Bundesliga 24th matchday, Friday, 02/28/2025 at 08:30 PM
In the current season, this duel is even more special, after all, the Swabians are starting as runners-up, having left FCB behind them in 2023/24.
But this time, Munich are traveling with a big cushion again, are top of the table and put in a convincing performance against Frankfurt recently. However, the fans will know that our team has shown some weakness away from home, and clear victories are a thing of the past.
The Stuttgart MHP Arena will host tens of thousands of Bayern fans on Friday evening, because many people along the Neckar also wear the colors red and white, in exactly that order. And in my opinion, these fans will definitely see goals; I’m betting on the combo of “both teams score” and “over 2.5 goals”.
The fact that Bayern will play their first CL round of 16 game against Leverkusen just a few days later could play into the home side’s hands. It’s all happening in quick succession now, and since the final is immensely important, the Bundesliga could suffer as a result.
At the same time, the guests are always capable of conceding a few goals to any opponent. So it will be interesting to see how my predicted scores are distributed, in the most recent duel on the Neckar it was three for the home side!
Our bookmakers with PayPal function don’t quite trust VfB Stuttgart, after all, FCB is a notorious opponent. This means that a home win on Friday is rewarded with an average odds of 4.85.
Business as usual, a Bayern win is not profitable? Yes, it is this time! You can’t always bet on an away win when Munich travel to the south of Germany, but this time it looks quite good, with odds of 1.65.
The hosts could certainly live with a draw much better. However, I have to note: there has been no draw on Swabian soil since 2009! You still want to bet on a draw? No problem, the odds of 2.15 are definitely worth it if you win.
Speaking of worth it, the incredible NEO.bet odds boost, in which the well-known bookmaker quintuples the odds of a Leverkusen win against Frankfurt, could also be worthwhile for new customers.
AI prediction VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern: That’s what ChatGPT tips
Relying on AI alone when it comes to sports betting? Definitely a bit too optimistic in 2025. Nevertheless, it is always interesting to see what tips ChatGPT suggests to us.
In this case, for example, we have the Bavarian victory with a handicap of -2, which jumps above 5.00. Personally, I think the risk is too high here. The Munich team has been winning narrowly away from home for months, and since 2002 the VfB has only lost two league games at home by such a wide margin. So if there’s going to be a handicap, then a maximum of -1.
Will the 3.5 goals be cracked? Quite possible! The Swabians always score, but have only played two clean sheets at home. I don’t need to philosophize about the offensive quality of the opponent, and in addition, the “over 3.5 goals” applied to eight of the last ten south hits. So the AI could be right here.
If you want a low-risk tip, ChatGPT says to bet on “both teams scoring”. I can only confirm this without reservation; it’s not for nothing that it’s also included in my betting tip.
Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern
First the runner-up in the Bundesliga, then the champion in the Champions League – these will be tough days for FC Bayern! The league leaders want to defend or even extend their eight-point lead, and to get a head start in the Champions League.
Both will be anything but easy. On Friday evening, they will be guests in Stuttgart, one day after the 125th birthday. Hopefully they didn’t party too hard, because their last appearance on the Neckar was lost 1-3.
It was the first defeat in Stuttgart since November 2007. The fact that only three of the last six games have been won is quite noticeable. Before that, there had been a fabulous run of 20 wins from 21 games.
Yes, the German record champions love playing against Stuttgart, and for the first time since 2020/21, they are aiming to win twice in one season again. It may be a good omen that then, as now, the home game ended 4-0.
Odds analysis
Two goals from the last six away games? No, Bayern are not really getting going in the first half! It may sound risky, but why not bet on the fact that they won’t score anything before half-time on Friday either? The odds at Betano are a strong 2.35.
Incidentally, you can get your hands on up to 100 euros if you use the Betano bonus code. This bookmaker also offers a “0-0 at half-time” bet. Why? Quite simply because VfB have only scored one goal before half-time in their last eight home games!
Similar weaknesses as with FCB, the special result bet comes to an odds of 3.60. Now we almost have to bet that the second half will be the one with more goals. Betano rewards this tip with odds of 1.88.
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern: Which offense will score first?
After the dull 0-0 draw against Leverkusen and the sluggish 1-1 against Celtic Glasgow in the Champions League, Munich hit back hard a few days ago, leaving Frankfurt no chance in the 4-0 win – even though Harry Kane only played 25 minutes!
For only the third time this season, the Englishman went two Bundesliga games without scoring – he has never done so three times in a row. A goal on Friday seems inevitable, which is why Bet365 are offering odds of 1.87.
As nice as the 4-0 win against Frankfurt was, it was at home. That’s not to say that Bayern are easy to beat away from home, but a few problems are emerging here.
Stuttering start for both?
Let’s take a look at their most recent results. 0-0 in Leverkusen, 2-1 in Freiburg, 1-0 in Gladbach, 1-2 in Mainz, 1-1 against BVB and 1-0 against St. Pauli – I don’t see any clear wins here!
The last time the FCB won by such a margin was in October, when they beat Bochum 5-0. In four of the last five away games, Bayern did not lead, and twice they were already behind.
At the same time, however, half one is not the best friend for VfB Stuttgart either. Since match day eight, which was when Bayern beat Bochum, they have only led at half time at home once.
Which players will Munich take on the short trip? Josip Stanisic is probably fit again after suffering from gastrointestinal complaints, but Joshua Kimmich could be out due to his tendon irritation.
I’ll switch directly to VfB Stuttgart, because there are no injuries looming here. The Swabians are unhappy with their last few games, and the recent 1-1 draw against Hoffenheim was not planned that way either.
The second half of the season began so promisingly with wins against Augsburg (1-0), RB Leipzig (2-1) and Freiburg (4-0), but since then things have gone off the rails again. They have won one of the last five games, but lost three.
Actually, we know the vice-champion as a very strong team at home, so I was all the more surprised to see them without a point recently against Gladbach and Wolfsburg (2-1 in each case).
They have only conceded twice at home, which annoys the defense but improves the goal average. With 26:17 hits, this comes to a 3.6, which is really impressive.
Can Nick Woltemade ensure that Bayern stumbles? He wants to score for the first time in three consecutive matches and has scored six of his eight goals at home. 15 times the bell rang at the Neckar in half time one, 28 times in half time two – a clear difference!
My VfB Stuttgart Bayern Tip:
Will Bayern stumble over VfB Stuttgart just before the Champions League knockout round? Of course, the Munich team wants to at least maintain their lead, and the Swabians are also one of their favorite opponents. The fact that the game is taking place away is not necessarily an advantage.
For months now, the German record champions have been struggling away from home, winning only narrowly since October (when they win!). However, Stuttgart have not impressed me with great consistency either.
There are always defensive wobbles, and it’s great fun to fall behind. All in all, these facts ensure that I expect an intense, close duel that is certainly not boring. My Stuttgart Bayern tip is therefore:
With over 2.5 goals, both score!
