Europa League, Thursday, 06/03/2025 at 6:45 pm
It is the clash of the faltering teams. Real Sociedad are stuck in the middle of the La Liga table, having lost around half of their matches and with little chance of qualifying for the Europa League or Champions League.
Their opponents in the last 16 in the Europa League are struggling even more. The once so successful Red Devils are only 14th in England, and after an upward trend in the Premier League, they suffered another setback at the weekend.
In my Real Sociedad v ManUnited betting tip, I expect a hard-fought game and have gone for Both Teams to Score at Winamax.
The Europa League is the last chance to still qualify for the Champions League in the coming season. This applies to both San Sebastian and the visitors on Thursday, who are all the more keen to win the title after being knocked out of the FA Cup.
After a hard-fought 2-2 draw against Everton, a win against newly promoted Ipswich Town (3-2) meant another three points in England’s top flight. Can ManU get a good starting position for the second leg at Old Trafford in the Europa League?
The bookmakers’ forecast
Let’s take a look at the betting providers’ assessment. I had already expected that we would not get a clear favorite rate, the still quite low 2.05 for Real Sociedad is too clear for me.
The visitors have a victory rate of 3.85, and you can push the draw rate to 3.25 in your betting slip. Since I expect a very even match, I see value in the double chance X2, for which we get a 1.74 quote.
AI Prediction Real Sociedad – Manchester United: That’s what ChatGPT tips
The AI sees it differently, in the big betting market it has opted for Real Sociedad to win in the “Draw no Bet” variant, in other words, that the stake will be refunded if there is a draw. That’s where we scratch the 1.50 mark.
The next odds show that ChatGPT is expecting a higher-scoring affair. It assigns “medium risk” to the bet that Manchester United will score over 1.5 goals on Thursday night. A bet that more than triples the stake if it is successful!
At least we are still talking about Manchester United here, a team that is largely a top team in terms of its squad. The double is definitely possible. Especially when we consider how important the title would be in the end.
And Sociedad is not in the best condition either, which is why I can’t see the point of the AI’s high-risk tip: Real Sociedad win and we see at least one goal per team. Yes, the odds are high, but the double chance X2 is much more attractive in my opinion.
Analysis: Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United
So let’s turn the odds around and put the double chance X2 together with the BTS tip, so that we at least achieve a triple odds. San Sebastian has suffered a number of setbacks in recent games.
0-3 against Betis Sevilla, a 0-1 in the Copa del Rey semi-final first leg against Real Madrid and most recently a 0-4 against Barcelona. They only kept a clean sheet in one of the last seven games, and did not keep one in either of the two matches in the play-offs against Midtjylland.
Ultimately, the Spanish first division club came out on top, but conceded three goals against the Danish club, two of them at home.
I had already seen it coming against an opponent who had to take the risk in order not to be eliminated from the competition, and in my forecast for the corresponding second leg, I had already reached for a goal for both teams.
And in my opinion, that’s the perfect bet for the number one encounter with Manchester. The guests don’t want to lose under any circumstances and Sociedad has to score at home. That’s what makes it so interesting!
Odds analysis
Especially for goals in a market that doesn’t speak for the big one. For over 1.5 goals, we get 1.33 odds, and with Winamax, the stake is already doubled for the over 2.5 goals classic, and it goes up to 2.55 with the BTS selection as a partner.
I think a clear 3-0 or 4-0 for one of the teams is very unlikely, I can imagine a 1-1 much more, which, by the way, is considered the most likely result, has the lowest odds of all possible results at 6.00.
In a betting community, it would be the result I would enter. So I’ll limit my final selection to both teams scoring. The odds are great at 1.86 and, on Winamax, are still free of betting taxes. In general, the odds here are great.
On top of that, you can get a €100 free bet here. Your first deposit will be doubled in the freebet budget up to €100, and you can withdraw the winnings directly without any wagering requirements.
Real Sociedad – ManUnited odds: hosts are favorites
Since we are currently talking about free bets, which are of course in great demand without any risk of loss, I would also like to mention the offer from Betano. Because here you have the great advantage that you can start betting without any equity.
After the account verification, you will be credited with a 20 euro free bet. In addition to good over-goal odds, Betano also has convincing goal scorer odds ready.
Due to the slight underdog position, we get odds of 4.00 or higher for every Manchester player! At Real Sociedad, Orri Steinn Oskarsson and Mikel Oyarzabal are considered the most likely scorers.
At home, San Sebastian has won four of its five home games, but I don’t see the team as a force at home. The league record of six wins from 13 games is too poor for me. Besides, the Red Devils are still unbeaten in the Europa League. I have also taken this into account in my Real Sociedad ManUnited betting tip.
A really nice headline
Manchester has qualified directly for the last sixteen in third place and scored the most goals after Galatasaray and Lazio Rome. In general, the competition was one in which the team was able to pull itself up after the many disappointments in the league.
The Red Devils also created the second-most chances per game. In the defensive statistics, the English team also come off better than Real. In any case, I see more potential in the visitors, who, however, still don’t get enough chances under Ruben Amorim.
Real Sociedad against Manchester United, we have had this clash a few times in international business. The first meeting was in 2013/2014, but the Champions League group matches were not a spectacle, with only one Manchester goal in 180 minutes.
In the round of 32 of the Europa League 2020/2021, ManUnited put a clear 4-0 away lead ahead, followed by another goalless draw in the rematch. Two seasons later, the teams faced each other in the second-highest European competition.
In the group stage, Real Sociedad managed their first victory against the 20-time English champions, with a 1-0 away win, which the home side returned the favor with the same result in the second leg. Yes, we have not yet seen the goal from either team.
After an extremely weak performance against Barcelona, the second defeat in a row, I don’t expect us to see a clean sheet against Manchester United. At the same time, the guests are struggling with injuries.
My tip
I don’t dare to pick a winner in this duel. The teams are too fragile for me. Internationally, the guests, who are still unbeaten, have been looking good. Besides, the Europa League is their last chance to win a title and qualify for the premier class next season.
At the same time, Real Sociedad will be looking to get a good result at home, but they have only kept a clean sheet once in their last seven games. San Sebastian will face injury-plagued Red Devils, who have not kept a clean sheet themselves in six consecutive games…
My Real Sociedad ManUnited betting tip: Both teams to score!
