Italy – Belgium Tip Nations League, Group A1, Matchday 1 on Thursday, 25/09/2026 at 20:45 CET
At the start of the Nations League, we are in for a real cracker. Here I provide you with my Italy Belgium tip for the duel at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. It’s the start of a new era for both teams, which makes it particularly exciting.
The statistics are clear here. Italy have scored the first goal in each of their last eight games. Belgium, on the other hand, have often conceded the first goal recently, which makes this tip a clear matter for me. Especially since the host under Mancini should start very motivated!
Italy vs. Belgium AI Predictions:
An interesting suggestion of our Italy Belgium AI forecast concerns the bet type Hit both teams, which you can also use to meet the conditions for a good sports betting new customer bonus.
Statistically, there is also a lot to be said for this proposal. After all, goals have been scored on both sides in seven of the last ten direct duels. For the Belgians, this has also been the case in nine of their last 13 games – another indication of a high-scoring game!
The Nations League in particular has often proven to be a guarantee for good football entertainment for Italy. Both teams have scored in seven of their last eight games in this competition. This further underlines the high attractiveness of this bet, even at odds of around 1.66.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Italy |
Draw |
Victory Belgium |
| 43.3% |
26.2% |
30.5% |
For the braver among you, a bet on a draw could also be an option. Italy may be unbeaten in five meetings with Belgium, but the Red Devils have lost just one of their last 19 games. A division of points therefore seems quite realistic.
Although I assume that the “Squadra Azzurra” under Mancini will start the game with great motivation, the no longer quite so great quality of this squad could stand in the way of a possible Italian victory in the Olimpico.
What you need to know about Italy vs. Belgium betting
- Strong form of the Squadra Azzurra despite blunder: I see a convincing success rate for the hosts; Italy have won nine of their last 11 matches, but suffered a setback in a 4-1 defeat to Norway.
- Impressively consolidated Belgians: The guests prove to be extremely difficult to beat on the international stage; Belgium have lost just one of their last 19 caps (a 2-1 defeat to Spain at the 2026 World Cup).
- Kean as a reliable attacking force: In the attack of the Italians, an attacker with a strong quota stands out; Moise Kean is currently the most prolific goalscorer in the Squadra Azzurra squad with a remarkable 13 goals in 26 appearances.
- Rare betting odds with a positive trend: The estimated win odds of 2.10 for Italy appear to be an extremely lucrative offer.
