European Football Championship, Tuesday, 02.07.2024 at 18:00
The European Championship round of 16 promises to be a fascinating clash between Romania and the Netherlands, with the Eastern Europeans being treated as the heavy underdogs on the betting markets.
In my Romania Netherlands betting tip, I take an in-depth look at the strengths and strategies of both teams. My recommendations are based on thorough analysis and sound expertise.
The Romania Netherlands prediction also provides a detailed insight into the recent performances and trends of both teams. I won’t hide the fact that Oranje’s problem lies in midfield!
I also take into account factors such as the current form of the players, injuries and tactical line-ups to give you a comprehensive insight into the game.
With their Romania Netherlands odds, European Championship bookmakers offer you a wide range of options for betting on this thrilling round of 16 match at the Allianz Arena in Munich.
Use this information to place your bets strategically and increase your chances of success with my expert knowledge.
An entire country is behind the Romanians! The “Tricolorii” have reached the knockout round of a major tournament for the first time since EURO 2000, when they were knocked out by Italy in the quarter-finals.
The Eastern Europeans have only won a major knockout match once before, when they beat Argentina 3-2 in the round of 16 at the 1994 World Cup.
This victory over the current world champions still marks a milestone for the Romanian soccer team on the international stage.
But my Romania Netherlands betting tip also makes it clear that this could be followed by another historic highlight on Tuesday.
The Romania – Netherlands prediction from the bookmakers
Oranje don’t convince me and many of my betting friends don’t know what to make of the Elftal’s performances so far.
Only the European Championship bookmakers seem to be on fire for the 1988 European champions. Their Romania Netherlands odds show an extremely one-sided distribution of roles.
At Netherlands odds of around 1.45, the Netherlands are the clear favorites, whereas the Eastern Europeans would bring a reward for courageous sports betting fans in the event of a victory that would scratch the double-digit value range.
KI prediction Romania vs Netherlands: This is what ChatGPT
is betting on.
The Romania Netherlands AI prediction predicts a 3:1 for Oranje, if you ask the software specifically for a possible final result.
Personally, however, I am unsure about this. The Dutch could win big if they play to their full potential, but especially after their recent performances in the group stage, I don’t necessarily expect such an explosion of performance on Tuesday.
The AI rates a brace from Memphis Depay as very risky. I fully agree with this assessment. And even though the odds are quite high at around 8.90, I still think it’s too risky to actually bet on.
A bet with “low risk” according to the artificial intelligence, on the other hand, would be a simple win for Oranje in regulation time.
My personal opinion on this? I don’t think much of the rather low Netherlands odds of less than 1.50 on average, as I think there are much more interesting alternatives that are worth betting on!
Romania – Netherlands odds: Where are the highest Romania odds?
I was interested from the start in the Romania-Netherlands prediction, especially the high odds for a win for the Eastern Europeans with handicap +2 at Happybet.
After all, this bet offers an attractive risk/reward ratio, which is why I ultimately opted for the offer from this licensed bookmaker.
Happybet generally offers reliable odds and security, which also supported my decision.
Analysis: Romania vs Netherlands
Romania’s best performance at this European Championship was undoubtedly their opening Group E win over Ukraine.
However, this 3-0 win revealed the problems that the Romanians have been rightly accused of by soccer experts.
It was also the biggest win by a team at a European Championship with a difference of more than two goals and a shockingly low possession percentage of less than 34%.
This is not an automatic knockout criterion for a success-oriented soccer team, but it does, of course, somewhat limit their opportunities to score goals.
In the two subsequent games against Belgium (1:1) and Slovakia, they were unable to build on their success against Ukraine on June 17.
Nevertheless, they finished the preliminary round in first place with just 4 points!
Meanwhile, I rate the Netherlands as an opponent who could potentially have considerable difficulties against the Romanians’ robust, defensive-oriented style of play.
Oranje have first-class attacking players such as Cody Gakpo, who was already a key player at the 2022 World Cup and is now also playing an important role in Germany.
