Union Berlin – Hoffenheim prediction, AI forecast & odds 09/21/2024

Bundesliga 4th matchday, Saturday, 09/21/2024 at 3:30 pm

The fans of the Berlin club have been through some ups and downs in recent seasons. From a historic Champions League appearance, things went rapidly downhill in the same season.

In the end, FCU even had to actively work to avoid relegation. And 2024/25?

Things seem to be looking up again now, before the 4th Bundesliga match day. In any case, the last results were promising.

Personally, I think you should take advantage of a odds boost to spice up the double chance 1X odds for this pairing.

Because the rock-solid defense of the “Iron” will probably not allow much this time either, according to my Union Berlin Hoffenheim tip.

TSG Hoffenheim and 1. FC Union Berlin meet as equals in the Bundesliga: both teams have four wins and two draws each.

In their last Bundesliga duel, on matchday 22 of last season, the Berliners achieved a historic success – they beat the Kraichgauer for the first time without conceding a goal and secured the three points with a narrow 1-0 victory.

If that’s not a good omen for my Union Berlin Hoffenheim tip? In it, I assume that the iron-defending FCU defense, with the active support of the offensive department, will help ensure that at least one point will not leave the capital.

The betting providers’ prediction?

The current Union Berlin Hoffenheim betting odds show that the FCU is slightly favored. With odds of 2.10, the bookmakers see a roughly 47% chance of a home win for the Berliners – not bad at all.

Hoffenheim, on the other hand, has odds of 3.40. This means that the Kraichgauers have an estimated probability of success of just under 30% of winning the game – not an easy task, but not an impossible one either.

KI-Prediction Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim: Darauf tippt ChatGPT

Der Vorschlag mit hohem Risiko: Unentschieden – Finde ich durchaus interessant. Both teams are evenly matched, and a draw is not unlikely. As a risky tip, it is definitely worth considering.

But it’s best to combine it with a 0-0 or 1-1 because I definitely think that the Union Berlin Hoffenheim AI prediction from ChatGPT somewhat underestimates the potential of this game to produce a low-scoring result.

Medium-risk tip: First goal Hoffenheim – I see difficulties there. Hoffenheim has recently overslept the start of the game against Leverkusen and Frankfurt. Personally, I would rather reject this tip, the risk is too high.

I am also skeptical about the Hoffenheim Union Berlin AI prediction with low risk – Over 2.5 goals. Union defends very strongly, and it is questionable whether so many goals will actually be scored.

This recommendation does not seem suitable for a low-risk bet.

Analysis: Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim

Union Berlin is one of the few teams still unbeaten this Bundesliga season (1 win, 2 draws). For you as fans, there’s little to complain about!

With only one goal conceded, the team from Berlin’s district of Köpenick even has the best defense in the league, although the offense still has room for improvement with only two goals scored.

The matches we have seen so far have not been ones with lots of goals, but solid defensive work is known to be a strong basis for playing a long-term role in the race for the top spots.

In particular, the strong clean sheet against RB Leipzig caused a stir in the betting markets. Incidentally, the draw was not flattering at all from the point of view of the Berliners.

RBL had an xG value of 1.43, while FCU, with 1.13, was able to produce almost as many dangerous scoring chances as the Saxons themselves!

On the other hand, Hoffenheim, unlike Köpenick, did not have a boring start to the season (1 win, 2 losses). With 14 goals in three games, things are happening here at a rapid pace.

Last weekend there was a 4-1 thrashing against Bayer Leverkusen, and coach Pellegrino Matarazzo criticised the “too easily conceded” goals.

Watch out: Hoffe have conceded two or more goals in 11 of their last 12 away games – so it won’t be easy away from home this time either.

In any case, TSG fans can only dream of the strong defensive work that the men from the Köpenick district are currently capable of.

Odds Analysis

I will repeat it again here and there in the rest of my Union Berlin Hoffenheim prediction, but the expectations of the bookmakers regarding the number of goals surprise me very much.

If Union has just managed to hold a strong Leipzig offense to a 0-0 draw, then I simply don’t understand the optimistic over 2.5 goal odds of most betting providers, which are currently 1.70.

If I were you, I would at least pay close attention to the under 3.5 goal offer on the Betano app if you are willing to take a small risk.

Especially since the odds of 1.45, at which this offer is currently being traded, are almost high enough to be perceived as a single bet.

Union Berlin vs. Hoffenheim odds: This Kramaric…

I only trust TSG to score one goal at the Alte Försterei on Saturday, after all, no club has scored more against FCU this season.

But if anyone is going to be involved in that alleged blue-and-white goal, it will most likely be a player that even Leverkusen couldn’t stop last week!

Andrej Kramaric has now extended his already impressive club record at TSG. He has been directly involved in at least one goal in ten Bundesliga games in a row, with an impressive tally of 11 goals and 6 assists.

Watch out: Since the beginning of April, no other player in the Bundesliga has had more direct goals than him – a total of 17, putting him well ahead of second-placed Lois Openda (10).

Is FCU as strong as it will be in 2023?

Union Berlin is currently on a clear upward trajectory. Undefeated in five competitive matches, including three wins and two draws, Union is currently on top form.

The last time the Berliners had a streak like this was in early 2023, when they went nine games without a defeat. Consequently, I am very optimistic about their chances of picking up points on Saturday.

They are particularly powerful at home at the moment: two Bundesliga home wins in a row, and the stadium An der Alten Försterei is once again developing into a fortress – just like last season, when they won four home games in a row between December and February.

Defensively, Union is also currently hard to crack. They kept a clean sheet in their last two Bundesliga games (1-0 win against St. Pauli, 0-0 draw against RB Leipzig).

Should they manage this for a third game in a row, it would be a first in their Bundesliga history.

The back three, which was used last week against Leipzig and consisted of Leite, Vogt and Doekhi, was certainly a feast for the eyes.

In contrast, TSG Hoffenheim is on a downward trend. Two Bundesliga defeats in a row and nine goals conceded in the first three games – this shows the weaknesses in defense. They have also lost five of their last six games away from home.

As a data analyst, you inevitably have to realize that the trend is clearly moving in the direction of a more convincing performance by the Berliners.

My Union Berlin Hoffenheim tip:

In my Union Berlin Hoffenheim prediction, I play it safe and bet on the betting combination “Double Chance 1X & Under 3.5 Goals“.

The Köpenickers impressively showed their defensive strength against RB Leipzig last week and were able to keep a clean sheet away from home.

They are a force at home anyway, and Hoffenheim’s defence has proven to be vulnerable on several occasions recently, which was also shown by the 4-1 defeat against Leverkusen.

Union could easily prevail here with a narrow 2-1. With the strong defense and Hoffe’s problems on foreign ground, I don’t expect a high number of goals here.

My tip: Double chance 1X & under 3.5 goals

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