Manchester United – Manchester City Tip Premier League, Matchday 22 on Saturday, 17.01.2026 at 13:30 CET
My Man United – Man City tip for the Premier League promises to be a gripping affair. The legendary Manchester Derby opens the 22nd matchday and electrifies not only England.
My main bet for this city duel is a combination bet that has it all. At NEO.bet, I bet on “Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals” at a strong odd of about 1.70. The offense of both teams is simply too good to remain goalless here.
Man United vs. Man City AI predictions:
I took a closer look at the numbers of our AI tool to create a data-based Man United Man City forecast. The analysis sees City’s guests quite clearly ahead with a probability of victory of 47.1%.
For a home win for United, the algorithm spits out a chance of 31.0%, while a draw is rated 21.9%. Old and new bookmakers see it similarly and give City a chance of victory of over 50 percent, which depresses the odds.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory United |
Draw |
Win ManCity |
| 31% |
21.9% |
47.1% |
It will be particularly exciting with the goals. The data analysis predicts a total of 3.15 goals for the game. The Skyblues are expected to score 1.75 goals, while the Red Devils have a value of 1.40. That supports my main tip: Over 2.5 goals and both teams score perfectly.
According to the odds of our bookmakers, Erling Haaland is the most likely goalscorer in the game. The probability that the Norwegian superstar will score is over 60%. He has already scored 20 times in the league this season. At Betano, where you can always get a Betano odds boost, odds of 1.88 are called for a Haaland goal.
What you need to know about Man United – Man City betting
- The Red Devils have greatly improved their attack and are among the top 3 in the league in terms of goals scored per game (1.71).
- United have only kept a clean sheet in one of their last ten league games. City have only managed to do so away from home in three of their last nine games.
- With Michael Carrick, there is a new man on the sidelines of United. Often a change of coach provides an offensive impulse.
- No team in the league has scored more goals (45) or a higher xG value (40.24) than the Citizens.
- In the last ten direct duels, an average of 3.3 goals per game were scored, which indicates an entertaining match.
