Hoffenheim – Schalke Tip Bundesliga 1, Matchday 9 on Sunday, 08.11.2026 at 19:30 CET
On matchday 9 of the 1st Bundesliga, we look forward to an exciting duel. My Hoffenheim Schalke tip is aimed at a home win, as the guests are weakening offensively. Let’s check the details.
For our Hoffenheim Schalke prediction, A particularly interesting market is the goal scorer tip on Adam Hlozek with a strong 2.25 percentage.
The Czech striker is extremely dangerous, even if he has only scored twice so far. His expected goals are 3.38, which means that he clearly leads the squad. A goal seems to be only a matter of time.
The game on Sunday evening at the SNP Arena will be the end of the matchday. In front of 30,150 spectators, the ball will roll from 7:30 p.m., just three days after the hosts’ tough European performance.
In the table, the two opponents are currently separated by five points. The Kraichgau team are twelfth on nine points, while the Royal Blues are stuck in 17th place with just six points.
A look at the current Hoffenheim Schalke odds shows the home side clearly at an advantage. For the guests, however, it is about important points in order not to lose touch early in the tough relegation battle.
Hoffenheim – Schalke Prediction & Betting
Another exciting option for your Hoffenheim Schalke bets is the aforementioned bet on a home win at odds of 1.60. The Kraichgau team have won the last three duels with a total of 10-1 goals.
In addition, at odds of 3.25, the tip is that Schalke will not score a goal. Schalke have not scored a goal of their own in the last four competitive games. According to data, the Hoffenheim defence allows only a little.
If you are looking for a little more risk, you could consider the multiscore bet 1:0, 2:0 or 3:0 with free bets. The guests hardly scored away from home, and the hosts have the third-best analysis in the league defensively.
What you need to consider when betting on Hoffenheim vs. Schalke
- Hoffenheim are second in the first half, then fall to 16th place.
- All Schalke players had 25 shots, Harry Kane alone has 37.
- Hložek has the best score in the squad with 3.38 xG, but only scored twice.
- Under 3.5 goals was successful in seven of Schalke’s eight league games.
Hoffenheim – Schalke: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our innovative AI tool has calculated the probabilities for this match. The artificial intelligence sees the home side quite clearly in the role of favorites with a chance of victory of 58.9 percent.
A draw is valued at 22.0 percent, while an away win for the Royal Blues only comes to 19.1 percent. This reflects the current sporting crisis of the guests relentlessly.
In terms of expected goals, the AI tool predicts a total of 1.85 goals for Hoffenheim. The seventeenth-placed team, on the other hand, is only expected to score a meagre 0.70 goals, which underlines the harmlessness.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Hoffenheim |
Draw |
Victory Schalke |
| 58.9% |
22% |
19.1% |
A look at the Hoffenheim Schalke tip for the halves is also lucrative. The Kraichgau team are extremely strong in the first half, but often collapse after the break. A sports betting bonus can be wonderfully combined with 1st half: Win TSG!
In addition to Hlozek, Max Moerstedt also stands out in the goalscorer bets. His 1.73 expected goals per 90 minutes are the best in the squad, even if he has not yet been able to collect so much playing time.
The market Under 3.5 goals reflects the character of the game well. The guests hardly pose any danger, and the hosts have already missed 19 big chances. I don’t expect a shooting festival here.
The best odds for Hoffenheim vs. Schalke
If we look at the current Hoffenheim Schalke betting odds, the average odds for a home win are around 1.60. This is absolutely in line with the clear role of favourites for the home side.
For a draw, the bookmakers call odds around 4.00. In view of the fact that the home side have not drawn a single time this season, this result would be a surprise.
An away win for the Royal Blues is traded with odds in the range of 5.00. The low probability of just under 19 percent clearly shows that the bookmakers have little trust in the guests.
The probabilities speak for themselves. If we take a look at the history, this impression is confirmed: The last three direct meetings have all gone to the Kraichgau team.
Hoffenheim vs Schalke Match Analysis:
For the hosts, Sunday offers the perfect opportunity to establish themselves in the middle of the table. With a home win, the team could even set their sights on the international ranks again.
The guests from Gelsenkirchen, on the other hand, are deep in the relegation battle. With only four goals scored, they have the most harmless offense in the league. A liberating blow in Sinsheim currently seems very far away.
The game should be clearly distributed. Hoffenheim have an average of 55.5% possession, while the visitors have the lowest figure of all 18 Bundesliga clubs at 39.7%.
We will experience a game against a very deep-lying block. However, the home side can deal with it, as they have already created 26 big chances, but unfortunately left 19 of them unused.
The timing of the goals will be particularly exciting. The Kraichgau team dominate most of the first half, but often fall off sharply in the second half and have a negative goal difference of 9:13.
Therefore, I expect a clear pattern: early pressure from the hosts, followed by a phase in which they want to manage the game. The guests will have to hope for mistakes, as their own attacks are in short supply.
Hoffenheim form check
The team is in twelfth place in the table with nine points after eight completed matchdays. Three wins and five defeats result in a goal difference of 14:16.
The most recent appearances show light and shadow. A strong 3-0 win against Leverkusen and a 2-1 win in Mönchengladbach were followed by a bitter cup exit in Kiel and a disappointing 2-0 defeat in Bremen.
On the international stage, things are rather mixed. A clear victory against Lyon was contrasted by a home defeat against Beşiktaş. The 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace on Thursday was also not a real highlight.
Defensively, the analysis values actually look better than the bare figures. With 10.4 expected goals conceded, they are the third-best value in the league, but have already conceded 16 goals in reality.
However, the personnel situation is a concern for coach Christian Ilzer. With Albian Hajdari, Robin Hranac and Nathan De Cat, three important players are missing from the defensive unit after meniscus surgery.
In addition, Valentin Gendrey and Patrick Wimmer are out due to injury. At least Vladimír Coufal and Ibrahima Conté could return. We expect the starting eleven in a classic 4-1-2-1-2 formation.
Schalke Form Check
The Royal Blues are in penultimate place after eight matchdays with a meagre six points. A single win, three draws and four defeats make for a weak goal difference of 4:9.
The latest results set off all alarm bells among fans. Defeats in Freiburg and against Mainz were followed by a goalless draw in Cologne, the cup exit in Dresden and a 2-0 defeat against RB Leipzig.
This means that the team has been waiting for a goal of its own in four competitive games. Four goals in eight league games is the absolute low. The 7.7 goals expected also confirm the blatant offensive weakness.
The distribution of the few goals is interesting. In front of their home crowd, they remained completely without a goal in four games, and four goals were scored away from home, which is enough for seventh place in the away table.
It also looks bleak in terms of personnel. With Maximilian Wöber, Ron Schallenberg, Moussa Sylla, Emil Höjlund, Janik Bachmann and Adrian Gantenbein, six players are out. Mertcan Ayhan only trains individually.
A small ray of hope for coach Miron Muslic is the return of two important players. After all, El-Faouzi and Gosens are real candidates for the upcoming matchday again after their collision.
