Serie A 22nd matchday, Saturday, 25/01/2025 at 18:00
Showdown in Serie A – Napoli host Juventus, and it could prove to be an advantage that the southern Italians have had to make do without European club football this season.
The question is whether the Neapolitans can use the freshness they have gained from the departure of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to beat their arch-enemy Juve. Such a victory would be a significant step on the road to a possible title win.
First things first: My hottest Naples Juventus betting tip for you is not that the “Bianconeri” will win a game at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona for the first time since 2019.
Almost all good football betting providers of distinction have called for an extremely high “both teams to score” rate, and for good reason.
After all, there have only been goals from both sides in two of Napoli’s twelve home games so far this season.
Accordingly, my Naples Juventus tip is that it is quite likely that we will see a result that confirms this defensive tendency and could end up being 1-0 or 2-0.
The betting providers’ prediction?
The Naples-Juventus odds are an interesting proposition. With an approximate 2.15 odds for a home win, the bookmakers are showing quite a bit of confidence in the southern Italians.
Juventus are therefore being treated as outsiders – a 3.90 for a win by the “Old Lady” seems almost like a rarity considering their illustrious history. Incidentally, a draw is valued at around 3.10, which suggests that it will be a very close game.
Analysis: Napoli vs Juventus
Napoli have established themselves at the top of the Serie A with impressive consistency. A 3-2 win at title rivals Atalanta underlines their overall strength, and with now six wins in a row, they are reaching a form that strongly resembles their Scudetto triumph in 2023.
Despite the departure of Kvaratskhelia, the team under Antonio Conte is impressively filling the gap and has so far picked up 24 points at home – the top of the league.
Now, Juventus, 13 points behind Napoli and focused on a top-four place, await. After a convincing 2-0 win against Milan, the Bianconeri were somewhat disillusioned by the 0-0 draw against Club Brugge last Tuesday.
SSC has a tough nut to crack on Sunday! Juventus have had an amazing away run this 2024/25 season, with seven draws and one win.
Their last competitive away defeat actually dates back to April 2024, when they lost 2-1 to Lazio at the Olimpico in the Coppa Italia.
Consequently, it is clear why I will definitely cover a draw in my Naples Juventus betting tip.
However, daring sports betting fans among you could certainly consider betting exclusively on a possible 0-0 or 1-1 result.
Given the two strong defenses, this tip would not be unjustified.
Odds Analysis
The bet “Under 2.5 goals” at odds of 1.53 is a fairly safe choice when you consider that in the last four games of Juventus Turin, there have always been less than three goals.
Juve are currently playing hesitantly and defensively, which could easily lead to another uneventful game in the Diego Armando Maradona.
If you are willing to take a little more risk, you could alternatively or additionally consider the “Juve without a goal” bet at 2.30.
I think that Juventus’ forward line has been unconvincing in recent games. If one team goes scoreless in this duel at the foot of Vesuvius, then it will obviously be the away team.
As rare as a lunar eclipse!
It is a historically extremely rare situation that prevails on this 22nd Serie A match day!
This is only the third time in the history of the Serie A that Napoli have a lead of at least 13 points over Juventus in the standings at the time of the clash with the “Bianconeri”.
However, this could also spur Juventus on to give their all to hold off their archrivals – even if the league title will once again remain out of reach for them this season.
Napoli are as good as they were the last time they won the Scudetto!
The loss of Khvicha should hardly slow Napoli down, as David Neres should replace him seamlessly on the wing. The Brazilian even brings more creativity and enthusiasm.
Napoli will play with discipline against Juventus and, in my opinion, will be just as successful in the second half of the season as they were in the first with “Kvaradona”.
Especially since SSC should benefit enormously from the additional playing time that the extremely talented Neres will now be granted.
Choosing a win bet on Napoli over one of the sports betting apps thoroughly checked by my friends would make perfect sense.
The SSC is clearly in better shape: Napoli has always had the upper hand in its last 5 Serie A home games against its upcoming opponent, which in itself sounds very promising.
What’s more, Antonio Conte knows his upcoming opponent like the back of his hand from the many years they have spent together.
Another victory would see them win 17 of their first 22 Serie A games for the third time in their history – the last time they managed that, they secured the “Azzurri” the league title (2022/23).
Despite the departure of Kvaradona, Napoli has no need to worry about scoring goals. There are other players who will follow in his footsteps.
Scott McTominay, for example, has already scored five league goals for Napoli, four of them before half-time – an impressive performance that shows he is also taking on an important role in offense.
“1:0 by Tominay” would thus be an obvious betting idea, which is rewarded with a dream odds of 9.75 on average in the betting markets on Saturday.
My tip:
It will be a nerve-wracking game – real chess on the pitch with a lot of skirmishing in the midfield!
Nevertheless, I see Napoli as being in slightly better condition for a number of reasons, and I expect them to come out on top with a narrow 1-0 victory. Neres in particular should create more forward pressure.
Juventus will be largely stable defensively, but the SSC’s winning goal could come sooner or later.
My Naples Juventus betting tip does not make this a condition, however, as I have several safeguards with the option “Double Chance 1X & Under 3.5 Goals”