Champions League, Tuesday, 01.10.2024 at 18:45
In the first Champions League match, Stuttgart sold themselves very well at Real Madrid. The dam only broke against the Whites shortly before the end. The bookmakers are optimistic that Stuttgart will win their first home game against Sparta Prague.
The Czechs started the tournament with a commanding 3-0 win against RB Salzburg, but recently suffered a surprising defeat at home in the league.
In my VfB Stuttgart Sparta Prague betting tip, I opt for a VfB win in combination with at least two goals in the match at Betano.
Stuttgart managed to score the equalizer against Wolfsburg at the last moment. My tip for this game was already through at this point. In my corresponding text, I recommended the goal of both teams with over 2.5 goals.
Wolfsburg were not to be underestimated after the first league games despite the rather poor results. Avoiding VfB’s winning odds was the right decision, even if wrong decisions by the officials made life difficult for VfB. This time, however, I’m including them on the betting slip.
The bookmaker forecast
What exactly is the odds situation in the outright market? Stuttgart has a 1.42 in the Betano app, the draw is at 5.00. The Sparta-Prague away win at 6.70 is considered even less likely.
I go along with this classification, but there is nothing for single bets, the 1.42 is too low and the other odds are too risky. The “double chance X2” at 2.92 is also not interesting for me.
KI prediction VfB Stuttgart vs. Sparta Prague: This is what ChatGPT
The AI also sees no value in these odds. It has suggested three different odds for Stuttgart vs Sparta Prague, one each with low, medium and high risk.
The goal of both teams is considered a fairly safe bet for ChatGPT, the odds are just above the 1.50 mark. A good tip. Stuttgart have only survived one competitive match without conceding a goal and the Prague offense is reliable
Alternatively, the AI suggests a handicap win (-1) for Sebastian Hoeneß’ team. There are already odds in the 2.05 range for this, and I don’t think this bet is bad at all, but it’s a slightly riskier bet compared to my Stuttgart win by over 1.5 goals.
The high-risk option is similar. The artificial intelligence has its eye on the 3:1 result at odds of 11.0. Three of Stuttgart’s competitive matches have ended 3:1, but only once for VfB.
Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs. Sparta Prague
Stuttgart’s matches have been quite something this season. Eight competitive games, eight times over 2.5 goals. As a result, the bookmakers are sparing when it comes to the over-goal market. Betano, known for its top odds, still has 1.44 for at least one goal.
If you want to double your stake, you’ll have to reach a shelf higher, with 2.05 for over 3.5 goals. Stuttgart have only been allowed to score twice at home. In addition to a 3:3 draw against Mainz, fans were treated to a 5:1 spectacle against BVB.
In the Bundesliga, the runners-up have scored 14 goals in five games, with only Bayern scoring three more. However, they have also conceded ten goals, the most in the top half of the table.
Only in the cup match in Münster did they keep a clean sheet. A narrow 1:0 win is unlikely, especially as Stuttgart do not play results soccer. I also think the goal conceded is very likely, but I want to cover a 2:0, 3:0 or 4:0 with my bet.
Outcomes that I consider much more realistic than a draw on this Tuesday evening.
Quotenanalyse
Hoeneß doesn’t have much choice in the home defense, which doesn’t make the situation against Sparta Prague any easier. I think the goal of both teams with over 2.5 goals for total odds of 1.83 is strong for this match.
Prague is anything but a walkover. Due to the long Champions League qualification, the Czech champions have already played 16 games and scored at least two goals 15 times.
This is an impressive statistic, even if it did not include a footballing caliber the size of Stuttgart. However, the 3-0 win over Salzburg to kick off the new league system was a statement
Stuttgart vs Sparta Prague odds: Prague only with one defeat
Prague also got off to a good start at league level. Seven wins from nine matches and only one defeat, which the capital city side conceded at the weekend against Sigma Olomuc, their first competitive defeat of the season.
Head coach Lars Friis, who only took over in the summer, has relied on a 3-4-3 system from the outset. In the league alone, five players already have three goals to their name, which makes a goalscorer bet difficult, but makes scoring for both teams even more attractive.
Strong goalscorer odds for Undav and Demirovic
The situation is different for the hosts. I already pointed out in my Stuttgart Wolfsburg game that Ermedin Demirovic or Deniz Undav scored in practically every match.
I therefore suggested two individual bets on the two strikers, with Undav scoring in the final moments. Unfortunately, the odds for the Champions League match are slightly lower.
Nevertheless, both Undav’s 1.95 and Demirovic’s 2.00 are worth watching. In seven out of eight matches, at least one of the two players scored a goal.
My suggestion: Dust off the €20 free bet without deposit for new customers at Betano, combine both goalscorers and add a win for the hosts on top for smooth 4.00 odds.
In the last home game against Dortmund, both scored and the Prague defense shook violently in the last league game.
Another interesting odds without a bet from the 1X2 market is the variant with three to six goals in the match. If you combine the corresponding over and under lines, you can expect a 1.55.
On the match days themselves, you should always keep an eye on the Betano odds. There are often super odds (small odds boosts) waiting for coveted matches.
My Stuttgart Sparta Prague tip:
Stuttgart has the much stronger squad and plays attractive attacking soccer, eight goals in two home games are a house number and Prague has conceded three goals in the league recently.
After the opening defeat in Madrid, only three points count for Stuttgart in one of four home games against Prague. I think VfB are definitely capable of that.
My Stuttgart Sparta Prague prediction: Win Stuttgart & Over 1.5 goals!
