VfL Wolfsburg – SV Darmstadt betting tip
The relegation to the second Bundesliga is official, after one year the Lilies have to go down again. Now it’s time to enjoy the last three Bundesliga matches. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, are very likely to avoid relegation. However, a three-pointer on Saturday is a must.
Before the start of matchday 32, the Wolves were six points clear of the relegation places, but after the game against Darmstadt, a tough away game at FC Bayern awaits, followed by a direct duel against Mainz.
While Darmstadt can play freely, Wolfsburg will do everything in their power to score a three-pointer to prevent unnecessary pressure in the final phase. I opt for the home win with over 1.5 goals in the match, the matching combination bet is offered at Happybet.
A 1:0 win against Bochum and a 2:1 away win against Freiburg have significantly improved Wolfsburg’s situation in the basement of the table. These were the second and third wins under new head coach Ralph Hasenhüttl.
In fact, it was the first time since the first two matchdays that VfL had won two league games in a row. A statistic that sums up quite well how disastrous the season has been
The betting providers’ forecast
The best Bundesliga betting providers agree that anything other than a Wolfsburg win (1.38) would be a surprise. The odds are not only due to the fact that the Wolves have won their last two games and there is still something at stake for the hosts.
Of course, the odds are also related to the quality of the opposition. Darmstadt (7.75) have celebrated just three Bundesliga wins, at least eight games have ended in draws, but two thirds of the matches have ended without points.
Analysis: Wolfsburg vs. Darmstadt
The team at least managed to put down an exclamation marker two weeks ago in the 2:0 away win against Cologne. It was also the first win of the 2024 calendar year, following wins against Werder and Augsburg in October.
Darmstadt’s biggest problem was their vulnerability in defense. 73 balls flew into their own box, by far the most goals conceded in the league.
But the 30 goals they scored themselves are also not an eye-catcher, the third weakest figure in the league after Union Berlin and Cologne. Nevertheless, Darmstadt have only lost two of their last six away games. In any case, the away record is not so bad. With eight defeats from 15 matches, Torsten Lieberknecht’s team have only lost every other game
The home games have been much less enjoyable, with one win and twelve defeats from 16 matches. Nevertheless, Darmstadt supporters are unlikely to be overly optimistic about scoring points on Saturday.
Wolfsburg are buoyed by their two wins, even if they were not brilliant performances against Bochum and Wolfsburg. The Lower Saxony side were the weaker team in both games. VfL created a total of 21 chances in the 180 minutes, both times falling short of the 1.00 expected goals. They also benefited from a red card from Breisgau
Quota analysis
Wolfsburg were mercilessly efficient. I don’t expect a big win against Darmstadt. After all, the relegated team has also stabilized its defensive performance in recent weeks.
Darmstadt have conceded just two goals in their last three games. A clear turnaround compared to the previous five games, in which the Hessians conceded at least two goals each time.
For me, the under 3.5 goal mark at 1.57 odds at Sunmaker is therefore not uninteresting. Wolfsburg’s last five matches have featured fewer than 30 goals. As single goal odds, this bet is definitely my favorite.
However, due to the fact that Darmstadt have already been relegated, I prefer to go for a combination of Wolfsburg’s success and over 1.5 goals, in my opinion 2:0 or 3:0 is the most realistic result in this matchup
Free bets for Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt
If you are not yet familiar with the betting provider Sunmaker, it might be worth taking a look. There is no long bonus wagering here. Instead, new customers receive two free bets of 10 euros and two 100 percent boosts that increase the selected odds.
The promotions apply to the first four betting slips and can be claimed within seven days. The only requirement is a minimum odds of 1.80 for the free bets.
In addition to the great welcome gifts, Sunmaker also scores with a clean, uncluttered design. There is also a large selection of odds to choose from, including the goalscorer market for the match between Wolfsburg and Darmstadt. Jonas Wind (2.02) is considered a top candidate. However, he has only scored one goal since the end of November, the 1:0 against Bochum
What is the personnel situation?
The situation in Wolfsburg’s offense remains critical. One of the problems is Lukas Nmecha’s susceptibility to injury. He has already missed 21 matchdays due to a knee injury.
After three brief appearances, he then suffered a thigh injury. Nevertheless, Nmecha is the only absentee in attack on Saturday. However, Sebastiaan Bornauw and Rogerio are two players out in defense.
Fabian Holland, Fabian Nürnberger, Marvin Mehlem and Fraser Hornby are missing for the visitors
The duel between Wolfsburg and Darmstadt was mostly devoid of spectacle. In the first leg, Lovro Mayer scored the only goal of the game in the second half. The Hessians’ only win in 2017 came in a 3-1 home victory, which was also the only one of six matches in which more than 2.5 goals were scored.
The teams met for the first time in the 2014 DFB Cup, with Wolfsburg coming out on top on penalties after a 0-0 draw. Wolfsburg’s last Bundesliga home game was decided by a certain Mario Gomez
Despite the rather meagre results, I’m definitely not deviating from my combination of a Wolfsburg win and over 1.5 goals. There is still too much at stake for VfL and the defense of the already relegated Darmstadt is still too vulnerable.
The visitors are also one of the most inefficient teams in the league, scoring just 5.8% of their shots. Only Mainz and Cologne have an even weaker chance conversion rate
My Wolfsburg Darmstadt tip:
Wolfsburg will be looking to stabilize their position in the table with a home win and, at best, secure their place in the league if Mainz fail to win at the weekend. The last two games have given VfL a boost.
Darmstadt, on the other hand, have only managed one win in 2024 and have only won three games so far this season, meaning they are already certain to be relegated three matchdays before the end.
I expect Wolfsburg to dominate the game and gain more confidence from match to match under Hasenhüttl.
My Wolfsburg Darmstadt prediction: Wolfsburg win & Over 1.5 goals!
