SK Rapid – Ried Tip Bundesliga Playoffs, second leg on Monday, 25.05.26 at 17:00 CET
The Rapidlers are in a difficult situation. They go into this second leg 2-1 down and didn’t give me the impression that they were the better team just a few days ago. Only Petter Dahl’s performance convinced me.
Consequently, in my SK Rapid Ried tip, I assume that the bet Double Chance X2 at odds of 1.75 at Admiral will seal the end of all Viennese European Cup hopes.
The Hütteldorfers are already in a slump in form and will meet an opponent who believes in themselves and has already beaten them three times since December 2025 alone. So don’t be surprised if the SVR fans will have reason to celebrate at the end!
SK Rapid vs. Ried AI predictions:
An SK Rapid Ried AI prediction for the second leg is the penultimate computer-aided analysis I requested from our IT department before our supercomputer switches to predictions on promising World Cup 2026 bets.
Meanwhile, I find the proposal to put SK Rapid to the test under 1.5 goals to 1.67 at bet365 courageous, but not absurd. Already in the first leg, the xG value of the Viennese was only 1.09 and in addition, the SVR will be particularly deep thanks to the lead on Monday.
In addition, Petter Dahl was the only SK player who could really convince me in the first leg (xG value of 0.34). If the Norwegian is completely taken out of the game by the opponent this time, surprisingly little is likely to happen for Rapid on the way forward.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory SK Rapid |
Draw |
Victory Ried |
| 44.8% |
26.8% |
28.4% |
Thinking one step further, I can also understand why our data model expects a rather low-scoring game. According to calculations, the xG value expected by our digital betting analyst should be 1.91 and thus almost identical to that from the first leg.
Under 2.5 goals at 1.82 is therefore the logical betting option for me. The guests will not want to risk anything with the lead behind them anyway and will sit deep. And if Nikki Havenaar plays as well as he did a few days ago, then they should actually manage to keep the clean sheet for a long time.
Finally, if you want to know my personal SK Rapid Ried tip for the exact outcome of the game, which is primarily aimed at the braver among you: a 1:1 result bet at 6.70.
What you need to know about SK Rapid vs. Ried betting
- Ried’s advantage from the first leg: The Innviertel team travels to Vienna-Hütteldorf with upper water; thanks to the narrow 2-1 home win in the first duel, a draw at the Allianz Stadium is already enough for SV Ried to secure the international ticket.
- Historic fortress in Hütteldorf: The all-time record in their own stadium speaks a clear language for the Green and Whites; of 47 home games against SV Ried, Rapid has won a whopping 37 games (8 draws, 2 defeats).
- Unusual Ried series against Rapid: The guests achieved something unique in the first leg. For the first time, they inflicted three defeats in a row on Rapid in direct duels.
- Low-scoring tendency: A bet on Under 3.5 goals would have been successful again and again in the last nine competitive games of the Rieders.
