Conference League, group stage, 5th matchday, Thursday, 12/12/2024 at 9:00 p.m.
No Austrian representative has presented itself as successfully as Rapid Vienna this season. Only two clubs have collected more points in the Conference League than the Hütteldorfer. And only Legia Warsaw has conceded fewer goals.
In my Omonia Nikosia SK Rapid prediction, however, I am betting on a clean sheet for the Viennese because the odds are so favorable.
The betting providers with Apple Pay have obviously been influenced far too much by the admittedly somewhat mixed performances of Klaus’s team recently.
Actually, this game smells like a clean sheet for Rapid – and in fact, if they weren’t in an unspeakable crisis, this would be my preferred tip without any ifs or buts.
The Viennese team seem to have already played their best months of the 2024/25 season and now have to be careful not to ruin the good results of the first weeks of the season with a dry spell before the winter break.
In their last four competitive matches, there has been no victory, only 3 draws and 1 defeat. That doesn’t really sound like a team that can win the Bundesliga title for the first time in about 20 years. Especially if we take a closer look at these results!
A 1-1 draw against the Shamrock Rovers on the last UECL match day is definitely unsatisfactory considering that the bookmakers only gave the Viennese an average of 1.20 to win before the game.
A performance that does not exactly inspire confidence. And then there was the 1-0 home defeat in the Bundesliga against BW Linz a few days later, which should have also hit the fans hard.
Yes, the 2-2 draw against Salzburg last Saturday gave them a bit of hope again, but let’s be honest: the Salzburg team, which is currently weakened by injuries, is anything but in top form at the moment.
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Omonia Nikosia, meanwhile, has lost its last three UECL games against Hearts (0-2), Ghent (0-1) and Legia Warsaw (0-3), each time keeping a clean sheet.
These defeats were by no means uninteresting for my personal Omonia Nikosia SK Rapid betting tip. After all, these teams are clubs that Sportklub could beat themselves on a good day. So why not try to copy their victories?
Even if the Cypriots will certainly not admit defeat, their current form does not really speak in their favor.
Especially since the return of Guido Burgstaller to the Rapid starting lineup should provide more impetus in offense, especially after his mandatory break due to a yellow card against Salzburg.
Given the Viennese team’s poor form, I might not have been tempted to place an away win bet. But the Omonia Nikosia Rapid odds offered by the betting providers have made me reconsider.
An away win quote of about 2.35 has turned out to be quite high and leads me to suspect that the Austrian team’s period of weakness may have been over-priced.
These odds lead the experienced betting pro to conclude that they are disproportionately underestimated – and that offers plenty of potential for a lucrative value bet.
In combination with a clean sheet win tip on the Hütteldorfer, it could even rain a profit multiplier of about 4.5x in the markets.
Admittedly, it’s not the safest bet, but the potential payout more than makes up for the risk you take on it.
By the way: would you have thought that this pairing had actually happened before? Back in the 1998/99 season, when Rapid Vienna still reached the knockout phase despite a 3-1 defeat in the first leg against Omonia Nikosia by winning the second leg 2-0 at home.
At that time, the famous away goals rule still applied.
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Conclusion: In my Omonia Nikosia SK Rapid prediction, I opt for a win by the away team without conceding a goal.
The Viennese will surely be annoyed that they carelessly wasted their chance to take the lead in the table against the Shamrock Rovers! But their performance against RB Salzburg at the weekend showed me that they are on the right track.
The return of Guido Burgstaller to the starting lineup in particular makes the offense much more dangerous. The odds are also too tempting to not take advantage of this offer – the risk-reward ratio is definitely really good.
My tip: Win SK Rapid without conceding a goal
