Champions League, Wednesday, 01/29/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
There is nothing left to play for in my Sturm Graz RB Leipzig tip. Both teams have already been eliminated from the Champions League. The Red Bulls showed last week with their first CL victory against Sporting that they can kick freely.
In general, Marco Rose has been able to stabilize his team somewhat, and above all, he has revived the offense. Therefore, I assume that he wants to maintain this mood and will at least take a draw with the significantly stronger team.
It shouldn’t stay 0-0, I’ll take over 1.5 goals at Betway.
It was a bit lucky in the end, but Leipzig are happy with the Bundesliga point against Leverkusen after Edmond Tapsoba’s late own goal. The gap to the top in the league is already huge, but the Champions League places are within reach.
They are currently in fifth place, with Stuttgart in fourth with the same number of points. While RBL have only won one league game in 2025, they managed their second competitive victory in the premier league last week. What about against Graz, dear betting providers?
Despite the significantly stronger squad, the oddsmakers are not sure whether Leipzig can bag their second victory outright. After all, a whopping 2.00 is waiting for an away win.
Sturm Graz has 3.50 and a draw gives us 3.60. So the “double chance X2” should be a good soccer bet. For me, the 1.33 definitely belongs on the Champions League combination tickets on Wednesday evening. Does the AI agree with me?
AI prediction Sturm Graz vs. RB Leipzig: That’s what ChatGPT tips
Not really, in general, ChatGPT seems to think it’s not a good idea to take on an initial bet and didn’t go in that direction with any of its three betting ideas. A low-risk quote for the AI is both teams scoring.
I can certainly imagine that in this duel, especially since the favored guests still have to make concessions in the center and in defense, Castello Lukeba, Benjamin Henrichs and Xaver Schlager are not there.
Graz, on the other hand, can almost draw on unlimited resources.
In a match that, from a purely sporting point of view, is more like a test or friendly match, things can quickly escalate in terms of goals. That’s why the AI has its sights set on over 4.5 goals for the higher-risk betting option.
ChatGPT, meanwhile, rates the bet that Sturm Graz will score the first goal of the game as somewhat safer. However, I don’t think much of the odds. No current statistics support it.
Analysis: Sturm Graz vs.
One of the reasons why I decided on the “double chance X2”, besides the clear personnel advantage, is the fact that Sturm Graz is actually still in the winter break. League operations will not start again until February.
Before the 5-0 defeat against Atalanta Bergamo, the black and whites had only played four friendly matches, going two times without a win and losing twice.
A 2-1 win against Lugano was followed by a 0-1 loss to Grasshoppers, a 1-1 draw against Orijent and a 0-2 loss to Rijeka, before the thrashing in Bergamo. With no chance at all, with 5:25 shots and a whopping 5.34 expected goals for Atalanta, Graz went under.
Since the thrashing, there has been no game, but at least the legs are fresher than those of Leipzig. However, the lack of competitive rhythm and the recent disastrous results clearly outweigh this.
Odds analysis
When I look at Leipzig’s recent results, my choice of the “double chance X2” is more and more confirmed. There were defeats, but we are talking about away games in Munich and Stuttgart.
There was also a narrow defeat against Aston Villa (2-3). Furthermore, Leipzig have a solid record of eleven games in a row with scoring goals. If the trend continues, Graz would need to score twice to jeopardize my bet.
At the same time, the East Germans have not won in eight matches, which means that in eight games, both teams have scored. The AI has definitely picked a tasty game. However, I’m put off by the 5-0 defeat to Bergamo.
The “Over 1.5 Leipzig goals” as a single bet is tempting me instead, the 1.75 is definitely great. Good over-goal odds are always available at Betano. You can also use Apple Pay to deposit and withdraw your money here.
Sturm Graz vs. RB Leipzig odds: A prestige duel for the Red Bull cosmos?
Another reason why I expect a courageous performance from the guests is the fact that Sturm Graz is the rival of their sister team RB Salzburg. After eleven titles in a row, SK Salzburg snatched the Austrian championship title away from them.
Seen in this light, Graz vs. RB Leipzig is also a small prestige duel. This year, too, the reigning champions are doing well in the Austrian Bundesliga.
After 16 match days, they are once again at the top of the table, three points ahead of Austria Vienna. Salzburg are struggling again and are only in fifth place.
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Either way, RBL should be the better team on Wednesday. Offensively, they look good against most teams, only the defense gives them headaches and costs them points. The 3:3 in Bochum after a 3:0 lead was particularly bitter.
That’s why I’m also covering myself with the “Double Chance X2”, taking the “Over 1.5 goals” without hesitation after nine Leipzig double strikes in the last ten matches.
The defensive values also suggest a few wriggling balls in the net. Leipzig and Graz are among the top 10 teams that have allowed the most chances in the Champions League.
In this unpopular ranking, Leipzig is even two places ahead of Graz. The situation is different when it comes to the number of goals expected. Leipzig is in the upper midfield, while the SK is considered the fifth most fragile defense.
Since we can expect a few Leipzig goals, the eyes naturally turn to the goalscorer odds.
Ikoma Openda and Benjamin Sesko, who, if they are not rested, are likely to form the top two from the start, have odds of 2.00 at the official Champions League partner, Bet365. You can get a whopping bonus there with the code “VIPANGEBOT”.
Sesko has scored in five of his last seven games. He is the top scorer in the Bundesliga and Champions League and would be my clear choice in this market.
Sturm Graz – RB Leipzig betting tip
Both teams are already out. Nevertheless, we should see a very entertaining game with a few goals. I clearly see Leipzig ahead, even if a few key players are spared for the league.
Graz is not yet back in league action, has conceded a pack against Atalanta and has not cut a good figure in the previous test games either.
A defeat at the Red Bull House against the RB Salzburg rivals would also be unwelcome. I expect the guests to win, and due to the shaky and injury-plagued Leipzig defense, I am covering myself as follows.
My Sturm Graz RB Leipzig prediction: Double chance X2 & Over 1.5 goals!
