Bundesliga Matchday 2, Saturday, 31.08.2024 at 15:30
The Storks must learn to fly quickly in the Bundesliga. Otherwise, they could suffer the same fate as many other promoted teams who have failed before them.
A good start to the season is crucial if they are not to become embroiled in the relegation battle early on and lose their self-confidence.
The first appearance was very promising, even if it ended without any points. The team showed that they can keep up and regularly create chances.
In my Kiel Wolfsburg betting tip, I will also take a closer look at the Kiel Wolfsburg AI prediction from ChatGPT and work out a small difference of opinion:
This will be the third competitive match duel between Holstein Kiel and VfL Wolfsburg in professional soccer – the first two encounters took place in the relegation matches of the 2017/18 season.
For those who want to know exactly: Wolfsburg won both games (3:1 at home, 1:0 away) and thus secured their place in the Bundesliga.
In my Kiel Wolfsburg prediction, however, we focus solely on the 2nd Bundesliga matchday 2024/25 and why the Northern Lights could be happy about a historic goal and point win at the same time
The betting providers’ forecast?
The Kiel Wolfsburg odds promise real excitement and offer opportunities for clever bettors! With odds of 3.15 for a home win for Kiel, a solid payout beckons for all those who see the promoted team on the surprise track.
A draw is priced at 3.65 – for those who want to bet on a hard-fought draw.
However, Wolfsburg are the slight favorites in the betting markets with an average of 2.18.
KI prediction Kiel vs Wolfsburg: ChatGPT bets on it
Let’s get straight to the Kiel Wolfsburg AI prediction that I dislike the most.
While I wouldn’t rule out a win for the promoted team, ChatGPT considers a win for the Wolves to be a medium-risk betting tip.
Where I fully agree with the artificial intelligence, however, is in the prediction that both teams will score. I can also confirm the “low risk of loss” estimated in this context
However, the Kiel Wolfsburg AI forecast from ChatGPT is also capable of making more daring predictions, and it has actually spit out a risk tip for Saturday.
Half-time/final score X/2 is always a risky pattern somewhere, but I like the idea due to the disproportionately high payout – even if I remain of the opinion that the Storks will not come away empty-handed
Analysis: Kiel vs Wolfsburg
Holstein Kiel are in good company after their 3-2 defeat to Hoffenheim.
They are the fourth team in a row to remain winless on their Bundesliga debut (1 draw, 3 defeats).
Overall, only one of the last eight teams has won their first Bundesliga game (FC Ingolstadt in the 2015/16 season – otherwise 3 draws, 4 defeats).
But now the encouragement for all fans of the Storks: Of the last nine Bundesliga debutants, only 1. FC Heidenheim lost the first two games of their debut season
As a Bundesliga newcomer, it won’t be any easier on matchday 2 in purely statistical terms. The upcoming opponent is a true master when it comes to punishing a lack of experience at this level.
VfL Wolfsburg have only lost one of their last nine matches against a promoted team (4 wins, 4 draws): a 2-1 defeat at Werder Bremen in January 2023.
Last season, the Wolves even picked up 10 out of a possible 12 points against the two newcomers – only Leipzig and Leverkusen fared better with 12 points each.
Quota analysis
These are not computer-generated Kiel Wolfsburg AI tips, but ones that I have come up with myself. However, there is a common intersection!
I strongly recommend that you bet on both meeting at 1.57 – as ChatGPT and I are in absolute agreement here, this is a no-brainer!
For those who are looking for a profitable 1X2 bet: Double odds 1X to 1.72 is a smart move, even if the bookies and AI think otherwise. My insider tip?
Benedikt Pichler scores his first Bundesliga goal – odds of 3.40! For brave bettors with a heart for the promoted team, this could be the bet that really pays off
Kiel vs Wolfsburg odds: Kiel with home advantage? No way!
Holstein Kiel picked up just 29 points from 17 home games in the 2nd Bundesliga last season, which put them ninth in the home table.
However, they were the best away team in the 2023/24 season, collecting 39 points on foreign soil.
Historically interesting: Despite six home defeats, Kiel became the first team in modern second division history to be promoted to the Bundesliga
Both teams have a lot of offensive potential
The clash between Holstein Kiel and VfL Wolfsburg promises to be high-scoring.
Kiel fired 17 shots on goal in their Bundesliga debut against Hoffenheim – only Leverkusen (25), Hoffenheim (21) and Dortmund (20) recorded more on the first matchday.
Kiel also created five clear goalscoring opportunities, a league-high along with Hoffenheim.
Wolfsburg were also strong in attack: Both teams achieved an xG value of 1.9 on the first matchday of this season, which indicates many good scoring chances – only Leverkusen, Bayern, Hoffenheim and Freiburg were better here.
Wolfsburg had a comparatively low xG value of 39.7 last season (only undercut by Darmstadt with 32.8), but their strong start shows that they have worked effectively on their chance conversion during the summer break
The combination of Kiel’s attacking drive and Wolfsburg’s potential promises an exciting and high-scoring game.
Incidentally, VfL fielded the youngest starting eleven in the league on the first matchday, with an average age of 25 years and 86 days. So they shouldn’t have a lot of experience
My Kiel Wolfsburg tip:
Kiel showed last week against Heidenheim that they have a lot to offer offensively, so a goal should have been scored by now.
The attacking line was bold and creative, which gives hope for the upcoming game – this time they shouldn’t disappoint in front of goal.
With this attacking attitude, I believe that the first Bundesliga point is absolutely possible on Saturday.
Wolfsburg are strong, but definitely not unbeatable. If Kiel keep at it and are effective up front, a real surprise is possible here.
So my Kiel Wolfsburg betting tip is: Kiel won’t lose and both teams will score