However, the Dutch team’s problem lies in their build-up play. If the Romanians attack early in midfield, they could hit the favorites in their most vulnerable area at the moment
Holland were not particularly convincing against either France (0:0) or Austria (2:3) after their 2:1 nail-biting win over Poland. Time and again, it was their own midfield that prevented them from creating enough goalscoring opportunities.
Who is surprised? Frenkie de Jong, Teun Koopmeiners, Marten de Roon and Quinten Timber are all injured, meaning that the squad in this area is very thin indeed.
If Romania manage to keep the spaces tight, it could be 0-0 for a very long time – and if they then manage to pull off the odd counter-attack, then a sensation against the Dutch, who I found only moderately convincing, really isn’t far away!
Quota analysis
I firmly believe that it could be 0-0 for a very long time. And I’m also blindly relying on the Romanians’ ability to put up fierce resistance.
The current Romania Netherlands odds for bets of the type “ROM wins with HC +2” and “Under 3.5 goals” are 1.53 and 1.30 respectively – depending on the exact provider.
Furthermore, they are also wonderfully suited to be combined with each other to form a combination odds that promises you an approximate doubling of the stake.
Romania vs Netherlands odds: Please not Oranje!
This exact phrase seems to have escaped many Romanian fans when they got wind of who was waiting for them in the round of 16.
It’s definitely too early to throw in the towel, but I don’t want to hide the reason for the despair of Romanian fans at this point.
Keep in mind: ROM have won just one of their 14 games against the Netherlands in all competitions (3 draws, 10 defeats).
They have lost their last four games in a row since claiming a 1-0 victory in UEFA European Championship qualifying in October 2007. The Tricolorii have scored just three goals in those 14 matches, conceding 29 in the process.
Romania concede few top-class goals
The preliminary round shows just how little “dominant” Holland can be! And that’s precisely why I think the Romanians have a good opportunity on Tuesday, provided they manage to keep Elftal out of their box long enough, of course.
After all, the Netherlands only held the lead for a total of 12 minutes and 27 seconds during the group stage of this European Championship, the shortest time of any team that qualified for the knockout round.
Only the Czech Republic (7 minutes and 20 seconds), Hungary (2 minutes and 1 second) and Serbia (0 minutes and 0 seconds), who were eliminated from the tournament, led for a shorter time during the group stage!
For me, however, the Eastern Europeans are out of the question for a pure win bet for safety reasons.
The pressure the Tricolorii have been under so far has been enormous! Among the teams that have qualified for the knockout round of EURO 2024, only Georgia (71) have conceded more shots in the group stage than the Eastern Europeans (46).
However, the average expected goals (xG) per shot allowed by Romania was only 0.07, which was only undercut by England (0.04) and Belgium (0.06) in the entire preliminary round.
In plain language, this means that the Eastern Europeans are not offering their opponents any good opportunities to score from their shots
If Oranje do break through sooner or later, it will once again be in the form of Cody Gakpo, who I mentioned at the beginning and who seems to be his team’s life insurance.
Gakpo has already scored two of the four goals in the group stage and could now become only the sixth Dutchman to score three or more goals at a single final tournament.
Before him, only Marco van Basten (5 goals at EURO 1988), Dennis Bergkamp (3 goals at EURO 1992), Patrick Kluivert (5 goals at EURO 2000), Ruud van Nistelrooy (4 goals at EURO 2004) and Georginio Wijnaldum (3 goals at EURO 2020) have achieved this feat.
My Romania Netherlands tip:
Oranje are not the clear favorites in this match in my eyes, especially since they already had little game control in the preliminary round and also have some important midfielders injured.
Romania’s physical style of play could also pose a major challenge for Oranje, as the Eastern Europeans rely on aggressive pressing strategies and robust tackling.
In all likelihood, this match promises to be an interesting round of 16 match, in which the score could remain 0-0 for a very long time before a late goal is scored to decide the outcome.
Therefore, my Romania Netherlands betting tip is: Romanians win with handicap +2
