Slovenia – Switzerland Tip Nations League, Group B1, Matchday 5 on Friday, 13/11/2026 at 20:45 CET
Will the Swiss fix their return to the A-League on Friday (20:45 CEST)? Absolutely, if my Slovenia Switzerland prediction is anything to go by. I bet on an away win with Asian Handicap -0.5, -1.0 and get odds of 1.79 for this bet at bookmaker bet365.
In addition to this Slovenia Switzerland tip, I have also put together other exciting Nations League bets for you on this potentially decisive game with the help of our AI.
Slovenia – Switzerland AI predictions:
The analysis of the Slovenia Switzerland betting odds by our AI tool leaves no doubt: Anything other than a victory for the Swiss would be a big surprise.
According to calculations, the probability of this is almost 60%. A home win for the Slovenians is rated by artificial intelligence at just under 16%, a draw at about 26%.
As you can see, a bet on a success for coach Murat Yakin’s team is extremely promising, even if the Swiss have to do without their captain Granit Xhaka. The Swiss squad is so well staffed that no major problems are to be expected in Maribor.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Slovenia |
Draw |
Victory Switzerland |
| 15.5% |
25.9% |
58.6% |
The goal probabilities of the two opponents are not entirely clear. With an xG value of 0.8, however, a Slovenian goal seems quite likely, even if our bookies do not expect goals on both sides in their “Both to score” markets.
I prefer to stick to the 1.65 expected goals of the guests. Like my main tip “Win Switzerland AHC -0.5, -1.0”, I assume a clear thing in favor of the Yakin eleven.
The big question is whether the Slovenians will actually score the honorary goal. Bookmakers and our AI tool agree and speak of an approx. 55 percent probability of success for the hosts.
I expect a more tactical game. The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is set fairly low at 2.0 to 2.5. Both options are provided with quite balanced values at the bookies.
What you need to know about Slovenia – Switzerland betting
- Switzerland is the dominant team in Group 1 of League B with 4 wins from 4 games (12 points) and can seal direct promotion with a draw.
- Switzerland won the duel on 3 October 2026 2-1. Slovenia took an early lead through Vipotnik before an own goal from Janža and Ndoye’s winner turned the game around.
- In the first half of the season, Switzerland controlled the action with 67% possession and 7 shots on goal, while Slovenia only had 33% possession.
- In front of their home crowd, Slovenia have not conceded a single goal in their last two home games (0-0 against Scotland, 2-0 against North Macedonia).
- The Swiss national team has scored in each of its last 5 games and has an average of 3.2 goals per match in this phase.
