boring. Betano will give you maximum odds of over 1.60. Combined with “Over 2.5 goals in the match”, however, we end up with my Hartberg Austria Vienna tip and odds of 1.93.
If you circle through the individual categories of the Austrian Bundesliga in search of sufficient static reasons, you will find plenty of arguments.
First of all, the permeability of the Styrian back line, which has conceded the third most goals in the league (50.8 xGA), helps.
Fans of the Violets should also stifle their smiles at the 47.1 expected goals conceded by their favored team
When it comes down to it, both coaches can rely more on their attack. Austria Vienna have scored the third most expected goals (50.8 xG) but are only two places above Hartberg (46.6 xG).
I would also like to point out the three results under interim coach Christian Wegleitner, who has always left the pitch as the winner after a 2:1 victory
If the visitors’ manager stays true to this line and celebrates another 2:1 win with Austria, the Hartberg Austria Wien tip would already be crowned with success.
At TSG Hartberg, “Over 2.5 goals scored” and goals at both ends have been a regular feature of the games in recent weeks (7/9).
After the 2-1 defeat in the first leg, the pressure is obviously on the Styrians, who in the best-case scenario could secure a 2-0 win. However, the hosts have only scored at least two goals in four of their last nine league games
That’s why you should almost exclusively mix the odds of 2.15 and higher for “Hartberg Over 1.5 goals” with a free bet.
“Austria Wien Over 1.5 goals”, on the other hand, is much more realistic. Hartberg have built up a negative goal difference of 21:29 in 16 home games and have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per home appearance
Hartberg coach Markus Schopp ideally needs a cream day from Donis Avdijaj, who has scored a total of five goals in his last five league games.
His memories of the last home game against Austria Vienna should bring a sparkle to the goal scorer’s eyes, as Avidjaj led his team to a 2-1 home win against Austria Vienna with a brace on matchday seven.
If you use this Interwetten free bet for odds of 2.65 and bet on “Avdijaj scores”, it fits perfectly with my Hartberg Austria Wien tip
Austria Vienna have won all three league games 2:1 under Christian Wegleitner. Over the course of the season, the Violets offered one of the three best expected attacking lines.
Hartberg feel the wall at their own back and must therefore take full risks with the third weakest defense and play for victory at home.
My Hartberg Austria Vienna betting tip is:: “Both teams score & Over 2.5 goals in the match!”
