Premier League, Saturday, 08.03.2025 at 16:00
The question should no longer be whether Liverpool will become English champions in 2025. It’s probably just the timing that’s being discussed! My Liverpool Southampton tip is the epitome of a “David vs Goliath” category.
The first one receives the last one. Therefore, for me it’s really only about how big the home win will be. That’s why I’ve picked out the right bet for you in the Merkur Bets app, which is at odds of 1.80: Liverpool win by at least two goals!
The odd draw here and there – it’s those famous luxury problems for a team that has hardly any competition left in the title race! Liverpool are heading for the next championship, perhaps with just a single defeat.
On matchday four, they suffered a historic 0:1 against Nottingham, and nothing has gone wrong since. The Reds have now been unbeaten for 24 rounds. Only once before has such a streak been ended by a bottom club: in February 2011, when Manchester United lost to Wolverhampton.
In 25 of 28 games, at least two goals have been scored, and nobody can keep up with that this season. With 66 goals, the offense is the lone leader. Of course, everyone at Liverpool knows how much they owe to Mo Salah once again.
With 25 goals and 17 assists, he is the absolute high-flyer, the home game against Nottingham, which was lost 1-0, was the only game at Anfield in which he was unable to score or set up a goal.
Interesting: Salah “only” scored nine times at home, his brace all came away from home. With odds of 1.28, the goal bet at Betano is worth nothing. Trusting him to score at least two goals could therefore be a little riskier, although the odds of 2.05 are not that high.
Incidentally, you should also definitely take the bonus at Betano. In the first half of the season, Salah scored twice in the surprisingly close 3-2 win against the Saints – but away from home
In fact, he had not scored against Southampton five times in a row before that, so such a lull is quite noticeable for the top striker. Incidentally, the two clubs will meet for the third time this season at the weekend.
Shortly after the 3-2 win in the league, the Reds won 2-1 in the FA Cup – so this victory was also very close. 3:0, 3:1, 4:0, 2:0, 4:0, 3:0, 3:0? The most recent results from Anfield make much better reading.
Since 2015, Liverpool have conceded just one goal in league home games against Southampton, with Che Adams responsible for that in 2022. Ten goals conceded in total, three in the first half, there is nothing to complain about in terms of defending at home.
In the last three home games, Liverpool have led by at least two goals after the first 45 minutes. So you shouldn’t be surprised when I say: The home win tip is obviously not worth it on Saturday!
Average odds of 1.10 to 22.0 appear at our best bookmakers, so it should be incredibly difficult for Southampton. The bottom side have won a measly two times, with 22 of 27 games ending without a point.
Their seven most recent defeats have all been by three goals or more, with a total of 65. Only once this year have they managed to keep a clean sheet in the first half.
Have they reached a new low? For the first time this season, Liverpool have conceded four goals twice in a row, with Brighton and Chelsea (4-0) giving the team bottom of the table no chance.
Since I bet on Liverpool to win with a handicap of -2, I’d like to add this: It was only a few days ago against Chelsea that Southampton conceded such a heavy defeat away from home!
The team kept relatively unscathed for a long time, but now it seems to be collapsing. They have conceded eight goals in their last three away games, seven of which came before the break.
So if Liverpool score at least two goals before the break on Saturday, you can look forward to strong odds of 2.00 at Betano.
Will Liverpool FC pull off an unchallenged victory against Southampton as expected? Given the form the visitors bring with them to Anfield, I can’t really imagine anything else.
Everything is going according to plan for the Reds, they have distanced themselves from their rivals and the team can regularly let off steam at home. Admittedly, the first two duels against Southampton in 2024/25 were rather close, but I don’t expect that to be the case in match number three.
The Saints are currently conceding a huge number of goals, and Liverpool’s Mo Salah could possibly beat them single-handedly. I have therefore decided on the following handicap bet:
Liverpool win by at least a 3 goal margin!
