Premier League, Sunday, 11.05.2025 at 17:30
With the greatest possible conviction, Liverpool have already secured the English championship early this season and snatched their 20th title.
Coach Arne Slot therefore makes use of the many options on his bench at the end of the season and allows underperforming players to showcase themselves.
For the Gunners (2nd), on the other hand, Champions League qualification is still at stake. My Liverpool Arsenal tip is: “Double chance X2” with odds of 1.72 at ODDSET.
The Reds lead the Premier League table with a 15-point advantage over Arsenal. However, the betting providers do not see a lack of motivation.
In a comparison of Winamax’s betting odds, Liverpool (2.05) continue to perform slightly better than the team from London (3.60).
The Gunners are of course still smarting from their Champions League semi-final defeat to PSG. But what better way to wash away the frustration than with a convincing win against the newly crowned champions?
While the home side will rotate as they did against Chelsea (1-3) and can accept defeat, I don’t expect Mikel Arteta to make any wholesale changes.
This gives Arsenal the advantage of playing with a well-coordinated squad that has conceded the fewest goals from open play in the league (12).
In addition, the runners-up have scored consistently against the Reds of late and have not lost in five meetings. Your Merkur Bets bonus could therefore be better invested than in a bet on an “Arsenal (DNB) win.”
However, I feel a little more comfortable with a “Double Chance X2”. The North Londoners have barely lost in this Premier League season (4 defeats, 2 of them against Bournemouth).
The problem for Arteta’s side, however, has been the constant points draws (13). Only Everton have more often settled for a final result without a winner (15).
The Gunners are desperately searching for a real goalscorer for the coming season. The lack of an ice-cold goal machine was only recently felt against PSG (1:2 defeat despite 2.91 xG).
However, I expect Arsenal to score against a new-look side at Anfield Road thanks to their own defense. After all, Arteta’s charges have conceded fewer expected goals than any other team in the Premier League (30.20 xGA).
Furthermore, the visitors have impressively demonstrated this season that visiting teams only cause them limited problems.
Arsenal are unbeaten in 12 Premier League away games (6S, 6U) – no team in the English top flight can match this active streak.
It is also interesting to look at the last meetings between these two English top teams. Not only have Liverpool been without a win in five head-to-head meetings (3U, 2N), but they have also conceded the first goal in each of those five matches.
In addition, the Reds have failed to win their two previous home games against Arsenal. However, the newly crowned champions have not lost either of these duels – both ended without a winner (2:2, 1:1).
From the six previous rounds, five teams have scored more points than Liverpool (12) and seven have scored more than the Gunners (9).
However, the goal difference between the two top teams in the English top flight has been identical over this period (+4 each).
Arsenal are currently second in the table (67 points), but are only four points ahead of Chelsea (63), although the Blues are in fifth place.
Nevertheless, I still think Arsenal can get at least a point against the already crowned English champions, who no longer approach games with the highest intensity.
My Liverpool Arsenal tip is: Double chance X2!
