Bundesliga Matchday 31, Saturday, 04/26/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
In Gladbach, the players have not yet given up on qualifying for European competition. Goalkeeper and captain Jonas Omlin recently reiterated this.
The Foals are three points behind sixth place in the table, and no more than five points separate Borussia from the last Champions League qualifying spot.
Although results have been lacking recently, the team’s energy level has returned to a good level in their most recent match against Borussia Dortmund (2-3). The visitors will take this momentum with them into the Kiel Gladbach prediction.
The Storks’ collection of victories has been meager this season. Most recently, KSV has won only one of 13 Bundesliga games.
Direct survival is no longer realistic, but the battle for the relegation spot is likely to go down to the last matchday.
However, the home side will need a brilliant performance in attack to get points against BMG, as my Kiel Gladbach tip at Interwetten is on “Gladbach to score over 1.5 goals” at odds of 1.70.
The bookmakers’ prediction?
You have to be able to give credit where credit is due. The Storks have put this motto into practice admirably in their home games. With the exception of Heidenheim, no Bundesliga team has dropped more points at home than KSV.
Accordingly, the home side’s underdog status is certainly justified. If you compare the bookmakers’ odds, you will find that a win for the Bundesliga newcomers will yield more than three times your stake almost everywhere.
However, the odds for a Gladbach win are also valuable, easily exceeding the 2.00 mark.
AI prediction Kiel vs. Gladbach: ChatGPT’s prediction
For this match, the AI prediction is relatively consistent with my expectations. ChatGPT recommends betting on “Over 2.5 goals” as a pleasant start. That should be feasible, as 73 percent of Kiel’s previous matches have ended with at least three goals. However, the odds at Bet365 are correspondingly low (1.46).
The artificial intelligence’s next recommendation also includes at least three goals. This time, however, it is combined with a successful performance by the Foals. “Gladbach to win & over 2.5 goals” is offered by Betano at odds of 2.75.
The third option involves a somewhat incomprehensible risk, with ChatGPT being tempted to bet on “Plea to score the first goal.” The odds of 7.50 at Interwetten are reasonable and, in my opinion, offer relatively little value. Plea is the visitors’ second-highest scorer (10), but has only scored in two games since matchday 16.
Analysis: Kiel vs. Gladbach
Gerardo Seouane wants to involve his two wingers in particular in the game going forward. Last weekend (2-3 vs. Dortmund), BMG’s offensive play worked well, even though Robin Hack and Franck Honorat, the two established players on the wings, were missing.
Both players are expected to be available again for the next matchday and should add extra quality to the attack.
For my Kiel Gladbach prediction, I looked at, among other things, which mismatch clearly favors the visitors. The conclusion is clear: Borussia has immense advantages in the air.
No team in the league has conceded more headers than Kiel (14). Seouane’s team has scored the most headers (11) after Dortmund (12), and Tim Kleindienst (6 of them) already scored with his head in the first half of the season against KSV.
Odds analysis
The first Bundesliga clash between Kiel and Gladbach ended in a clear victory for the Foals (4-1). I think BMG are capable of scoring at least two goals again.
So far, the Foals have finished 47 percent of their Bundesliga away games with at least two goals of their own. They have been on a real run away from home recently, with Gladbach scoring twice in five of their last six Bundesliga away games.
That brings me to a possible betting option for the Bwin voucher. “Tim Kleindienst to score” is available at this bookmaker at odds of 2.35.
Kiel vs. Gladbach: How will Rapp start in defense?
The Storks are and will remain the weakest defense in the German top flight until the end of this season. So far, the North Germans have conceded 71 goals.
There is a complete lack of security in the back line. In the clash with Gladbach, it could be even more difficult to maintain order in the back.
Winter signing David Zec will miss the next matchday, as will his center-back colleague Marco Komenda. In addition, Colin Kleine-Bekel is still behind in training and Ivan Nekic is struggling with muscle problems.
Marcel Rapp will therefore have to completely reshuffle his defense, which is something no coach wants to do at this crucial stage of the season.
Given this situation, it is likely that Kiel will miss out on a seventh consecutive home win at the Holstein Stadium, rapidly diminishing their hopes of securing a relegation spot.
Too much traction
High crosses and aerial duels are a stylistic device that spectators will often see in this matchup. Both defensive lines are responsible for this.
Kiel (359) and Gladbach (374) prefer to direct their opponents’ attacks out to the wings. From there, they have allowed more crosses than any other Bundesliga team.
The reason why the Storks (71) have conceded so many more goals than the Foals (46) can be seen in the rate of aerial duels won in defense.
Kiel (47.1 percent) is one of the three weakest teams in this discipline, while BMG is one of the five most successful teams (52.2 percent).
My Kiel Gladbach prediction:
Individually, Gladbach is ranked above the home team. In addition, Borussia’s strengths are a perfect match for KSV’s weaknesses, which is why I see a clear advantage for the visitors.
In addition, Marcel Rapp’s team is struggling in defense and has only kept two clean sheets all season. My Kiel Gladbach tip is therefore as follows:
Gladbach to score over 1.5 goals!
