EFL Cup, quarter-final, Wednesday, 18/12/2024 at 20:45
Just as you can “kick down doors” anytime in our sports betting Advent calendar, the Magpies will try to push open the door to the EFL Cup semi-finals on Wednesday.
According to my Newcastle Brentford tip, they will succeed. The visitors have to face several challenges this time, which could significantly weaken them compared to the league clash of 11 days ago.
Newcastle may have lost 4-2 to Brentford in the Premier League last week, but now they have the chance for revenge in the EFL Cup quarter-finals – and I think this time things could actually turn out differently.
Why? It’s simple: Brentford have not done well away from home this season. They are at the bottom of the away table with only one point – together with Southampton, who are just as bad on the road.
That definitely gives Newcastle an advantage, especially since they perform much better at home, especially against the big teams in the Premier League like Chelsea (2-0), Arsenal (1-0) and Liverpool (3-3).
These three top clubs are among the last five away teams at St. James Park, and the Magpies’ record is impressive: 2 wins, 1 draw.
So if Newcastle can reproduce this level of performance in their home stadium on Wednesday, then it looks good for a successful revenge over the Bees, who are notoriously weak away from home.
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In addition, Brentford played against Chelsea on Sunday, which will have really taken a toll on them.
Considering they have to play Newcastle just 70 hours after the 2-1 defeat to the Blues, it won’t be a walk in the park.
By comparison, NUFC had the better preparation, having already beaten Leicester 4-0 in a relaxed game on Saturday.
Eddie Howe was even able to rest players like Isak, Bruno and Gordon, which ensures a fresh squad.
It was also a good sign for the boys that they were able to let players like Trippier and Osula have a go in a relaxed game – it shows the depth of the squad.
Another factor in Newcastle’s favor is that they have no injuries or suspensions that could hold them back in the important cup match against Brentford.
On the other hand, Brentford have possible injuries and suspensions to contend with, especially after an intense match against Chelsea.
I’m thinking of Ajer, Jensen, Janelt and Nunes, who are all either not quite at 100% or will continue to be out of action.
No doubt about it, Brentford will give it their all on Wednesday despite all the obstacles, but will they have enough energy to pose a threat to Newcastle?
That is debatable. If Newcastle can reproduce the form of their last few home games, especially their solid performance against Leicester, then I definitely see them in the semi-finals of the Carabao Cup.
All in all, I would bet on Newcastle – they really have a good chance of getting this win!
In the next section, I will give you very specific suggestions for a successful Newcastle Brentford tip.
Because both of the Premier League duels played this calendar year produced six goals each, with the losing side scoring a brace (4-2, 2-4).
Thanks to the extensive range of offers in the Betano app, I am able to place a very special accumulator bet based on the pattern “Newcastle promoted & over 2.5 goals” at odds of 1.98 with just a few clicks.
Conclusion: I would clearly back Newcastle here. They simply have the better chances of qualifying for the EFL Cup semi-finals.
They are more rested and also have the necessary depth in the squad to get revenge against the Bees for the Premier League defeat they suffered around 11 days ago.
However, the Magpies will probably concede a goal or two against this unpleasant opponent again this time.
My Newcastle Brentford tip is therefore: Promotion NUFC & over 2.5 goals.