Real Madrid – Marseille Tip Champions League, Matchday 1 on Tuesday, 09/16/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
I won’t be resorting to a free bet for my Real Madrid Marseille tip. I have more than enough confidence in my recommendation to even put my own money on it!
After all, the Royals seem to be unstoppable in their home stadium. Especially since they have won both of their previous home games under new coach Xabi Alonso.
What’s more, Kylian Mbappe is currently on fire. The Frenchman scores from all positions and in every game – whether he’s wearing the Los Blancos jersey or the Les Bleus jersey.
100% is the motto of this game – in the truest sense of the word. Real Madrid has won all four of its previous encounters with Olympique Marseille in European competitions.
Should another victory follow, OM would even be the opponent that the Royals have beaten most often in the Champions League with a flawless record.
Real Madrid – Marseille Prediction & Bets
I have made a note of a few Real Madrid Marseille tips in the Bwin app, which I would like to share with you here.
Half-time/full-time 1-1 at odds of around 1.93 seems to be a truly bombproof tip.
One reason for this is that on the first matchday of the Champions League, the Royals have played 26 times at home and only lost once (23 wins, 2 draws).
A Real win with HC -1 at almost identical odds is also worth considering, as none of the 15 French Ligue 1 teams to date have ever won at the Santiago Bernabeu in a European Cup game.
What you need to know about Real Madrid vs. Marseille betting
- Since the start of the 2023/24 season, Real Madrid have scored 57 CL goals – only Barcelona have scored more (63).
- Marseille have won only two of their last twelve European away games, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per game.
- In Real Madrid’s last eleven CL home games, both teams have scored, with an average of 4.36 goals.
- Kylian Mbappé scored seven Champions League goals in his first season at Real Madrid and is now eighth on the all-time list with 55 goals.
Real Madrid – Marseille: AI tip & odds analysis
The Real Madrid Marseille AI prediction takes roughly the same approach as me – namely the “royal” one.
The first recommendation of our AI model is “Real win with HC -2” – which is even more aggressive than my own prediction.
Meanwhile, the AI model recommends the tip “Most goals in the second half” for the following reason: In Olympique Marseille’s last six away games, most goals were scored in the second half.
“Kylian Mbappe to score” at 1.62 is considered particularly reliable. Here, too, I very much agree with the recommendation of our AI model.
The prolific Frenchman scored seven goals for Real Madrid in this competition last season – together with Cristiano Ronaldo, the most goals scored by a player in his first European Cup or Champions League season for Real Madrid.
The best odds for Real Madrid vs. Marseille
Real Madrid against the French, who on paper may be hopelessly outmatched – a seemingly clear-cut affair, but it is precisely these kinds of games that can be really exciting for bettors.
Meanwhile, the best odds are waiting at Oddset, Betano, and in the award-winning Bet365 app: 1.33 for a home win for Los Blancos, 5.50 for a draw and a whopping 8.00 if the underdogs actually cause an upset.
If you’re looking for thrills, you can bet smartly on value tips or take the risk of a surprise coup. These kinds of odds provide the perfect stage to get creative with your betting slip and maybe even bag yourself some big winnings.
A match that guarantees plenty of excitement both on the pitch and on your betting slip.
Real Madrid vs. Marseille match analysis:
Real will go full throttle from the very first second and put Marseille under pressure early on to pin the hosts back.
Many attacks will come via Kylian Mbappé in particular, as he is extremely dangerous in one-on-one situations and can repeatedly pull the defense apart with his speed.
But there is another player to watch out for: Franco Mastantuono could become the youngest player ever to start for Real Madrid in a Champions League game (18 years and 33 days) and would also be the second-youngest Argentine after Lionel Messi, who made his debut in the competition against Shakhtar Donetsk in 2004.
His involvement could bring additional dynamism to the offensive play and pose new challenges for Marseille, especially when Real builds up pressure on the wings.
Real Madrid form check
Real Madrid won 2-1 against Real Sociedad at the weekend and goes into the upcoming Champions League match with confidence.
Tuesday will be particularly exciting for Xabi Alonso: he will become the third person to have both played for Real Madrid in the Champions League and coached the team there.
He follows in the footsteps of Zinedine Zidane (45 appearances, 53 games as coach) and Santiago Solari (48 appearances, five games as coach).
This historical significance adds extra excitement to the game, while Madrid continues to focus on continuity and experience on the international stage.
Marseille form check
Marseille celebrated a clear 4-0 victory over Lorient in Ligue 1 at the weekend, but caution remains the order of the day internationally.
Coach Roberto De Zerbi has little experience at the highest level: in the 2021/22 season, he led Shakhtar Donetsk in six UEFA Champions League group games without a single win (two draws, four defeats).
Under his leadership, the Ukrainians scored just two goals and conceded twelve – a record that signals a need for improvement on the big stage.
