Champions League, Tuesday, 26.11.2024 at 18:45
Favorite? No, Atletico Madrid are definitely not! The Colchoneros are completely on the spot in our Champions League tips and now travel to the Czech capital. In my Sparta Prague Atletico Madrid betting tip, the question arises as to whether there is a clear favorite here.
In fact, I don’t think this question is that easy to answer. The Czechs have the home advantage on their side, Atletico are not confident – and my betting recommendation, which foresees goals for both clubs, is already set!
In order to substantiate the “both teams will score”, I must of course reach into my statistical bag of tricks and analyze everything there is to analyze. Sparta can be had for virtually any result, which of course makes it all the more difficult to assess the club correctly.
The Sparta Prague Atletico Madrid odds are quite clear, as the visitors are ahead with an average of 1.60 to 5.80. A good cushion, but as the Spaniards have already lost to Lille and Benfica, they know how quickly things can go in the top flight.
I’m not underestimating the underdogs, even though they are currently battling a real crisis in the domestic league. That’s why I’ll tell you in my analysis why the “both teams score” bet is not unlikely!
The bookmaker forecast
Of course, Atletico Madrid should be well ahead of Sparta Prague. This also has an impact on the odds, which jump to an average of 1.60 for the visitors from the Spanish capital.
The home side, who have lost their last two matches in the Champions League, are probably not surprised that they are the underdogs. The odds of a win are an average of 5.80.
Sparta Prague would almost certainly be very happy with a draw. If the points are actually shared, odds of 3.95 are due. It should probably be mentioned that Atletico have not yet achieved a draw in this CL season.
KI prediction Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid: ChatGPT
What are ChatGPT’s thoughts on this match? The different risk levels definitely have an effect on the duel and of course it’s also about the fact that Atletico is clearly favored.
If you want to achieve high odds, you should bet on the visitors to win with a handicap of -2 according to the AI. A lead of at least three goals? Since the victories against PSG and Leipzig were very close and lucky, I would be rather cautious here.
The medium risk is reached when the 3.5 goals are topped. The Czechs have conceded eight goals in their last three CL games, and Atletico haven’t conceded a single goal yet either. In this respect, it is perhaps not so unlikely that many goals will be scored.
An Atletico win is favored by the AI in terms of low risk. Well, I agree here, because the individual quality is definitely high enough to score three points in Prague.
Analysis: Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid
Scarce results, but somehow they usually turn out to be pleasing – that’s how we know Atletico Madrid! The Colchoneros are doing quite well in the league at the moment, benefiting from their rivals’ slip-ups.
After many draws, they have just won three in a row and are hot on the heels of the top teams. Of course, Diego Simeone’s side also want to impress in European competition.
The CL season began against RB Leipzig, with a 2:1 victory only coming in the 90th minute. The performance here was not really convincing and that was reflected in the result in the second game.
0:4 at Benfica Lisbon! Nobody really understood how this defeat could have happened. But Atletico went one better and also lost to Lille, with the defense again not doing well in the 3-1 defeat.
Ratings analysis
I can well imagine a close match. It may sound risky, but why not bet on Prague taking the lead? Should Sparta score to make it 1:0, odds of 2.95 would be due.
At the same time, I can well imagine that after the first 45 minutes there is still no sign of who will come out on top. A draw at half-time would result in odds of 2.20.
At Betano, it is also possible to place a result bet. I can well imagine a narrow 2:1 for the visitors, which would bring odds of 8.50. By the way: You can also benefit from the welcome bonus at Betano.
Sparta Prague vs. Atletico Madrid: Don’t fall behind again!
At least the team withstood the pressure when the trip to Paris came up. They came away with a 2:1 win, which of course improves the points haul considerably. Is there a trend in terms of results?
The Madrilenians were behind against PSG but secured victory in stoppage time. They were also 1-0 down against Leipzig and the lead, which was extremely fortunate, came very late on.
Only once, against Lille, did Atletico score to make it 1-0. What happened? Atletico lost! It’s a very risky proposition, but what if the Spaniards win on Tuesday but fall behind first?
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Sparta wants to surprise
You can secure odds of 7.00 at Betano for the bet “Atletico win after falling behind”, if this happens, the chance of winning is already very high. Is it likely that Sparta will start the game full of confidence?
Admittedly, it’s not uncommon for underdogs to push forward and hope to take the favorites by surprise. In the Champions League, it’s not as if the Czechs are in a bad position, after all.
The team got off to a brilliant start with a 3-0 win over RB Salzburg, and they were also able to take something from the subsequent 1-1 draw against VfB Stuttgart. The trip to Manchester City then brought everything but a sense of achievement.
Sparta flew back home with a 5-0 defeat, but knew that this defeat had been calculated. This defeat obviously left its mark, because unfortunately the home game against Brest also ended without any points.
Three goals were conceded before the break and five afterwards (four of them City), which is almost a fair distribution. The two defeats in the top flight are not the only ones I have to complain about.
With seven wins and a draw, things started really well in the Fortuna League, but the players themselves probably don’t know what happened next. One win from the last seven matches, including four defeats, no more clean sheets, Sparta has completely crashed!
They have also lost twice at home, and it seems as if home advantage can only be used to a limited extent. After all, there have only been two games in all competitions in which Sparta have failed to score themselves.
My Sparta Prague Atletico Madrid tip:
That Atletico Madrid are individually much stronger than Slavia Prague? Of course, no analysis is needed for this statement! Nevertheless, it is of course not the case that we can assume a logical, easy victory for the Colchoneros.
Atletico are struggling, have won twice late on and are not secure defensively either. I know that Slavia Prague are in a crisis at the moment, but when the Champions League is calling, it usually unleashes extra energy in an underdog.
That’s why I’ve decided not to see the Czechs as having no chance. They already have four points in their account and want to forget the gloom of the league. I have therefore decided that the following bet could be profitable for you:
Sparta AND Atletico Madrid score!