Poland – Romania Tip Nations League, Group B2, Matchday 3 on Friday, 02/10/2026 at 20:45 CET
In the duel of the winless in the Nations League on Friday (20:45 CEST), I expect the home team to win a point and over 2.5 goals in the game with my Poland Romania tip. This combination brings me an attractive odds of around 2.10 at Betano.
The Poles, like Romania, probably expected a little more, but while Gheorghe Hagi’s troops are still without points, Jan Urban’s team could at least enjoy a point against Bosnia Herzegovina.
Poland vs. Romania AI Predictions:
Poland has left the slightly stronger impression and this is also shown by the AI analysis of our AI tool. The hosts are in the role of favorites. The probability of victory for a success of the Urban eleven reaches an impressive 59%.
While a draw is about 24 percent according to the AI forecast, a Romanian triumph only results in a probability of 17 percent.
The omens are clearly in favor of the hosts. That doesn’t surprise me much, as the Poles have won the last three meetings with Romania by at least two goals.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Poland |
Draw |
Victory Romania |
| 58.7% |
24.1% |
17.2% |
According to our AI forecast, some goals are likely to be scored. The calculations suggest 1.45 Polish goals, while the guests have an xG value of 0.95. Enough to place in my opinion a Poland Romania bet on Over 2.5 goals in the match at Betano odds of 1.82.
The Poles achieved an average xG value of 1.55 per game in competitive home games over the last 12 months. Romania records an average of 0.90 xG away from home.
What you need to know about Poland vs. Romania betting
- Poland have scored just one goal in their two Nations League games so far, but that was enough for a point.
- Romania have lost their first two games and are bottom of the group.
- The Romanians have scored an average of 1.5 goals per game in the Nations League.
- Poland have won all of their last three meetings with Romania, scoring at least three goals in each of them.
- Romania (together with Israel) has the weakest defence in the B league of the Nations League with six goals conceded.
