EFL Cup, quarter-final, Thursday, 19.12.2024 at 21:00
What do both opponents have in common? Both have celebrated a win over the Citizens in the last 30 days, although Spurs’ victory was of course somewhat more emphatic. But the EFL Cup quarter-final starts on Thursday with the score at 0-0.
As a result, the visitors have every chance of making it through to the last four. While a clear Tottenham Manchester United tip remains difficult, I show great confidence that the Londoners will score at least two goals.
Tottenham Hotspur have played well at times and poorly at others in recent weeks, but their impressive response to recent criticism against Southampton has restored faith in manager Ange Postecoglou’s direction.
A convincing 5-0 win, in which all the goals were scored before half-time, ended a five-game winless streak (3 draws, 2 defeats).
Now they face Manchester United in the quarter-finals of the Carabao Cup and Spurs will be keen to repeat their success against the Saints, even if their opponents are much stronger this time around!
Postecoglou, who won the Scottish equivalent of the English Carabao Cup in both of his years at Celtic, knows the value of this competition for British clubs very well.
It is also the last trophy Tottenham won in 2008 and the team has the potential to win it again, even if the road to the final is littered with hurdles.
Although Spurs beat Manchester City in the last round, they will need to win their first competitive game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium since November 3 (2 draws, 2 defeats) to beat United.
Statistically speaking, a home win would be long overdue anyway! After all, the last long home run without a win also dates back to 2008. So it will be exciting to see if they can actually turn things around in this quarter-final.
For Manchester United and coach Ruben Amorim, the Carabao Cup is just as important, as it represents one of the few opportunities to win a piece of silverware this season.
Amorim also boosted confidence in his abilities a few days ago by deliberately leaving out prominent players such as Marcus Rashford and Alejandro Garnacho in the strong comeback win over Manchester City (2-1).
This bold decision proved to be the right one, and United fans are hoping that Amorim will follow in the footsteps of predecessors such as José Mourinho and Erik ten Hag. After all, both won the Carabao Cup in their first season with the Red Devils.
However, there are some things that speak against United. In fact, some of these aspects have put me off looking longer at the possibility of an away win bet.
The last four encounters with Tottenham have all ended without a win for the Red Devils, and their form this season has been anything but consistent.
Watch out: Never before this season have United managed three consecutive wins in all competitions, which sums up my uncertainty in an away win bet.
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In terms of possible betting scenarios, the match between Tottenham and Manchester United offers some interesting options. Spurs have scored more than one goal in five of their last six matches against United.
Therefore, a bet on “Tottenham over 1.5 goals” is a solid choice. Spurs’ offensive strength, coupled with United’s fragile defense, argues for such an outcome.
Especially as I get the feeling that the Londoners’ offense has finally cracked after the goalfest against Southampton.
James Maddison comes into this game with a lot of confidence after his brace against Southampton. However, he has not scored against United in eleven games so far in his career. I would therefore advise against a goal bet on him.
Overall, the recommendation to bet on “Tottenham over 1.5 goals” seems the most promising, while betting on Maddison as a possible goalscorer – even if it is currently very popular – should be avoided.
Conclusion: The Carabao Cup quarter-final will see two teams who will face each other with a lot of confidence after impressive victories.
While it’s hard to predict who will come out on top, I expect the Londoners to score at least two goals.
After all, they are in top form following their convincing 5-0 win over Southampton and have shown how dangerous their offense can be.
My Tottenham Manchester United betting tip is therefore: Spurs with over 1.5 goals
