Serbia – Germany Tip Nations League, Matchday 5 on Friday in Group A2, 13/11/2026 at 20:45 CET
With my Serbia Germany tip, I’m tackling the second international break of the current season. I’ll analyze the strengths of both teams in the Nations League and show you exciting betting opportunities.
My main tip is: Germany scores in both halves. For this bet, the renowned bookmakers offers you attractive odds of 1.72. The DFB team usually controls the tempo – and is likely to do so on Friday.
Already in the first leg in Munich, Jürgen Klopp’s team dominated at will. The DFB team scored an early goal and scored in both periods. In my opinion, a Serbia Germany forecast on this market is therefore definitely worthwhile.
The Serbian national team will welcome the DFB selection on matchday five at the Rajko Mitic Stadium in Belgrade. The kick-off will be blown on Friday evening at 20:45 CET under bright floodlights.
It is already the second meeting between these two nations in the current Nations League season. Just over a month ago, the duel ended with a commanding 2-0 victory for the German guests.
Currently, both teams are ranked behind the Netherlands and Greece. Germany is in third place, while the hosts are stuck in fourth place in Group Two in League A.
Serbia – Germany Prediction & Betting
In addition to my main tip, I have checked other Serbia Germany tips for you. A pure away win for the German team brings a solid odds of 1.25 at bet365. So the quality clearly speaks for the guests.
Let’s take a look at the gates. A bet on Under 3.5 goals provides an exciting odd of 1.80. The Serbian defence is expected to sit deep and try to make the spaces as narrow as possible.
The statistics so far clearly support these Serbia Germany odds. In all four of the hosts’ games so far, fewer than four goals have been scored. The DFB team also shines with a stable defence by German standards.
What you need to know about Serbia vs. Germany betting
- The hosts only have an average of 8.75 shots per game.
- Guests dominated the first leg with 74 percent possession.
- Under 3.5 goals was successful in all four Serbian games
- Niclas Füllkrug returns to the team after strong performances.
Germany – SerbiaAI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our innovative AI tool simulated the upcoming encounter in detail. The calculations show a clear dominance of the guests. The probability of an away win is estimated at over 73 percent.
A tie rates artificial intelligence at just under 17 percent. According to this Serbia Germany forecast, the chances of a home victory for the Serbs are only a vanishingly small nine percent.
The AI also provides interesting figures for goals. The projected number of goals of the guests is 2.15 goals. For the home side, on the other hand, the model calculates only a meagre 0.95 expected goals in this game.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Serbia |
Draw |
Victory Germany |
| 9.7% |
16.7% |
73.6% |
The best bookmakers see it very similarly and set the Asian Handicap Line at -1.75 for Klopp’s team. This means that the guests must win by at least two goals for this bet to be successful.
The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is 3.5 goals. If you bet on Over here, you need at least four goals in the game. The last duel ended 2-0, which makes the under-bet look very attractive in this market.
The German players also dominate among the goal scorers. Kai Havertz and Niclas Füllkrug have the lowest odds of scoring a goal. Only in eleventh place does Aleksandar Mitrovic, a Serb, appear.
The best odds for Serbia vs. Germany
The bookmakers have clearly positioned themselves in advance. The Serbia Germany betting odds for the away team to win are on average a low 1.25. A victory is therefore considered extremely likely.
If you speculate on a surprise, you will find odds of over 11.00 for a home win. These high values mercilessly reflect the blatant winless streak of the home side in the current group stage.
A draw is traded at odds of around 6.00. In recent years, the Serbs have been more often at such high 1×2 values. They lost all nine of those games, conceding an average of 2.44 goals in the process.
Ultimately, the DFB team must win here to keep their hopes of reaching the quarter-finals alive. The Serbia Germany odds confirm this pressure and favor a dominant performance of the guests.
Germany vs. Serbia Match Analysis:
The Serbian team is at the bottom of Group 2 after four defeats. The Serbs have collected zero points so far and are on the verge of relegation to League B. A win is absolutely necessary to stay in the league.
Jürgen Klopp’s team travels as third in the table. They currently have five points and are three points behind the leading duo. Every loss of points endangers reaching the next round enormously.
In the first leg, the German team won convincingly 2-0. They hardly allowed anything defensively and conceded only two goals in four games. However, they have only scored three goals of their own so far.
The home side, on the other hand, have already conceded eight goals. They have been waiting in vain for a clean sheet for 13 international matches. This defensive vulnerability is likely to be fatal against a strong offense.
I expect the German team to dictate the tempo through patient possession. They will try to play the compact formation of the hosts wisely. The Serbs will focus on physical duels.
In the last direct duel, the guests fired 32 shots. I expect a similar dominance for this Serbia – Germany tip. The Serbs will probably have to lie in wait for set pieces and quick counterattacks.
Serbia Form Check
The current form of the hosts is extremely worrying. They have lost all of their last six games in all competitions. Since October 2025, they have only celebrated victories against absolute football dwarfs.
A big problem is the absence of Dusan Vlahovic. The Besiktas Istanbul striker cancelled his participation for personal reasons. With nine goals in nine league games, he is actually an absolute top performer.
National coach Veljko Paunovic also has to do without Strahinja Pavlovic. The AC Milan defender is out due to kidney problems. These cancellations weaken the already shaky defense of the home side extremely.
Nemanja Gudelj and Nemanja Maksimovic are also missing due to suspensions. The absence of Aleksa Terzic reduces the options at left-back. The Serbian team’s personnel cover is getting thinner and thinner.
In the current Nations League, they have the lowest possession of all teams. With an average of 33.4 percent, they usually only run after the opponent. The difference in expected goals is also minus 7.4.
Another shortcoming is the lack of creativity in the final third. Against the German selection, they had just a single shot in the first leg. Without offensive courage, the threat of relegation will hardly be prevented.
Germany Form Check
The German national team travels to Belgrade with an adapted 24-man squad. Coach Jürgen Klopp has significantly reduced his squad compared to the last international window and is relying on in-form players.
A prominent returnee is Niclas Füllkrug. The Werder Bremen attacker is back in the squad for the first time since September 2025. He leads the Bundesliga scorer list with nine goals from eight games.
The coach also nominated 17-year-old Wael Mohya from Borussia Mönchengladbach. The youngster has already impressed in the league with four goals. Central defender Waldemar Anton, on the other hand, has to miss out due to injury.
The DFB team’s recent record can be improved. They have won just one of their last six games in all competitions. In the last nine games, they have never managed to keep their own goal completely clean.
Nevertheless, they currently have the best defense in the Nations League A. They concede an average of only 0.5 goals per match. With an average of 66 percent possession, they control most games very confidently.
The biggest problem remains the conversion of chances. Despite the enormous field superiority, they only occupy ninth place in terms of shots on goal. For a successful Serbia – Germany tip, efficiency urgently needs to increase.
