Europa League, Thursday, 13/03/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
Is the next Turkish top club saying goodbye to Europe? Fenerbahce have not been able to convince in our Europa League tips from the beginning, now the end is very close. In my Glasgow Rangers Fenerbahce tip, I no longer have much hope that Fener will turn things around.
The Rangers took a 3-1 lead away from home and can now relax and defend in front of their fans. So Fenerbahce has to come out and score a quick 1-0 in the best case. The problem: the canaries always concede away from home in Europe.
I have been thoroughly impressed by the Scots in the international season so far, which is why I am really looking forward to the analysis. By the way, since their games are also nice for the neutral spectator to watch, I recommend the bet “Over 2.5 goals”.
For the Rangers, there is very little pressure on the kettle, they can take it easy and see what their opponent is up to. They no longer need to win, but of course they want to give their fans a great evening of football.
And so it is entirely up to Jose Mourinho’s team to make sure that this round of 16 is exciting after all. I have my doubts, but maybe “The Special One” will pull something out of his bag of tricks.
The bookmakers’ prediction
Of course, the fact that Glasgow no longer has to win has also been priced in by our Apple Pay bookmakers. However, if Rangers pull it off and win the second leg as well, odds of 2.50 would be worthwhile for you.
The guests from Istanbul have an almost identical value for themselves. With average odds of 2.55, they are taking on the challenge of a comeback. Interesting: With some bookmakers, the values fluctuate and Fener is slightly ahead.
Of course, a draw would not help the Turks at all. But since they have already played five draws in the EL, I wouldn’t rule out that result. In terms of odds, you get 3.80 for this.
AI-Prediction Glasgow Rangers vs Fenerbahce: That’s what ChatGPT tips.
Can the AI tell us who will advance in the end? At least it has again provided three betting suggestions with different risk levels, which I would like to briefly present to you now.
You can take a high risk if you agree to the 2-1 result bet. I favor the home team because of the first leg and could actually imagine exactly this result, also because both have only played twice to zero.
The next bet is “Rangers score first”. Since Fenerbahce has already conceded 0-1 seven times in the current competition, I can also get quite fond of this tip.
Finally, the ever-popular “both teams score” is also included in the draw. Due to the fact that both teams are doing well and clean slates are rather scarce, the third AI suggestion also gets my vote.
Analysis: Glasgow Rangers vs Fenerbahce
Jose Mourinho had imagined it quite differently! Despite 23 shots and 65% possession, his team lost 1-3 to Glasgow Rangers a few days ago, unable to take advantage of their dominance.
Fenerbahce weren’t forceful enough, while the visitors managed six of their eight shots on target, scoring three of them. A 1-3 home loss is obviously not what you’d call a good starting position.
16 goals have now been conceded by Fener in the current competition, as only 15 have been scored, unfortunately the defensive errors cannot be compensated for. In any case, it is clear: three wins from eleven games?
The fact that they still have a chance of reaching the quarter-finals is a minor miracle! Fenerbahce only just managed to qualify for the playoffs, beating Anderlecht 3-0 and drawing 2-2.
Odds analysis
For four EL games, Fenerbahce have always scored at least two goals before half-time. Since there were even three of them in the first leg, you can risk the “Over 1.5 goals first half” bet at Betano, which pays off well with odds of 2.55.
I would even go a little more specific and bet on a 1-1, because the canaries have to attack. In this case, you can get odds of 7.25 at Interwetten and hopefully get the freebet as well.
Vaclav Cerny is the home side’s top scorer, and he even scored twice in the first leg. That’s why I’m focusing on this goal bet. If you want to take a chance on it, you can find odds of 3.60 at Bet365.
Glasgow Rangers vs. Fenerbahce: No chance on the road?
It seemed as if the team had finally gelled in international business, but that was obviously a fallacy. How are they supposed to do it away from home when ten of the last eleven knockout games have not been won away from home?
It’s getting even worse for the Turks: they’ve lost seven times, including their last six appearances, with at least two goals conceded. It should be noted that the “Over 1.5 goals Glasgow” bet will get you odds of 2.15 at Betano on Thursday.
2:2 against Anderlecht, 2:2 at Midtjylland, 1:1 against Twente and 1:3 against Alkmaar? They only won once away from home in the Europa League, and in the 2:1 win against Slavia Prague, the winning goal was scored just a few minutes before the end.
They have conceded before half-time in every single away game. Fittingly, if Rangers score in the first 45 minutes of Thursday’s game, the Betano odds go up to just under 2.00.
The Rangers feel no pressure
Defensively, it is not going as well as hoped in the Europa League anyway, so it certainly doesn’t help that Caglar Söyüncü, a central defender, is now watching from the sidelines injured.
Fenerbahce have only ever played at Ibrox Stadium once before, back in 2000. Not much happened in the 0-0 draw, with a certain Dick Advocaat in charge of the Scots.
For Rangers, the first leg went perfectly. They were able to counterattack, confidently took the clear victory home with them, and can now relax and wait to see how the second duel develops.
They know that they have only lost two of their last 14 home games in Europe, and that even a narrow defeat would be enough to see them through to the next round. It gets even better, because the club has only lost once after going into the second leg of a knockout round with a two-goal lead!
They haven’t lost to a Turkish team in five home games in the European Cup, so at first glance, it seems as though not much can go wrong on Thursday.
The team made it into the last 16 directly, losing only to Lyon (1-4) and Manchester United (1-2 just before the final whistle). They scored 19 goals, so they can compensate for the fact that only two of them were clean sheets.
They kept a clean sheet seven times after the first 45 minutes, with four of the eleven goals conceded coming before half-time. 1-3, 2-0, 0-0 and 1-0, with the exception of the defeat to Lyon, the home games took a positive turn early on.
Vaclav Cerny and Hamza Igamane have scored ten Europa League goals between them, and Fenerbahce will have to get a grip on this duo – they didn’t manage that in the first leg, when Cerny scored twice.
The fact that Glasgow has recently lost in the league should not play a role, because: Celtic are probably through in terms of the championship anyway, but they have cemented second place, so they can take it easy here.
My Glasgow Rangers Fenerbahce betting tip:
Can Fenerbahce actually pull off the small miracle in Glasgow? After the 1-3 defeat, I honestly can’t imagine that the team will be able to fight back like that, especially since Rangers are very cautious in Europe with such leads.
They are basically strong at home, enjoy playing against Turkish teams at home and almost never get knocked out when they have a two-goal lead. I therefore think that we can expect a lively game on Thursday in which the Scots can play with no pressure on them.
On both sides, only two clean sheets have been played so far, and the guests have already conceded their first goals away from home before half-time. So, the bottom line is that I have decided to put the following tip into the race:
The 2.5 goals will be shat!
