NFL 2024/25: Packers – Saints
Betting providers with a German license are trading the home side as clear favorites with home win odds of around 1.10 for this match. You don’t need expert knowledge to determine that!
In my Packers Saints tip, however, I can help you to better understand why the bookmakers’ verdict is justifiably so clear.
I’ll also help you pick the best handicap for what should end up being a clear victory for the “Bayers”.
The Green Bay Packers, known as the Cheeseheads or simply “G-Force,” come back to Lambeau Field at home with plenty of momentum. The win against Seattle in Week 15 was not only important for their own playoff hopes, but also a real statement.
140 rushing yards on 34 carries – that speaks volumes. As you can imagine, this win gives the Packers a real boost. Plus, the home crowd will provide a great atmosphere.
Lambeau Field is a fortress in these conditions. Feeling 3 degrees and possibly icy wind – that will be no walk in the park for the Saints, who are more accustomed to the warmth of Louisiana.
Apropos: The New Orleans Saints, affectionately referred to as the “Black and Gold” by their own fans and the press, have some unfinished business ahead of Tuesday.
Quarterback Derek Carr missed last week due to a concussion, and Alvin Kamara, their versatile running back, is also banged up.
Both players are questionable, and without these key contributors, it should be a tough night for the Saints offense.
Imagine Spencer Rattler and Jake Haener going up against a Packers defense that ranks 7th in EPA allowed and fourth in takeaways. That can only end in a fiasco!
The Saints offense already struggled to move the chains last week against Washington’s weak defense. That led to their own defense being on the field for over 40 minutes. You know what that means – it wears down any team, especially in sub-zero temperatures.
Green Bay could control the game with their dominant running game. Finally, the Saints rank 29th in “EPA allowed per Handoff” and 30th in “Success Rate per Carry”.
If the Packers score early, they could run down the clock with their running game and sap the strength of the visiting defense with each subsequent rushing attempt.
On the other hand, the Saints offense has scored just 47 points in their last three games combined, falling short of their own expectations each time.
With those numbers, combined with wind gusts over 20 mph, this smells like a low-scoring game and a dominant running game for the ‘Bayers.
The question is: Will the Saints even manage to get into the game offensively? Or will the Packers set the tone from start to finish on the frozen turf of Lambeau?
Personally, I find it difficult to use the great Oddset free bets without assuming a Packers victory in any way.
New Orleans should already be planning for the upcoming season and not send their best players into a meaningless match with injuries. Consequently, I simply expect the visitors to go into this duel with the handbrake on.
The Packers, on the other hand, have only been able to beat two equally “sun-kissed” franchises such as the Dolphins (30:17) and 49ers (38:10) in their last two home appearances.
Consequently, I see no reason to reject the offer of most bookmakers with PayPal for “Win Green Bay with HC +17” at current odds of 1.91 against this completely demotivated opponent.
Conclusion: The Saints’ defense is certainly the best part of the “gold and black” team.
But if the offense doesn’t deliver and they’re on the field for 40 minutes again in frosty Wisconsin, it will wear down any defense, no matter how stout.
Consequently, I assume that the Bayers, who are extremely strong at home, will mercilessly overrun their opponents with their running game from the start of the second half at the latest.
My Packers Saints tip in detail: Victory GB with HC -14.
