Bundesliga matchday 10, Saturday, 09.11.2024 at 15:30
During the week, Manuel Neuer had his “René Higuita moment” again when he suddenly appeared with the ball in the center circle and narrowly escaped conceding a goal.
But such luck alone will not be enough against St. Pauli this afternoon. The promoted side will be determined to fight tooth and nail against the threat of relegation.
In my St. Pauli Bayern betting tip, I take a look at the matchday 10 clash in which the record champions will be looking to show their class against the promoted side.
It’s a chance for Hamburg to prove themselves in front of their home crowd – but can they really stand up to Munich?
St. Pauli should have little chance against this offensive power, and the role of favorites is clear.
Although the Kiezkickers have just secured an important one-nil win, it will be difficult to keep a clean sheet until the end of the first half against the quality of play of their opponents.
In my St. Pauli Bayern betting tip, I expect a big win for the visitors, who should keep the upper hand here and make everything clear before the break.
The oddsmakers’ forecast?
Want to hear some really one-sided odds? The St. Pauli Bayern odds of the betting providers with Apple Pay clearly show who has the “leather pants” on here.
Bayern go into the game with odds of 1.23, which leaves little doubt that they are the heavy favorites.
For those hoping for a surprise, a win for St. Pauli is priced at a whopping 11.0, while a draw is also rated as extremely unlikely at 6.50.
Two worlds collide here, and the odds leave little room for speculation – Bayern is in top form and wants to show that here too.
KI prediction St. Pauli vs Bayern: This is what ChatGPT
Here comes the evaluation of the St. Pauli Bayern AI prediction, which I requested from ChatGPT and yet disappointed me!
The high-risk tip is betting on a draw – but realistically, that’s probably wishful thinking. Bayern will probably be too dominant to be expected to lose a point.
Even at truly monster odds of around 6.50, I can’t even begin to bring myself to mark an “X” on my betting slip
The medium-risk bet that both teams will score, on the other hand, is quite conceivable. If Bayern take a comfortable lead, they could slow down and allow St. Pauli to score. A scenario that involves risk, but is not completely absurd.
However, I also rate the supposedly safe bet of over 2.5 goals as very promising.
St. Pauli will have enormous difficulties in stopping Bayern’s offense, which is why a low-scoring game is hardly conceivable here.
Analysis: St. Pauli vs Bayern
When I learned that Benfica were sent into the Champions League duel against Bayern by the bookies during the week with odds of around 9.50 to win, I immediately pricked up my ears.
Because that was far too drastic an assessment. Benfica would not simply let themselves be rolled over, and it did indeed take a long time for Bayern to score to make the final score 1:0.
However, St. Pauli are in a different position and should fare no better against the record champions than the other promoted side Kiel, who went down 6-1 on matchday 3 despite putting up a brave fight.
After a few unsuccessful weeks, St. Pauli managed to celebrate an important 2-0 win over Hoffenheim last matchday.
However, I still think the Kiezkickers will be in the dark next Saturday because the next regular has now left the team.
St. Pauli will have to do without Philipp Treu, who has suffered a thigh injury, ahead of the match against Bayern Munich.
Elias Saad had already been ruled out following ankle surgery. Morgan Guilavogui has replaced Saad on the left wing for the past three games, but with only moderate success.
Odds Analysis
In the match between St. Pauli and Bayern, the bet “Half-time/Final score 2/2” could still pass as a good value bet with odds of 1.70. Bayern is the clear favorite and will probably already have the upper hand at the break.
Those looking for even greater potential could consider the Asian handicap bet on Bayern with -2.5 at around 2.70.
This bet is lucrative, as Bayern are in form and are highly likely to record a clear victory.
If you are betting on a clear result, this bet is a very attractive option!
By the way: The advantage of sports betting with cashout is that you can end your bet early and secure a share of the profit or loss before the game ends.
This makes it possible to react to changes during the game, minimize risks or realize profits even if the final result is still uncertain. Flexibility and control are key.
St. Pauli vs. Bayern Odds: 3 should be it this time too …
FC Bayern are in a scoring mood away from home this season! With at least three goals in each of their last five away games, they have equaled their own Bundesliga record from the 2019/20 season under Hansi Flick.
And that’s not all: With 22 goals in the first five away games of a Bundesliga year, Bayern have set a new milestone – no other team has achieved this before.
Whoever their hosts are, you can be sure of a goal spectacle – even at the Millerntor.
Millerntor: Great atmosphere, but only a few home points!
Historically, things look bleak for FC St. Pauli against FC Bayern.
The record speaks volumes: St. Pauli have only won one of their ten home games against Bayern so far (2:1 in February 2002), while Munich last triumphed 8:1 at the Millerntor in May 2011 – their highest away win in Bundesliga history.
In addition, the home advantage hardly seems to work for the Kiezkicker. Don’t get me wrong: the fans are united behind the club and the atmosphere in the stands is always great.
However, St. Pauli have only picked up two of their eight points at home this season and have been without a win in nine home games this season.
If they remain winless this time too, it would equal their negative record from 1989/90.
Harry Kane could provide a highlight in this clash. The Bayern striker has scored against every team he has faced in the Bundesliga so far – St. Pauli would be opponent number 19.
With 16 goals in just 9 games, Kane is currently in top form anyway and ready to add to his personal collection of Bundesliga goals.
My St. Pauli Bayern tip:
I simply can’t imagine that the Kiezkickers will fare any better than the “Storks” on matchday 3.
Bayern are extremely dominant, have no major personnel absences to complain about and are far too consistent to actually expect a surprise here.
St. Pauli should hold their own at the back, but quickly realize that this is probably not the right recipe to seriously avoid the inevitable.
My St. Pauli Bayern prediction: Half-time/final score 2/2!
