Serie A, Sunday, 01.12.2024 at 20:45
The race for the 2024/25 Scudetto is more exciting than ever this season! Although oddsmakers have Inter ahead with PayPal, a look at the table reveals that five teams could leave the defending champions behind this weekend.
In my Lecce Juventus prediction, however, a “win to nil” bet comes first. Because when I tell you some of the data that influenced my decision, you’ll understand why!
Juventus, better known as the “Bianconeri”, have recovered well despite a few setbacks. In fact, I have no doubt that they will prevail against Lecce without too much drama.
The loss of Bremer a few months ago tore apart the previously insurmountable “Catenaccio”, but coach Thiago Motta has managed to stabilize the defence again after a few adjustments.
The Old Lady’s defense is now once again one of the best in Europe, as impressively demonstrated by their last three competitive matches without conceding a goal.
Although Juventus have not suffered another defeat after the 1-0 defeat against Stuttgart in the Champions League league phase (2 wins, 5 draws), they have drawn far too often in recent weeks for a championship contender.
While these draws are of course better than no points, they prevent the team from playing any further up the table.
Nevertheless, the planned comeback of Dusan Vlahovic against Lecce could provide more offensive power in the future, even if the Serbian has not scored many goals so far.
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On the other hand, Lecce’s performances have been rather disappointing. Despite finishing in a secure mid-table position, there is little sign of offensive power. With just six goals from their first 13 games, they occupy last place in the Serie A goalscoring statistics.
This is particularly strange when you consider that they are not in the bottom of the table despite this extremely low offensive output.
Watch out: The southern Italians have not scored a single goal in their eight defeats so far this season, which practically gives my Lecce Juventus tip of a one-nil win for the visitors a head start.
A surprise win against Juventus therefore seems all but impossible, especially considering how strong the “Bianconeri” are defensively again and how they have cleverly filled the gap left by Bremer with Kalulu.
Juventus’ general form in Serie A is much better than Lecce’s, even if they are missing half a dozen players.
Historically, Juve have won all of their last five Serie A duels against Lecce, with the southern Italians only managing to score a single goal themselves in those 450 minutes.
These clear data, together with the already discussed weak offense of the relegation candidates, make the bet on a one-nil victory for the “Bianconeri” more and more convincing the more I think about it!
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If you look through the data for clues for a good bet, it is noticeable that US Lecce have always scored less than 3 goals in their last five games.
This clearly indicates a defensive style of play. Therefore, the bet on “Under 2.5 goals” at odds of 1.65 seems to be a very promising option for Sunday.
Juventus, on the other hand, have scored many goals in the first half away from home this season. In exactly 50% of the Bianconeri’s away games this Serie A season, more goals have been scored in the first half than in the second half.
This statistic makes the bet “Most goals are scored in the first half” at odds of 2.90 particularly attractive.
My guess is that Juve will put a ball in the opponent’s net before the break and then manage the lead until the end.
Conclusion: In my Lecce Juventus prediction, I’m betting on a win for Motta’s team without conceding a goal.
In all likelihood, it will be a hard-earned, unsightly victory in which the “Bianconeri” will overcome their opponents through patience and defensive stability.
Lecce are lucky to be so high up in the table despite having a terrible offense, but it will be difficult to be successful over 90 minutes against Juve with this recipe.
My tip: Juventus beat Lecce to zero
