Inter Milan – Liverpool Tip Champions League, Matchday 6 on Tuesday, 09/12/2025 at 21:00 CET
It’s actually a bad joke, but one that is no longer funny for LFC fans. Another Premier League weekend is over, and once again the Reds were not victorious – and now Mohamed Salah is also stepping up against his coach.
In my Inter Milan Liverpool prediction you can now find out why you can expect an entertaining encounter on the 6th Champions League matchday and where to get the best odds boosts.
The “slot machine” is broken, no question about it – it pays out the jackpot to every opponent. Nevertheless, the Reds have so far dealt an average of 2.0 goals per appearance in the Champions League. It is precisely this aspect that makes me really optimistic about my bet!
Five of the last six meetings between Inter and Liverpool have ended in a win without conceding a goal (2 for Inter, 3 for Liverpool).
In fact, the two teams have not scored in the same game since their first meeting in May 1965 – a 3-1 win for the Reds.
The previous encounters between the two clubs have therefore mostly been low-scoring. But Liverpool 2025/26 is a different team than in the past, which is why it is quite possible that they will concede an unusually high number of goals again this time.
Inter Milan – Liverpool Prediction & Betting
It’s not long until Tuesday evening, and I used the short time until then to grab a good betting app and place one or the other promising Inter Milan Liverpool tip in time.
Liverpool: Over 1.5 goals at odds around 2.45 is such a betting thought that is buzzing around in my head. Inter is no longer as stable as it was under Inzaghi. Since his successor Chivu took office, he has conceded a worrying 1.0 goals per Serie A game.
The selection Over 3.5 goals comes with a win multiplier of 2.67 if successful, which is magnificent in my eyes.
In fact, if penalties are excluded this season, only Paris SG (100) have had more shots on goal than the Reds (98), with Inter still in fourth place in this ranking with 95.
What you need to know about Inter Milan vs Liverpool betting
- Inter Milan have the second-best xGA (Expected Goals Against) in the Champions League (0.74 per game), only behind Arsenal. However, Inter’s comparatively simple schedule should be taken into account.
- Like Inter, Liverpool also lost the last CL game (4-1 against PSV). PSV earned an xG value of 2.17 (less than Liverpool), but were very effective on counterattacks.
- Christian Chivu’s team had odds as outsiders in six competitive games this season, of which they lost five. In those games, Inter scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded 2.0.
- Alexander Isak and Mohamed Salah are the favourites to score against the away team, although they have only scored one goal together this Champions League season. Salah had three goals and four assists last season.
Inter Milan – Liverpool: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our Inter Milan Liverpool AI prediction should be taken with a grain of salt in my eyes. The data model processes a vast amount of facts and usually recognizes things that remain hidden even to me.
However, I would not recommend an away win bet on Liverpool, even at odds around 3.30. The unrest within the dressing room is taking on clearer and clearer contours, which is why I don’t expect the Reds to be victorious at the San Siro.
Lautaro Martinez meets is a computer-generated piece of advice at odds around 2.40, which I am by no means skeptical about – on the contrary!
The Argentine has scored in all five of his team’s Champions League home games at the San Siro in 2025 – if not him, then who?
1st goal: Inter Milan is also a really promising suggestion. If successful, you can roughly double your stake, as Milan are true experts at scoring the 1-0 – especially at the San Siro!
The best odds for Inter Milan vs. Liverpool
Let’s take a look at how the bookmakers classify the Inter Milan Liverpool odds – a duel that seems close on paper, but still reveals clear nuances in the market picture.
A home win by Inter Milan is rated 2.15. The bookmakers are thus signalling that the Nerazzurri are slightly favoured due to home advantage, structure in the build-up to the game and defensive stability, without the result being considered certain.
The draw is 3.60. The bookies calculate that a tactically cautious phase is possible, in which both teams play for safety and chances arise late – not the preferred scenario, but clearly taken into account in the model.
For an away win of Liverpool there is a 3.20. The bookmakers see the Reds as a dangerous challenger: individually strong, with transition strength and experience in close international games.
The odds show that Liverpool are capable of turning the game around at any time, but are not considered slight favourites.
Overall, the Inter Milan Liverpool odds reflect a market picture that sees Inter slightly ahead, but credits Liverpool with enough chances to find value in all game outcomes – especially in a game that promises excitement and twists.
Inter Milan vs Liverpool Match Analysis:
Despite home advantage, Inter will not play exclusively forward. Experience from the semi-finals against Barcelona shows that the Nerazzurri can also wait and see and rely on counterattacks.
Against Liverpool’s nimble attackers, this could be the best strategy to close spaces.
Nevertheless, a completely defensive game is unlikely: Liverpool have delivered Champions League games this season with an average of 3.6 goals per game, even above the competition average of 3.44.
Inter will therefore look for the ball themselves from time to time, create quick transition moments and try to put the Reds under pressure at the back. An open, entertaining match is in the air.
Liverpool’s weaknesses against long balls could benefit Inter. Direct passes over the pressing line and isolated duels against Van Dijk, who has not been in top form recently, could be dangerous.
The Reds will continue to look for their fast attacking game, but Inter can control phases and counterattack.
It is a game in which speed, precision and the exploitation of mistakes are decisive: goals on both sides are likely.
With Liverpool’s attacking power and Inter’s ability to switch quickly, one can look forward to an exciting, high-scoring Champions League duel.
Inter Milan Formcheck
Inter recently suffered a setback: 2-1 in Madrid against Atletico, the decisive goal conceded in injury time.
Nevertheless, the Nerazzurri are on twelve points after four games – favoured by a comparatively easy opening programme against Ajax, Slavia Prague, Union SG and Kairat.
Now the real endurance test begins: Liverpool at home, Arsenal and an away game in Dortmund await.
Predictions continue to see Inter in the top eight, with four points expected to be collected in the next three games.
Problems lie above all in the conversion of chances: The xG shows that they should have scored at least 1.57 goals more.
Defensively, however, Inter shows impressive values: With 0.74 xGA per game, they are in second place in the Champions League behind Arsenal. Even against Atletico, they allowed 1.08 xG and six shots on target, but won the xG record (1.42).
In addition, unbeaten at home since September 2022 (2-0 against Bayern), which continues to make San Siro a fortress.
Christian Chivu can build on a solid defence and a strong home run, while the offense must finally become more effective. If they take their chances, the Nerazzurri remain a hot candidate for the knockout rounds.
Liverpool Form Check
Liverpool disappoints not only in the Premier League, but also in the Champions League. According to expected points, the Reds should have 11.3 points after five games, third place – only 0.47 points behind Inter.
This shows that the upcoming duel in San Siro will be much closer than many expect. The 4-1 defeat against PSV was too high, the chances spoke against it.
The causes lie mainly in individual mistakes, especially in defence. Opponents only had an average of 3.4 shots on goal per game – less than against Inter – but the opponents’ chance conversion was high: 20% hit rate.
Two defeats in five games are currently putting some pressure on Liverpool. Arne Slots’ team, still top of the Champions League league phase last season, looks vulnerable.
Current projections see Liverpool in tenth place at the end of the league phase, possibly play-offs in March. Among the title favorites, they are only in ninth place with odds just over 4%.
Despite everything, the numbers show that Liverpool can still make every game open with a more stable defence and better chance conversion, even away against strong opponents like Inter.
