La Liga, Saturday, 04.05.2024
On matchday 34, Mallorca and Atletico face off in La Liga. With five rounds to go, both clubs are on the verge of achieving their minimum targets for the season.
RCD have a six-point cushion on the relegation zone. And the men from Madrid, with a six-point lead in fifth place, will almost certainly be playing in the top flight again next season.
Nevertheless, no team should feel too secure just yet. After all, there are still 15 points up for grabs. I have confidence in the home side on Saturday and am playing the bet “Double chance 1X” in my Mallorca Atletico Madrid betting tip at odds of 1.78 with provider Betano
The starting position in the Mallorca Atletico Madrid prediction is clear. While the “Colchoneros” are as good as guaranteed to be in the CL next season, the “Piratas” have not yet secured their place in the league.
The best bookmakers are therefore making the visitors the favorites. There are odds of between 2.05 and 2.12 for a Madrilenian win, while you can get almost four times the odds for a three-pointer for the home side.
With average odds of 1.62 for the bet “Under 2.5 goals”, the bookies don’t expect many goals either. Just 27 goals have been scored in RCD’s 16 home games.
However, Madrid have been waiting for a “clean sheet” for 13 games. The “Both teams to score” bet, which has odds of 2.02 at Sunmaker, might be a good option after all
Mallorca were a classic elevator team until their relegation in 2021. In 2017/18, RCD even slipped into the 3rd division. The owners then actually wanted to establish the club in the top 10 of the Primera Division.
However, coach Javier Aguirre was hired as a fireman in March 2022. The coach was only able to celebrate relegation with the Bermellones on the final matchday.
In the Mexican’s first full year in the dugout, Real Club Deportivo finished in a fantastic 9th place. In the summer, the club spent more money on new signings than ever before (€25 million).
However, a real upswing has yet to set in. At the weekend, they faced an important basement clash at FC Cadiz, who are currently in the first relegation spot
With a 1:1 draw, RCD were able to keep their opponents at bay and remain six points clear of the first relegation place. The goal difference is also in Mallorca’s favor, with 12 goals to Cadiz’s 23.
The coach also led the Balearic team to the Copa del Rey final. However, Real Mallorca suffered a penalty shoot-out defeat against Athletic Bilbao.
As the team under the Mexican coach has also been accused of an unattractive style of play, the coach’s contract, which was due to expire in the summer, has not yet been extended.
The “Pirates” have particularly struggled away from home. There has only been one win in 17 away games (7U, 9N). At home, the record is at least slightly positive with five wins and four defeats (7U).
Atletico actually had high hopes for this season. Especially after finishing last in a group with Porto, Bruges and Leverkusen last season and being knocked out of the top flight at an early stage.
But the Colchoneros still have to wait for a title. They were last crowned champions in 2021. The most recent triumph in the Europa League dates back to 2018.
And the last cup victory was celebrated in 2013. At the weekend, the Madrilenians were able to record an important 3:1 win at home against Bilbao.
Champions League place 4 was at stake here. A defeat would have seen the Basques close the gap in terms of points. However, the win allowed Atleti to extend their cushion over their only rivals to six points.
This means the club will probably be back in the top flight for the eleventh season in a row. In the era under coach Diego Simeone, the Colchoneros have never missed out on the most important international competition.
However, Atletico can no longer be satisfied with a place in the top four alone. Madrid’s attack has simply missed too many chances this season.
In addition, 40 goals conceded in 25 competitive matches this calendar year are evidence of defensive instability. With 46 points and only one defeat, the Rojiblancos are still the best home team in La Liga.
On the other hand, their record away from home is negative with just five wins in 16 games (3U, 8N). Simeone’s side have won just two of their last eleven away games
Atletico lead the record against Mallorca with 29 wins to 19 defeats. However, Madrid have struggled when visiting the island. The Colchoneros have a negative record here, with nine wins to 13 defeats.
The last two away games at RCD ended in a 1-0 defeat. However, the home side won the first leg at the Wanda Metropolitano 1-0 this season
If this trend continues, the bet “Both teams score – No” would be a good option. With bookmaker Betway you get odds of 1.77 for this bet.
Conclusion: At first glance, there is a lot to be said for the visitors from the capital. Especially as Mallorca have not won in five competitive matches. But Atletico are struggling away from home this year.
In 16 away games, they have only managed five wins. Son Moix in Palma is also not a good place for the Colchoneros. On the other hand, the “Piratas” have conceded just four defeats in 16 home games this season.
So I think the home side will get at least a point this time too. My betting tip for the Mallorca – Atletico Madrid game is: Double chance 1X
