Champions League, Tuesday, 26.11.2024 at 21:00
Only Liverpool are ahead of Sporting Lisbon in the Champions League table and have picked up more points. Star striker Viktor Gyökeres’ team recently demolished Manchester City and now face their next home game against a team from the island.
The Gunners are the visitors and will have taken a close look at what the Citizens did wrong to prevent them from going down as well.
I expect a very interesting game, which the Portuguese in particular will go into with great confidence. In my Sporting Arsenal betting tip, however, I’m ultimately convinced that both will score. The matching odds from Winamax are top!
Since the last game at Sporting Lisbon, another coach has had to continue the success story. Ruben Amorim, who got off to a flying start with the capital club and also beat Manchester United’s city rivals Man City, has moved to the Red Devils.
His task there is to get the traditional club, which has been stumbling for years, back on track so that it can return to its glory days. On his debut, Amorim initially experienced something unusual for this year, a draw in the league. He had previously won all eleven league games with Sporting.
The bookmakers’ prediction
The bookmakers are not really sure what the outcome will be after 90 minutes and I can absolutely understand that.
Sporting are making a really strong impression, but the club from London has more to offer in the squad and is very compact under Mikel Arteta.
Due to the better defensive work, I go with Arsenal at 2.25, Sporting at 3.10 and the draw at 3.55. The Winamax community is divided, Sporting’s odds are ultimately played more often at 47 percent than Arsenal’s success at 39 percent.
KI prediction Sporting Lisbon vs. Arsenal: ChatGPT
Does the AI dare to bet on the outcome of the match, unlike me? Not for the low-risk bet, as it has the same odds as me in its sights, the goal by both teams.
She can also imagine that we could experience a spectacular game with lots of goals, and sees medium risk with over 3.5 goals. There are very nice odds waiting for this one, which are scratching at the 3.00 mark.
Will there actually be that many? I’m anything but convinced, but I think a close 1:1 or 2:1 for one of the teams is more realistic.
The AI has a half-time/final bet with a high risk, namely that Arsenal will lead at the break and be ahead after 90 minutes. The odds are too risky for me and are also too low at 3.65.
Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs. Arsenal
Sporting are still unbeaten this season, with eleven league wins from eleven games, and have scored by far the most goals so far with 39, an average of 3.55 and only let in five balls.
In addition to Manchester City, there were victories against Sturm Graz and Lille in the premier class, both 2-0, and in Eindhoven there was the only draw so far this season, a 1-1 draw.
Lisbon only lost against Porto in the Super Cup, followed by a total of 17 wins from 18 games. The first real test for new head coach Joao Pereira, who previously coached the second team, will come on Tuesday.
At the weekend, he made his debut in a cup match against a Portuguese third division team, Amarante went down 6-0. Pereira did not even field the first eleven. Gyökeres, for example, only came off the bench, scoring this time in the role of joker.
Ratings analysis
The Swede with Hungarian roots is one of the new season’s high-flyers. He has long been on the radar of all the top European clubs. He has already scored 16 goals in the league and five in the Champions League.
The 26-year-old is now joint top of the goalscoring charts with Harry Kane, Raphinha and Robert Lewandwoski and has scored more than half of Sporting’s goals. As a substitute at the weekend, he will be fresh for the game against Arsenal.
His goalscorer odds are in the region of 2.25 at Betano, not bad! Especially as you can also play the bet as a new customer with a 20 euro free bet without a deposit.
However, Sporting’s starting phase could be a little bumpy. After all, the team has not played a match together for 16 days due to the cup match and the international break. That Arsenal will score first has at least a 1.82.
Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal odds: Sporting regularly score twice
There is no need for Pereira, who himself played 154 games for Sporting, more than for any other club, to go in any other direction.
Cristiano Ronaldo’s ex-club have even won seven of their last eight games with a handicap, scoring at least twice in 18 of 19 games.
A tasty 2.50 awaits for the Sporting double strike. Ultimately, this series of matches also included many clear underdogs. In the domestic league, the only other major clubs are Benfica, Porto and Braga.
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Arsenal stumble in the league
Arsenal are currently in twelfth place in the Champions League table, have won two games, 2-0 against PSG and 1-0 against Donetsk, also played 0-0 against Atalanta and recently lost their second game against an Italian team, a 1-0 defeat at Inter Milan.
That makes just four goals in four games, the average should rise after this match, Sporting will try to impose their own game as in all other games.
Arsenal have let a lot slip in the league recently and are currently trailing Liverpool by nine points in the championship race.
After four games without a win in the Premier League, the international break came at the right time for Arsenal to regroup and bounce back with a 3-0 win over Nottingham.
Twelve goals have been conceded so far in the English top flight, the best figure after Liverpool and Newcastle, while 157 goals conceded means they are only mediocre in a league-wide comparison.
It will not be easy to keep a clean sheet in Lisbon due to numerous defensive absences. Gabriel Magalhaes, Jurrien Timber, Kieran Tierney, Ben White, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Declan Rice are currently unavailable.
In fact, only four players remain in the squad in defense. Sporting, on the other hand, are without two attacking players in Pedro Goncalves and Nuno Santos.
There have been six direct duels between Sporting and Arsenal so far. Most people will remember the last 16 of the Europa League in 2022/23, when the Portuguese side prevailed on penalties.
In 1969/1970 and 2018/2019, there were further duels in the Europa League, once the European Cup Winners’ Cup, and Tuesday will be the first time this pairing has been played on the Champions League stage.
My Sporting Lisbon Arsenal tip:
Sporting go into the game with a broad chest, but have not played in the A-Elf constellation for 16 days and have a new coach on the bench in Pereira. Arsenal ended their drought of four Premier League matches without a win with a 3-0 victory over Forest.
We have two teams with two exquisite attacks, the hosts have even scored twice in 18 of 19 games, but at the same time are not as used to playing against top-class opponents as Arsenal.
In the top flight, only Lille and Graz have kept a clean sheet so far. The Gunners are of a different caliber, who will travel with a thin defence but can draw from the full in terms of attacking personnel.
My Sporting Arsenal prediction: Both teams will score!