La Liga, Matchday 36 on Thursday, 15.05.2025 at 19:00
It didn’t take me long to find the right odds for my Osasuna Atletico Madrid tip. At Bet-at-home, I’m betting that the hosts will score one or two goals, as they still have something to play for.
Qualification for international competition is still possible, and the club has been difficult to beat at home so far. The Colchoneros celebrated a resounding victory last time out, but they are likely to have more to contend with this time around.
Not every bet can come off. After my successful tip with the “Double Chance 1X” with one to three goals against Rayo Vallecano, I was unfortunately wrong with my Real Sociedad goal in the 0-4 defeat to Atletico.
I expected more from the Europa League round of 16 team, who will probably not be playing in Europe next season. Nevertheless, I am motivated to bet on at least one goal against the Colchoneros again.
Not every bet can be a winner. After my successful “Double Chance 1X” bet with one to three goals against Rayo Vallecano, I unfortunately missed the mark with my Real Sociedad goal in the 0-4 defeat to Atletico.
I expected more from the Europa League quarter-finalists, who are unlikely to feature in European competition next season. Nevertheless, I am motivated to bet on at least one goal against the Colchoneros again.
So far this year, there has only been one home defeat, a 1-2 loss to Getafe, and Osasuna has scored in every other game at El Sadar this season. This makes it clear that the home team will definitely score, and the odds of 1.43 are interesting.
However, I think it’s a little too low to go for as a single bet, which is why I’m adding the bet “Osasuna under 2.5 goals” for 1.55. They shouldn’t score more than two goals against the second-best defense in the league. Especially since Atletico has played three consecutive games without conceding a goal.
A 3-0 win against Vallecano and a 4-0 win against Sociedad, with a goalless draw at Alaves in between. If you’re looking for the Rojiblancos’ last away win, you’ll have to scroll back a bit further in the calendar to the beginning of April, when they won 2-1 at Sevilla FC.
Atletico is picking up again at the end of the season, but all in all, too many points were dropped after the turn of the year. As a reminder, the Colchoneros were still top of the table after the first half of the season. In the second half, they are currently in seventh place.
Osasuna collected six points less, dropping points against Villarreal (2-4) and Real Betis (1-1) after three consecutive wins against Girona (2-1), Valladolid (3-2), and Sevilla (1-0). Before the start of the 36th matchday, they are now two points behind the Conference League spot.
With just one clean sheet in their last six games, the odds of 1.85 for both teams to score are also interesting.
However, given their two goalless away games against Las Palmas and Alaves and their poor away record, I find the bet a little too risky in the end. I’d rather just rely on one goal from the hosts.
Incidentally, they are considered slight underdogs at odds of 3.70 against the star-studded team from the capital. Atletico has odds of 2.10 for a win with our PayPal betting providers, while a draw can be added to your betting slip at 3.35.
Of the double chance selections, the 1.73 for “1X” is the most attractive. Osasuna has only lost one game at home this year, while Atletico regularly struggles away from the Estadio Metropolitano.
Atletico won the first leg 1-0, their twelfth victory in the last 13 encounters. This makes it clear that Osasuna is one of Antoine Griezmann and Co.’s favorite opponents. Diego Simeone has coached his team to victory 16 times in 18 games.
Of all the teams that have played more than one match against Atletico under the Argentine head coach, Osasuna has the fewest points on average after Valladolid.
There has not been a draw yet. Statistically speaking, 1.30 for the “Double Chance 12” is a great bet.
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Conclusion: Osasuna has scored in all of its home games so far, and Atletico has dropped out of the championship race mainly due to its weak away performances in the second half of the season.
Given their strong record with only three home defeats and the fact that the hosts desperately need points to stay in the fight for European places, I believe Osasuna, who can rely on their entire attacking line-up, will score at least one goal.
However, the Colchoneros have been defending better recently, which is why I am limiting the number of Osasuna goals for better odds.
My Osasuna Atletico prediction: 1-2 Osasuna goals.
