Premier League, Sunday, 09.03.2025 at 15:00
While Bournemouth (7th) still have faint hopes of qualifying for European competition, Tottenham (13th) are stumbling along with Manchester United (14th) through the bottom half of the Premier League table.
The Lilywhites have recently lost four out of six competitive matches and made a disastrous appearance in the Europa League during the week (0:1 against AZ Alkmaar).
I don’t trust Ange Postecoglou’s defense to keep a clean sheet in the Tottenham Bournemouth betting tip. My eyes are clearly on the odds of 1.76 at Admiralbet for “Bournemouth over 1.5 goals”.
Matches between the Spurs are often characterized by a high variance. The best bookmakers are aware of this fact and are not picking a clear favorite in this match.
At the moment, a home win for the Lilywhites even brings you slightly higher odds (approx. 2.65) than a three-pointer for the Cherries (approx. 2.55).
I can definitely understand that. Tottenham have already suffered seven home defeats in this Premier League season and recently lost three out of four home games.
However, the visitors cannot be described as clear favorites at the moment. Bournemouth have lost three of their four previous PL games (1S). This pairing is particularly suitable for a free bet, which minimizes the risk.
Ange Postecoglou’s philosophy for working against the ball can be interpreted as a bold approach, but is considered naive by many experts.
Spurs have already conceded a total of 39 goals (11th) and have benefited from their opponents’ weaknesses in finishing. With 46.1 goals conceded, the home side’s backline is one of the weakest in the Premier League (17th).
Compared to the great quality of the Cherries’ attack, I see a clear disadvantage for the Lilywhites’ defense.
Bournemouth have so far scored the third most expected goals of all PL teams (49.9 xG) and are even above Spurs (45.6 xG) in this list.
The visitors’ top scorer is Justin Kluivert, who has scored ten of his twelve goals this season away from home. The striker can confidently be described as a proven away expert.
The Cherries have almost never left the field in away games without scoring at least two goals.
Andoni Iraola’s team returned from five of their previous six away games with at least two goals scored.
If you want to use your Bet365 betting bonus in a targeted manner, I recommend a bet on “Justin Kluivert scores”, which is currently worth 3.20.
Just last matchday, the attacking player ended a short drought of three goalless PL encounters and collected his ninth goal contribution this calendar year (6 goals, 3 assists) against Brighton (1-2).
This season, only Brentford’s home games (57) have seen more goals scored than Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (52).
However, the Lilywhites’ spectators have been treated to mostly lean fare from their favored team in the 2025 calendar year.
Tottenham averaged just 0.8 goals of their own in four PL home games in 2025. This is closely linked to Dominic Solanke, who was injured in January and had to leave the pitch injured again on his comeback during the week.
In his absence, the Postecoglou side’s attack has lacked penetration and Mathys Tel (6 competitive games, 1 goal) has not come close to filling the gap so far.
Tottenham are only 16th in the table in the second half of the season (8 games, 9 points). Bournemouth have also dropped points on a number of occasions recently, but have already scored 16 goals in eight games in the second half of the season.
The Cherries’ attacking play will cause major problems for the Spurs defenders. I will have my eyes on Justin Kluivert in particular in this match.
My Tottenham Bournemouth tip is: Bournemouth to score at least two goals
