NFL 2024/25: Rams – Bills
From the snow game, the Buffalo Bills head to warm California. In the Sunday Night Football Game, they handed the 49ers a clear defeat and thus secured first place in the AFC East ahead of time.
If the Chiefs slip up at the end of the season, the top seed in the AFC is still possible. Therefore, the Buffaloes from the state of New York will once again go full throttle against Los Angeles.
I’m assuming the next Bills win, and I’m jumping on the tasty 1.55 odds from Betway.
The game against Buffalo is incredibly important for Los Angeles. The Rams are currently only in third place in the tight NFC West, with an even 6-6 record. The Seahwaks lead the division.
Like the Cardinals and the 49ers, they have already lost to Buffalo. Now it’s the turn of the fourth team in the group. However, the bookmakers are hesitant and only see the Bills ahead with a -3.5 handicap.
The odds for a win without a handicap for the Bills are correspondingly high, Betway serves up 1.55, the Rams start at 2.50.
The Rams season has been up and down, a 26:20 against the Seahawks, then a 15:23 against the Dolphins, then they were allowed to cheer again against New England (28:22) before suffering a 20:37 defeat against the Eagles.
It was the second home defeat in a row and the third in the last four games, whereas last weekend the Saints were beaten 21-14. With the changeover pattern, another defeat would now be due.
And I think that’s very likely due to the fragile defense. With the exception of the Eagles, they didn’t face the mega offenses and yet their opponents scored at least 20 points in five of the last six games. Philadelphia put a whopping 37 on the scoreboard.
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And the Bills? They arrive with a broad chest that has developed from seven consecutive victories. Six times in a row it was even 30 or more points at the end, including the 35:10 win over San Francisco in the snowstorm.
But the Chiefs were also unable to find a way to stop Josh Allen and his offense, conceding their first defeat at 21:30.
After this season’s high-flyers from Detroit, the Bills average the most points per match.
In contrast, the Rams’ 359 yards allowed per match don’t look good at all. A very high value for a game plan with some opponents who are not really known for many touchdowns.
The running game looks particularly bad. The Bills’ offense has looked very good recently. Despite the adverse conditions and the expected many rushing plays, the 49ers had a lot of trouble slowing down Buffalo.
Buffalo racked up 220 yards rushing. Allen ran into the end zone twice himself, scoring a receiving touchdown in the process. An unintentional trick play in the form of a double pass ended with an Allen touchdown.
At the same time, the defense did another strong job, which has stabilized in recent matchups. They forced a total of two fumbles and recovered another after a mistake by a punt returner.
Overall, the 49ers struggled on the snowy track; rarely in the NFL is the home field advantage so severe when playing in sub-zero temperatures and snow and hosting a team from a warm state like California.
However, the 49ers have also done really well at times and in the Rams’ important home game, I expect the hosts to put together far more points than San Francisco against Buffalo.
Anything other than a high-scoring game would surprise me, and the bookmakers too. That’s why we get just 1.37 at Interwetten for at least five touchdowns, the “Over 5.5 line” at 1.85 is clearly more attractive and six touchdowns are definitely possible.
Optionally, the “Over 44.5 points” line at 1.55 is not wrong. In combination with the Bills’ victory, we are already moving beyond the 2.00 mark. At Interwetten you also currently receive free credit!
The last duel between the teams took place in 2022, Buffalo clearly prevailed 31:10, it was closer in 2020, when Buffalo was allowed to play at home and recorded a 35:32.
Conclusion: Los Angeles should have a lot of trouble stopping the Bills. The Rams cannot afford to lose if they want to make the playoffs.
The Eagles were the most recent visitors, putting up 37 points and a whopping 481 yards. I expect similar figures from Buffalo. The visitors will certainly concede a touchdown or two, but will have the better defense overall.
The Bills’ offense is also more versatile. Allen is a master of all pass variations, and overall they mix up the plays so well that the opponent can hardly predict what will follow – and otherwise the man with the 17 likes to run for a first down or touchdown himself.
Advantages in offense and defense. The odds are not difficult to choose!
My Rams Bills tip: Win Bills
