Bundesliga matchday 12, Saturday, 30.11.2024 at 15:30
It’s getting uncomfortable in Leipzig – in all competitions! The Saxons are almost out of the Champions League, and in our Bundesliga betting tips they are getting worse and worse from week to week.
Can I still find words of praise in my RB Leipzig Wolfsburg betting tip?
Let me put it this way, I can no longer be sparing with my criticism. The Wolves are currently in a very stable phase and therefore want to finally manage to defeat Leipzig once again after many months without a home defeat.
I would like to put it this way: There is no clear favorite for me when I look at the last few weeks! It doesn’t do Leipzig much good in my favor that they particularly like home games against the Wolves.
So I’m relatively certain that both teams will score in this match. As far as the favorite is concerned, our bookmakers have clearly positioned themselves: 1.60 to 5.00, the Bulls are ahead.
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Marco Rose is under pressure, the international mood is in the cellar – Leipzig have already gone into a home game with more self-confidence! And who knows, maybe I’ll find some facts that speak in favor of the visitors in addition to the BTS…
The bookmakers’ forecast?
Leipzig haven’t lost at home to Wolfsburg since 2017. Despite the current crisis, that is apparently enough for the bookmakers to make the Bulls favorites for the clash on Saturday – with odds of around 1.60.
The fact that Wolfsburg are averaging 5.00 should not bother VfL in view of their current good form. Three of their four victories this season have come away from home, which should give them a broad chest.
The home side would clearly not be satisfied with a draw. RB have drawn goalless three times this season, while VfL have also drawn three times. Sounds like you shouldn’t completely rule out sharing the points at odds of 4.15.
KI prediction RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg: ChatGPT
The question to ChatGPT has of course also revealed something interesting. Word has of course gotten around among the AI about the form of the Saxons. So what tips can I suggest?
The high risk shows me a home win for Leipzig with a 0:2 handicap. My opinion: far too high! Given the current crisis, I can’t imagine a three-goal lead, and RB have only won by a similar margin this season with a 4-0 win against Augsburg.
Half-time/final score – 1/1. With this tip, you have a bet that offers a medium risk. To be honest, I’m not entirely convinced by this either. Lower Saxony have never trailed in the first 45 minutes away from home, so I would be quite cautious with this bet.
Should we see more than 2.5 goals, we’d be at the last tip suggestion – Leipzig’s recent 3:4 against Hoffenheim almost says enough here! Given that Wolfsburg have only scored less than two goals away from home once, I’m totally in agreement.
Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg
It’s going to be a tough winter, Mr. Rose! Leipzig have actually been able to work relatively quietly in recent years, but things are a little different at the moment. Or to be more specific: things are going really badly at the moment!
It’s not just because the gap to the top is now eight points that things are in crisis. 18 goals? Fine, the league leaders from Munich have scored twice as many! Six wins? Far too few after eleven games!
The team has now gone three games without a win. First they lost 2:1 to Dortmund, then only managed a meagre point in a 0:0 draw against Gladbach. The highlight for the time being: the 3:4 against Hoffenheim, when they squandered three leads.
Leipzig went into this eleventh matchday having conceded four goals and then suddenly conceded exactly the same number against TSG. Seven white vests sound wonderful, of course, but the latest result has raised eyebrows.
Ratings analysis
Wolfsburg can play away games! After the last few weeks and the difficult phase in which RB currently find themselves, I can well imagine that the first goal of this duel will go to the visitors. At Bet365, this bet would have high odds of 2.87.
At the same time, I could also imagine the Lower Saxons taking the lead at the break. If this assumption is also correct, the odds rise to 4.75! If you also place them at Bet365, you will also benefit from the lucrative bonus.
And then there’s also the option of trying a result bet directly. My choice here would probably be a draw, most likely a 1:1. Leipzig would certainly not be satisfied with this result, but you would probably be all the more satisfied with the odds of 8.50.
RB Leipzig vs. Wolfsburg: RB hopes for home strength
Everyone is logically asking themselves how this collapse could have happened. It’s no longer a secret that things are going disastrously in the Champions League, with Tuesday’s 1-0 defeat to Inter Milan being the fifth defeat in five matches.
And RB is not only losing to Europe’s top teams, but also 3-1 against Celtic Glasgow. Exactly the same problem occurs in the 1st Bundesliga. Gladbach, Hoffenheim, St. Pauli? They didn’t win against this trio!
Well, the home form in the national competition is still good. They haven’t lost in twelve home games, with the only goal conceded this season coming against Freiburg 3-1.
Wolfsburg’s form is good!
In addition, nine of 14 home games in 2024 have ended without conceding a goal. Want a few more strong facts? Then it’s time to take a look at the history against Wolfsburg.
One win from the last six away games? Don’t dwell on that for too long, let’s take a look at the home games from RB’s point of view! Seven wins and two draws, no goals conceded in four of the last five home games – that’s how it should continue!
Of course they know these statistics in the Autostadt, but that’s why they prefer to concentrate on the current facts. VfL have been unbeaten for four games and have finally managed to win two games in a row for the first time
The 1:0 against Union Berlin on the last matchday was the first home win, before that the Greens had only been successful away from home. The only defeat was away from home: A 3:4 in Leverkusen.
Wolfsburg are the third-best away team in the Bundesliga, strangely only failing to score a goal in the 0-0 draw against St. Pauli – in all other games, however, they scored at least two.
Gut, Heidenheim, Kiel and Bochum, the three clubs they have won away from home, are among the worst four in the league – RB Leipzig certainly do not fall into this category.
It is also definitely worth mentioning that VfL have never trailed 1-0 away from home. In Leverkusen, the lead didn’t bring much, but only because the Werkself struck for the fourth time in stoppage time.
My RB Leipzig Wolfsburg tip:
What’s next for RB Leipzig and coach Marco Rose? After the last results, regardless of the competition, the entire club is under pressure. In Wolfsburg, on the other hand, the mood is excellent, especially after the two recent victories.
Well, VfL haven’t enjoyed playing in Leipzig for some time now, but the current facts speak for themselves. So I can’t imagine that the Saxons will get through without any problems on Saturday.
For all these reasons, I have decided to place a real betting classic here. The good away form of the visitors also plays a major role here, so I can bet with a clear conscience:
Both teams will score!
