Bundesliga matchday 10, Saturday, 09.11.2024 at 18:30
Three points behind leaders Bayern Munich? If you had asked Leipzig whether this table picture was okay before the tenth matchday, everyone would probably have said yes.
In my RB Leipzig Gladbach betting tip, I would now like to find out how today’s top match will be dealt with. It’s against one of the favorite opponents, home games against the foals often end with many goals of their own.
Reason enough to think more offensively:
I’m going for a combination of goals from both teams and an over 2.5 goal, because the visitors are in a very good mood at the moment and the Saxons have to accept that they’ve suffered their next defeat in the Champions League.
Although the mood at RB could therefore be a little more subdued, the RB Leipzig Gladbach odds have been set relatively clearly. This means that the home side are ahead with average odds of 1.55 to 5.00, certainly also due to their history.
So does VfL really not have what it takes to spring a surprise? That’s exactly what I want to find out in my current analysis. I reckon the Borussians will score at least one goal and who knows, maybe things will go so wild that they can snatch a point!?
The prediction of the bookmakers?
Leipzig have won all of their last four home games against Gladbach. That alone justifies the role of favorites in the RB Leipzig Gladbach betting tip, while at the same time they have not lost at home in the Oberhaus for eleven matches. A win for the Saxons therefore only has odds of 1.55.
Gladbach may have calmed down a little, but everyone at the club surely knows that there has never been a three-pointer in Leipzig. Should they actually manage a first, the bookmakers with Apple Pay would reward that with odds of 5.00.
There has not been a draw in this clash since February 2020, and the foals have only shared the points once in 2024/25. In the event that there is still a draw on Saturday, you will find odds of 4.60.
KI prediction RB Leipzig vs Gladbach: ChatGPT
For ChatGPT, league games of Champions League participants are of course particularly interesting. In the case of RB Leipzig, three suggestions were quickly made to me, which, as always, are subject to varying degrees of risk.
According to the AI, the high risk is given if you bet on a home win despite trailing in the meantime. Frankly, I don’t believe in that. Since RB has only conceded one goal at home, I rather believe in the home side taking the lead
In contrast, I go along with the medium risk, because this is based on over 3.5 goals. Gladbach are currently in a very offensive mood, and Leipzig also got one in the premier class. I think four goals is relatively likely.
If you want to take a low risk, ChatGPT has the opposite of the high risk for you: a Leipzig lead! This bet has my approval, because Gladbach have not scored in the last three direct duels
Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Gladbach
RB Leipzig is still Bayern’s number one hunter, the recent defeat has not changed that! The Saxons lost 2:1 at BVB, conceding their first BL defeat of the season.
Despite the two goals conceded, the defense remains the best in the competition, having now conceded five. It’s clear that Leipzig had high hopes for the Champions League as well
But that didn’t work out once again. After the defeats against Atletico Madrid (1-2), Juventus Turin (2-3) and Liverpool (0-1), RB were clearly favored against Celtic Glasgow, but returned home with a 3-1 defeat and not a single point.
Four games, four defeats, it doesn’t look good at all! The Bulls have conceded a total of nine goals, so the defensive strength only works on a national level. Have their opponents in the Bundesliga been too easy so far?
Odds Analysis
Admittedly, RB Leipzig aren’t making it easy for me right now. The defense is actually in good shape, but there have been considerable gaps recently. I therefore think it’s quite possible that there will be a rather narrow victory on Saturday.
A 2:0 HC for Gladbach has corresponding odds of 1.60 at Betano
At the same time, I can well imagine that Leipzig will struggle to get into the game, especially after the CL. The double chance X2 after the first 45 minutes could make sense and is rewarded with odds of 1.80.
Of course, I can also imagine a genuine result bet. A narrow victory for Leipzig with goals on both sides? Of course, the 2:1 immediately catches my eye! With odds of 9.00, this result also brings great odds with it.
RB Leipzig vs. Gladbach: Will RB continue their home streak?
Too easy opponents? Leipzig conceded two goals each against Leverkusen and Dortmund. The other rivals: Union Berlin, Bochum, Heidenheim, Augsburg, St. Pauli, Mainz and Augsburg – there really are some relegation candidates among them!
What’s more, RB struggled to get into the season at home. 1:0 against Bochum and 0:0 against Union Berlin, and only the 4:0 against Augsburg was really convincing. And the 3:1 against Freiburg?
The most recent victory was only secured with a good ten minutes to go and, to make matters worse, they were trailing at the break. After all, the team is unbeaten in eleven home games, with their last loss coming on 20 January.
Gladbach want their first win in Leipzig
The absence of David Raum and Xavi naturally hurts the team, and now central defender Castello Lukeba is also doubtful. Nevertheless, the Saxons can look back on a good series against Gladbach, with three wins in a row.
Twelve of the last 13 head-to-head encounters have produced a winner, so neither team has much desire to draw. Leipzig have never lost at home to the Foals anyway, with five of their last six matches ending in victory.
Gladbach therefore know that if they want to win, they will be aiming for a premiere. It’s a good thing that their current form is right. In ninth place, they are slowly stalking their way up the table, unbeaten in three games.
With the exception of a 0:2 against Frankfurt, they have always scored, with eight goals in the last three matches alone. On the other hand, there is of course the fact that there have only been two white vests.
We know the Foals from the last two years as very weak away from home, winning a measly two matches in 2023/24. Will this trend continue in the current season?
They have already won once, but that was in Bochum. And, sorry, dear VfL fans, I’m inclined to say: almost everyone manages that. They drew in Mainz and lost against Frankfurt and Augsburg.
While the Foals conceded an incredible 31 (!) points in 2023/24 after taking the lead, they now always win when they make it 1-0. Of course, Gladbach’s game stands and falls with striker Tim Kleindienst.
The new signing from Heidenheim has already scored six times, and it is also down to him that Gladbach have scored five headers. Now only the injured players need to return, and there should at least be hope for Nico Elvedi and Luca Netz in this regard.
My RB Leipzig Gladbach tip:
How will RB Leipzig react to their fourth defeat in their fourth Champions League match? A reaction is needed in the Bundesliga, where they recently lost 2-1 to Dortmund. The best defense in the league is faltering!
Gladbach is a favorite opponent of the past few years, nothing has ever really gone wrong at home. However, I wouldn’t write the Foals off this time, because they’re in good form and score a decent number of goals.
Defensively, I can’t say quite as many words of praise about the Foals. Taking all the facts together, I expect an interesting match in which the visitors will also have their share of action. My tip is therefore:
Both will score, the 2.5 goals will be cracked!
