Champions League, Tuesday, December 10, 2024 at 9:00 p.m.
The scene from the German Cup round of 16, in which Manuel Neuer saw red for the first time in his career, could actually have been a turning point for the “Werkself”.
The triumph against the record champions, in which this scene played a decisive role, should have given Xabi Alonso’s team a new boost.
But the Champions League poses a completely different challenge. Against Inter Milan, one of the most in-form teams in Europe, it will be no easy task to underpin their ambitions of finishing in the top eight.
Can the Rhinelanders build on their performance in the DFB Cup and make a mark internationally too? In my Leverkusen Inter Milan tip, I examine the chances of the reigning German champions in this prestigious duel!
The Italians have several advantages on their side – both statistically and in having a day more to recover. Bayer Leverkusen have lost all three previous duels against Internazionale.
This makes Inter one of two opponents against whom the “Werkself” have not won any points in three meetings in European competitions. This record clearly speaks in favor of the guests, who will once again pose a major challenge for B04 on Tuesday.
Based on this, the best Leverkusen Inter Milan prediction I can give you alongside the Bet365 offer code is a 0-0 half-time result.
The bookmakers’ prediction
The Leverkusen Inter Milan odds suggest that the betting providers are gearing up for a close and high-class duel between the two top European teams with Apple Pay.
At 2.25, the Werkself are considered slight favorites, thanks mainly to their home strength and impressive record in European club competitions.
Inter Milan, on the other hand, start the game with odds of 3.20. However, the Italians know how to score points in difficult away games and could benefit from this on Tuesday.
KI prediction Leverkusen vs Inter Milan: That’s what ChatGPT tips
The computer-generated Leverkusen Inter Milan AI prediction I got over the weekend shows a clear tendency, which I can only partially understand.
The risky tip, “Leverkusen to win & both to score”, does not convince me – despite strong odds of about 3.70.
It is simply unlikely that both teams will score, as Inter’s defense often performs solidly and they have not been overwhelmed by a top offense like ManCity’s (0:0 on matchday 1).
The middle risk tip, “Over 1.5 goals in half time 1”, also goes against my expectations. Especially in the first half, the game could start slowly!
The “supposedly” low-risk suggestion, “Leverkusen scores in half time 1”, is therefore just as unconvincing to me. The low odds of 1.85 on average only make this tip even less attractive.
Analysis: Leverkusen vs Inter Milan
You almost feel disappointed by Leverkusen because they are not as high up the Bundesliga table as they were in the 2023/24 championship season.
However, the Rhinelanders have only lost a single competitive game this season despite major challenges since September – a 0-4 defeat to Liverpool on the 4th UCL matchday.
By “challenges”, I mean, incidentally, the injuries to Victor Boniface and the injury to Patrik Schick, who did not play against St. Pauli!
It’s alarming for Leverkusen: the Rhinelanders are without a real center forward before the home game against Inter.
Meanwhile, Inter has handled the events from the game against Fiorentina, involving Edoardo Bove’s collision, better than expected.
They managed to seamlessly continue their incredible series of successful performances with a 3-1 win over Parma last Friday.
Incidentally, my Inter Milan Parma betting tip, which assumed that the promoted team would not go down with man and mouse, also proved to be true.
Nevertheless, Simone Inzaghi has put together a top team that could successfully defend the Serie A title at the end of the season.
Odds Analysis
A 0-0 at half-time at odds of 3.25 actually offers an outstanding risk-reward ratio.
Given the defensive strengths of both teams and the potential focus on tactical discipline in the early stages, this scenario is by no means outlandish.
Another exciting bet is on under 1.5 goals for Leverkusen, which is valued at odds of 1.80.
In view of possible absences in the offense, it could actually be difficult for Alonso’s team to score more than once.
This offer is particularly worth considering for data-loving betting fans. After all, Inter has only conceded more than one goal in its last ten competitive games.
Leverkusen vs. Inter Milan odds: The best “catenaccio” in Europe!
I am convinced that we could see a low-scoring game, thanks to the famous Milanese catenaccio, which is currently arguably the best defensive line in Europe.
It is interesting to note that Inter could even set a historic mark: they could become the first team ever to go six games without conceding a goal in a Champions League season (so far 0 goals conceded in five games).
Particularly impressive is how effective Simone Inzaghi’s defense has been, allowing the lowest average xG per shot (0.07). This statistic also illustrates how difficult it is for opponents to create truly dangerous chances against them.
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Inter: Keeping a clean sheet is top of the agenda!
Inter is tactically set up to make keeping a clean sheet a top priority. Sometimes you might even think that Coach Inzaghi would prefer a 0-0 to a narrow 2-1.
This defensive approach is also reflected in the numbers: Internazionale have won their last four Champions League games without conceding a goal. The last time an Italian team managed this was in the 2012/13 season (Juventus, five games in a row).
Key to success for Inter is goalkeeper Yann Sommer, who impresses with a clean sheet rate of 75% (9 of 12 games) in the premier class.
This is the highest success rate of all goalkeepers with at least ten appearances for a team in the competition. Leverkusen thus faces a real challenge in breaking through this strong defensive line.
Another good argument for a low-scoring Leverkusen Inter Milan tip.
A glance at the 36-team table also makes it clear why both teams are likely to play with the handbrake on from a strategic perspective.
Neither Inter nor Leverkusen are under pressure to win, and a point is better than none. It is therefore plausible that this game will be rather leisurely.
It would not be a surprise if risk is avoided and the game remains tactical instead of ending in a wild exchange of blows.
Because a place in the top 8 will remain for both teams in this case even after the 6th Champions League matchday!
My Leverkusen Inter Milan tip:
In my final Leverkusen Inter Milan prediction, I expect a 0-0 half-time result. Especially since Leverkusen is expected to play without Schick, which could significantly weaken the attack.
In addition, both teams have little incentive to give their all in view of the table. That makes a goalless draw at half-time against the best defense in Europe absolutely realistic, if not even likely.
My tip: 0:0 at half-time