Valencia – Villarreal Tip La Liga, Matchday 10 on Saturday, 24.10.26 at 18:30 CET
What the Valencia supporters have to watch this autumn has very little to do with the self-image of a four-time Spanish champion. This is exactly the weakness of my Valencia Villarreal tip for the Derbi de la Comunitat.
My choice is Valencia: Under 1.5 goals at odds of 1.50. The home side are currently scoring a total of 0.67 goals per game, most recently they even remained completely pale against Athletic Club.
The opponents, on the other hand, hardly let anything burn at the back when they play away from home: Seven goals conceded in five away games speak for a stable basic structure.
Valencia vs. Villarreal AI predictions:
The Valencia Villarreal AI prediction recently carried out by my betting friends has also examined this duel and comes to a clear conclusion in the 1×2 markets. I share this assessment and consider the draw-no-bet: Villarreal at 1.60 to be the most reasonable option.
Why? Because the Yellow Submarine has won the two most recent matches, including a 2-0 win at the Mestalla. In addition, Inigo Perez has not seen a single game with more than two goals conceded away from home so far – this should be even more true against this weak offense.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Valencia |
Draw |
Victory Villarreal |
| 28.6% |
25.1% |
46.3% |
Nevertheless, no one should expect a spectacle on Saturday evening. Both teams have not been able to get beyond a goalless draw recently, and a derby in which the host has to avoid mistakes above all else rarely invites an open exchange of blows.
Accordingly, the selection Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.07 at bet365 seems appealing to me. If the game tips early in favor of the guests, experience has shown that they prefer to manage the lead rather than add to it – a 0:1 or 0:2 fits perfectly into the picture.
What you need to know about Valencia vs. Villarreal betting
- Difficult starting position in the table for the Blanquinegros: I see a big false start for the home side in the Mestalla; Valencia are in 19th place with six points after nine matchdays and have only celebrated a single win so far.
- Conspicuous loading inhibition in the opponent’s penalty area: The offense of the penultimate team in the table hardly exudes any goal threat; with only six goals of their own, the home side, together with Malaga, have the most harmless attack in La Liga.
- Balanced midfield profile of the guests: The guests from Castellón are in the secure area of the table; Villarreal is in the middle of the table with nine points and a balanced goal difference of 13:13.
- Moderate yield on foreign turf: The Yellow U-boat has been solid away from home so far, but rarely dominant; away from home, the Yellow U-boat picked up five points from five games with 7:7 goals.
