Serie A, Monday, 16.12.2024 at 20:45
The last match of matchday 16 of Serie A is on the program. Lazio Roma host reigning champions Inter Milan tonight. The hosts are having a strong season, are right up there at the top and could even move up to third place with a three-pointer.
Lautaro Martinez and his team are the slight favorites with the bookmakers.
I think we will see a very exciting game in which both teams will score goals, my Lazio Rome Inter Milan betting tip at Merkur Bets!
Inter Milan conceded their first goal and suffered their first defeat in the Champions League last week, losing 1-0 to Bayer Leverkusen. It was their second competitive defeat of the season.
Prior to that, the 20-time Italian champions had only lost to city rivals AC Milan. Sounds like another impressive season and with a total of two games less, Inter could draw level with Atalanta at the top on six points.
However, a three-pointer against Lazio is needed first and I don’t see that as a must, just like the bookmakers. At the bookies, the visitors have average odds of 2.10, Lazio 3.50 and the draw is around 3.30.
The starting market is too hot for me. Inter lost against Leverkusen last time, but the double chance 1X is also too much of a risk for me, because I expect a really even game and one opportunity can make the difference here.
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In addition, I liked Inter’s defense better in the league last season. They’ve currently conceded 15 goals after 14 games, whereas last season Milan conceded 22, but after 38 matches.
The Nerazzurri are somewhat more vulnerable and are currently missing Benjamin Pavard at the back, their only absentee alongside Francesco Acerbi.
Apart from Luca Pellegrini, Lazio have no injury worries. However, Taty Castellanos is missing for the top match. The top scorer is suspended, a clear weakening of the offense!
However, I am convinced that we will see Inter and Lazio cheer at least once. The champions have scored in every game so far. Only in the Champions League have they failed to score against Leverkusen and Man City.
Lazio can almost boast this statistic. In their 15 games, the capital side have only failed to score in a 1-0 defeat to Juventus. However, that was away from home. Lazio have been a force at home so far.
Seven games, six wins and one draw, which puts them top of the home table. The only unbeaten away team apart from Juve is Inter. As you can see, this is a clash of superlatives.
Inter are not the only team doing well internationally. Lazio are currently leading the Europa League, have won five out of six games and are still unbeaten in the competition, where their 14 goals make them one of the best offensive teams.
These results give them confidence. Especially the most recent ones, as the team has only lost one of its last twelve matches. Only Parma caused a temporary dip in spirits in their 3:1 home win.
Top team Napoli then lost twice in a row to the men in the light blue jerseys, first in the cup (1:3) and then in Serie A (0:1). This was followed by a 3:1 win against Ajax in the Europa League.
Lazio and Inter are also among the most prolific teams in the advanced statistics. The teams are right at the top in terms of both the number of chances and the number of shots directly on goal.
They are second and third in the “expected goals” category. Only Atalanta were even more dangerous
They are also top in terms of defense. However, I expect the attacking departments to produce more brilliant moments. Lazio will be looking to overtake Inter during their current run of form, while the visitors will be looking to keep up with the leaders.
At the same time, this match, like so many in Italy, is a prestige duel. Let’s take a look at last season’s results: Inter beat Lazio 2:0, and the reunion at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium was a 1:1 draw.
In between, Inter won the Super Cup semi-final 3:0, the only game in which Lazio were really harmless. However, Marco Baroni is now coaching the team and has clearly raised the level of play.
Conclusion: Yes, top striker Castellanos was unable to get involved against Inter. Ultimately, the hosts have many goal-scoring players in their ranks, they are still unbeaten at home and have scored in 14 out of 15 games.
The visitors have even scored in every league game so far. In terms of the number of goals scored, both teams belong to the 200 club in the league. Inter are currently without Pavard and have conceded one goal in their last two games.
Ultimately, Lazio and Inter will go into the match with a very broad chest, with both sides aiming for three points. I expect a lucrative Monday night game in Serie A!
My Lazio Roma Inter Milan betting tip: Both teams will meet